Some Quick Thoughts On Wilkerson
- Don't pay much attention to all the versatility talk - Wilkerson's being brought in to be the starting right fielder. For all intents and purposes, Adam Jones is no longer a Mariner.
- Wilkerson's coming in on a small contract ($3m + incentives), and if we weren't the only team offering him a starting job, we were definitely one of the few. So his level of job security should be pretty low. If he's not platooned with Wlad right out of ST, it'll still be a constant possibility, and should Wlad start to tear it up then Wilkerson will probably need to flip out in order to avoid a drop in playing time. Unless the team decides to focus on his veteran status, in which case, um.
- In his peak, Wilkerson was a strong offensive player. That peak is not coming back. What he is right now is a low-BA bat with above-average power, a patient approach, and a shit-ton of strikeouts. The left-handedness is a valuable asset, as are the walks, but he's not the kind of guy who's ever going to carry the lineup, and he's really close to the end. I'm not going to predict doom and gloom, because I think he could be decent, but if he turns into 2007 Richie Sexson, don't say you weren't warned. It's a very real possibility.
- Defensively, he used to be all right, having logged a bunch of time in center for the Expos. But over time his body started to come apart, and at this point he's no longer a good glove. I recently called him ~average, but after going through the numbers, I think average is probably his upside. Seems to me he's more like -15 < x < -5, with 0 only attainable if he somehow stays in good health all year. He'll still probably represent a defensive improvement over Guillen, whose numbers slipped due to some lower-body issues.
I don't hate this move. I mean, I hate that it's happening because we're trading Adam Jones, but ignoring everything else, Wilkerson's okay, and might have represented the best RF still on the market. If he can stay healthy enough and take a little advantage of the right field porch, he'll have been a good find at a low price, much like Guillen a year ago. And if he sucks, then in theory we can either give him the boot or send him to the bench.
But with that said, this move is still dangerous. Wilkerson's never going to get back to his peak, but he could very possibly end up a big bag of suck, a black hole in a lineup that already has too many question marks. The benefit of this being a cheap one-year contract is that it won't kill us if we have to let him go, but this year's Mariners are going to need every win they can get, so they can ill afford to run with a problem RF for however long it takes them to get help. For our own sake, we better hope that Wlad takes some major steps forward pretty quick, just to be safe. Because the only guarantee anyone can make about Brad Wilkerson is that he's going to pile up the strikeouts. Everything else is up in the air.
The casual fan is not going to like Brad Wilkerson. Here's hoping he doesn't give us reason to agree with them.
0 recs |
109
comments
Comments
Wilkerson > Jones
He's been through the wars!
by PLU Tim on Jan 31, 2008 5:48 PM PST 0 recs
Hmmm...
by PositivePaul on Jan 31, 2008 5:52 PM PST 0 recs
PETAGINE!
by I'm NOT Corco on
Jan 31, 2008 5:55 PM PST
up
0 recs
It's too bad
by MfaninAlaska on
Jan 31, 2008 6:18 PM PST
up
0 recs
I don't see him being Everett-bad (72 OPS+)
by Katal LM on
Jan 31, 2008 6:33 PM PST
up
0 recs
Hooray!
Call me irrational, but I have a really good feeling about this. If he hits .250 (his career average, on the nose), he'll have an OPS over over .800 - my wild prediction of 2008.
by BakedAK on Jan 31, 2008 6:36 PM PST 0 recs
SPEED HELPS
Of course the probably could use both and move Raul somewhere.
by BOGUS on Jan 31, 2008 6:57 PM PST 0 recs
WilSUCKerson
Are you M's that damn desperate?
It appears Bill Bavasi, Lee Pelekoudas and John McLaren had a few to many drinks when they decided that WilSUCKerson was going to be your versatility saviour and that so called wonderful left-handed bat you think he has...
Well, all you M's will get a real chance now to see how bad he really is.
I saw plenty of his pathetic ass in Texas and I'm glad he's gone.
btw... you stinking M's might just be projected the preseason AL West Cellar Dwellers. You better hope you get Erik Bedard after this.
by hurlerhurley on Jan 31, 2008 7:03 PM PST 0 recs
Heh.
by Phildopip on
Jan 31, 2008 7:09 PM PST
up
0 recs
yes, I know...
Stinking M's had a decent season last year. Congrats on 2nd place.
by hurlerhurley on
Jan 31, 2008 7:34 PM PST
up
0 recs
Is that still considered a one word response?
by Librocrat on
Feb 1, 2008 11:42 AM PST
up
0 recs
If you say that every year, it's bound to be true.
by Librocrat on
Feb 1, 2008 11:42 AM PST
up
0 recs
Awww look everyone...
So cute. :)
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on
Jan 31, 2008 7:09 PM PST
up
0 recs
WilSUCKerson
By the way: Sammy Sosa. That is all.
by Librocrat on
Feb 1, 2008 11:47 AM PST
up
0 recs
Sexson and Wilkerson in the same lineup
by kentroyals5 on Jan 31, 2008 7:08 PM PST 0 recs
Wind Power
by AIS on
Jan 31, 2008 8:27 PM PST
up
0 recs
Bluegrass Brad!
by Deanna on Jan 31, 2008 7:14 PM PST 0 recs
The thing about this
by Mere Tantalisers on Jan 31, 2008 7:23 PM PST 0 recs
potential for platoon with wlad....
by larrybowa on Jan 31, 2008 7:23 PM PST 0 recs
Let's be realistic here. The Mariners are much
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on
Jan 31, 2008 7:26 PM PST
up
0 recs
of course not
by larrybowa on
Jan 31, 2008 7:30 PM PST
up
0 recs
Yeah, Raul obviously makes more sense
by Jeff on
Jan 31, 2008 8:11 PM PST
up
0 recs
I don't like Wilkerson
by Edgar for Pres on Jan 31, 2008 7:47 PM PST 0 recs
Guillen
by batura on
Jan 31, 2008 8:42 PM PST
up
0 recs
Not true
...oh wait...
