In-Season Batter Regression Tool Updated

by Bill Petti on Aug 29, 2011 12:36 PM PDT on Beyond the Box Score

click to enlarge Earlier this year I released a tool that allows you to quickly calculate what a batter's offensive line might look like if they were sporting the same BABIP and HR/FB this year as their 3-year averages. The tool isn't a competitor to ZiPS or any other projection tool, rather it...

Cavaliers Drop ACC Opener in Rout by Florida State

by Brian J. Leung on Oct 4, 2010 12:01 PM PDT on Streaking The Lawn

The Cavaliers suffered a deflating loss this past weekend at the hands of Florida State in head coach Mike London's ACC debut. The Seminoles took care of business, getting the win 34-14 after jumping out to a 27-0 halftime lead. Virginia was sacked six times for a loss of 27 yards in the first game...

A Question of Regression: Heat Maps

by Jeff Zimmerman on Nov 17, 2010 8:00 AM PST on Beyond the Box Score

I recently published an article using heat maps over at Fangraphs showing differing batter strike zones, in which a question arose about Brett Gardner vs. LHP. In particular, the question asked about a single way inside pitch that Brett swung at as seen in this image: It looks like he swings at...

Cammalleri vs Malkin shooting

by Hawerchuk on May 20, 2010 6:00 AM PDT on Arctic Ice Hockey

I wanted to look at Mike Cammalleri and Evgeni Malkin's shooting performance over the last five years relative to expected shooting based purely on shot location. These are only even-strength initial shots since I think we want to know how they do at picking a corner while being defended: Ev...

Jim Boylen, the future and the perceived process of rebuilding

by JazzyUte on Mar 12, 2010 1:36 PM PST on Block U

No one thought this season would be easy for Utah. They lost too much talent to sustain the type of success we saw last year. However, I don't know if you'll find many people who thought it would be this bad. But how did it get to this point? That's not an easy question to answer. I don't think...

Don't Panic!

by Hawerchuk on Oct 15, 2009 8:32 AM PDT on Arctic Ice Hockey

I just wanted to expand a bit on Jonathan Willis' post about how early-season shooting percentage (both for and against) is not very meaningful. Jonathan notes in another post that if we took the Leafs' performance thus far and replaced their shooting percentage and save percentage with that of...

Mike Pelfrey's Worst Nightmare

by James Kannengieser on Sep 10, 2009 4:07 AM PDT on Amazin' Avenue

(Click to embiggen - Recommended in order to read the blurry years, which are tough to decipher because of Roger Dorn's presence) Here are the infield UZR figures in numerical form: Year UZR 2006 7.9 2007 10.6 2008 -7.7 2009 -25.4 Quick interpretation of the data - the Mets'...

Clarifying Regression

by R.J. Anderson on Aug 6, 2009 7:26 PM PDT on DRaysBay

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Rays Who? Regression What?

by larry on Apr 19, 2009 1:33 PM PDT on South Side Sox

Identifying Candidates for Regression

by Matthew on Mar 27, 2008 8:00 PM PDT

There are two main areas you should look at when judging whether a pitcher is due for regression (either good or bad). First, you look for extreme values in areas that we know are under little or no control of the pitcher. BABIP (average value for SP = .296, RP = .293) is the premier example. If a...