Seattle: 46-72
Baltimore: 41-77
| MARINERS | Δ Ms | ORIOLES | EDGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HITTING (wOBA) |
-136.1 (30th) | 1.4 | -64.4 (27th) |
Baltimore |
| FIELDING (UZR) | 10.8 (9th) | -3.4 | -40.2 (30th) | Seattle |
| ROTATION (tRA) |
7.0 (17th) | -1.3 | -52.1 (27th) |
Seattle |
| BULLPEN (tRA) |
-25.9 (28th) | 0.3 | 0.7 (16th) |
Baltimore |
| OVERALL(RAA) |
-144.3 (26th) | -3.1 | -156.0 (29th) |
SEATTLE |
AHHHHH! Two teams in a row that we're better than? What is the probability?!*
The Mariners stand at 7-6 in the month of August and are at risk of generating their second above .500 record in a month this season after June's 14-13 mark. Luckily the next three opponents are the Yankees, Rangers and Twins. That should put us back in our place.
By the way, if you took the overall runs against average number from above and assumed it captured everything you would want to capture from a true talent standpoint (it doesn't - missing baserunning for one but that's a small factor), the expected record for the Mariners would be 45-73. The Mariners haven't really been unlucky in terms of of turning runs into wins and their BaseRuns matches up quite close with their actual runs scored and allowed. Given how punchless the offense is, they haven't been missing out by stranding too many runners or hitting poorly in clutch situations.
Where they've been unlucky is almost entirely in getting those hits on their batted balls in the first place. That is what wOBAr looks at and it currently has the Mariners at a touch under 70 fewer runs than they would normally be assumed to achieve based on prior seasons.
*2.3% assuming a non-interleague portion of the schedule. Facts!
Mon Aug 16, 16:05: Doug Fister vs. Brad Bergesen
Tue Aug 17, 16:05: Luke French* vs. Kevin Millwood
Wed Aug 18, 16:05: David Pauley vs. Jeremy Guthrie
This is one boring collection of six pitchers. David Pauley has the best stuff in this group. Mariners! Orioles! Baseball!
| Doug Fister | Luke French | David Pauley | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
| Brad Bergesen | Kevin Millwood | Jeremy Guthrie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|