by Slica on
Jan 31, 2008 8:55 PM PST
up
0 recs
Resigning Ichiro?
by Coach Owens on
Jan 31, 2008 9:04 PM PST
up
0 recs
I don't give Bavasi credit for resignings
Also, Beltre was great, but I think he got Beltre for the wrong reasons (Just off an MVP year rather than amazing third baseman).
by Librocrat on
Jan 31, 2008 9:12 PM PST
up
0 recs
Here's my problem:
But knowing Ichiro is a good player that he has to keep shows know brain power, throwing money his way shows no intelligence, and not once did he have to evaluate talent or show that he understands what the team needs. Really? Try to keep Ichiro, the best player on our team? WHY?!?!?!
So maybe he used some finesse to get him to stay and below market value, but it took no intelligence on his part to know that he needs Ichiro to stay. I equate Finesse, in this case, to Grittiness and Hustle.
by Librocrat on
Jan 31, 2008 11:53 PM PST
up
0 recs
I could not do Bavasi's job
by Edgar for Pres on
Feb 1, 2008 12:06 AM PST
up
0 recs
So, "intelligence"
Actually getting good players on the teams does not count?
Maybe he's a good talker. That is also a plus.
by rfloh on
Feb 1, 2008 12:39 AM PST
up
0 recs
Again
by Librocrat on
Feb 1, 2008 4:31 PM PST
up
0 recs
He' made a couple of nice trades
The Garcia deal (enough though it hasn't worked out they way we thought it would)
good FA deals:
re-signing Ichiro was pretty awesome
Johjima
Beltre
Batista
by MFAN on
Jan 31, 2008 9:16 PM PST
up
0 recs
Betancourt
by G_ on
Jan 31, 2008 10:38 PM PST
up
0 recs
THE CARLOS GUILLEN TRADE SUCKED11!!1!
by PositivePaul on
Jan 31, 2008 9:22 PM PST
up
0 recs
I thought about that
by Edgar for Pres on
Jan 31, 2008 11:05 PM PST
up
0 recs
Brad WIlkerson looks like AJ Pierzynski
by Gomez on Jan 31, 2008 10:39 PM PST 0 recs
Baltimore Sun
That means Butler AND Tillman.
Am I the only one who rather keep Tillman than Morrow? I dont think he is better, but I feel like we are wasting Morrow.
by Slica on Jan 31, 2008 11:38 PM PST 0 recs
Oh and before I get ripped
by Slica on
Jan 31, 2008 11:40 PM PST
up
0 recs
Morrow Maybe
by MfaninAlaska on
Jan 31, 2008 11:44 PM PST
up
0 recs
I don't get it
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 1:29 AM PST
up
0 recs
He's pretty poor
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 8:10 AM PST
up
0 recs
Unlike you, I look at more than K%
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 10:23 AM PST
up
0 recs
Wow...
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 10:38 AM PST
up
0 recs
Graham's bipolar?
by pdb on
Feb 1, 2008 10:54 AM PST
up
0 recs
speaking of which
by marc w on
Feb 1, 2008 12:44 PM PST
up
0 recs
Not that I'm aware
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 12:54 PM PST
up
0 recs
By the way, for the record
by Jeff on
Feb 1, 2008 2:18 PM PST
up
0 recs
But he's still
Right now Morrow is more valuable then Tillman, because Tillman is still at least 2 years away... both have good upside, both need development, Morrow however has shown he can pitch at the major league level in a full season.
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 3:19 PM PST
up
0 recs
I think that makes him less valuable
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 3:30 PM PST
up
0 recs
With the rotation set
I'd like to keep both, but if it means one or the other going in the proposed trade for Bedard Morrow has more value to the M's then Tillman does.
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 3:34 PM PST
up
0 recs
Depends if you see Morrow as a useful reliever
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 3:40 PM PST
up
0 recs
See that's what I don't get
Morrow's only draw back was his walks... he was a high strikeout guy, had a low slg against, similar LD% to JJ. The only issue he really had overall was walking guys.... is it unreasonable to believe he can improve upon that as he gets more comfortable in the majors?
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 3:58 PM PST
up
0 recs
Here's the thing
Also, his home runs should probably jump next season.
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 4:00 PM PST
up
0 recs
Question, though...
by PositivePaul on
Feb 1, 2008 4:03 PM PST
up
0 recs
Yeah
Instead of trying to hit the corners he was just gunning pitches down the heart of the plate. That's not really very helpful either, because then people smack the pitch.
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 4:08 PM PST
up
0 recs
Hmmm.
by PositivePaul on
Feb 1, 2008 4:19 PM PST
up
0 recs
Young Raffey, I meant...
At this point, Morrow's upside in the M's 'pen is Soriano -- that's how I see it.
by PositivePaul on
Feb 1, 2008 4:35 PM PST
up
0 recs
Before Soriano's last year
Did I miss some massive improvement in his pitches?
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 4:43 PM PST
up
0 recs
Unless I misremember
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 4:46 PM PST
up
0 recs
I don't know about the quality of it
by MfaninAlaska on
Feb 1, 2008 4:53 PM PST
up
0 recs
Maybe the first time around that was the case
by Graham on
Feb 1, 2008 4:56 PM PST
up
0 recs
I recall hearing the same thing actually.
by Thingray on
Feb 1, 2008 4:57 PM PST
up
0 recs
It was all right, but fairly wild
by Jeff on
Feb 1, 2008 5:00 PM PST
up
0 recs


