Simple calculations, assuming every game is nothing but a coin flip:
Dodgers: 22%
Phillies: 22%
Rays: 17%
Red Sox: 17%
White Sox: 8%
Angels: 8%
Brewers: 3%
Cubs: 3%
Obviously not the most accurate way to do it, but considering how closely matched the teams are by this point in the season, coin flips get you most of the way there.
I wonder what, if anything, yesterday is going to do to Sabathia's FA contract.
Edit: skip this post and just go here