80-70
If you'd have told me back in March that George Sherrill would be getting the save in our 80th win by striking out Donnie Murphy, Daric Barton, and Jack Cust, I would've said "wow that's really specific."
Biggest Contribution: George Sherrill, +20.7%
Biggest Suckfest: Sean Green, -22.1%
Most Important AB: Ibanez grand slam, +14.1%
Most Important Pitch: Ellis triple, -15.2%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +21.7%
Total Contribution by Hitters: +23.2%
Total Contribution by Opposition: +5.1%
- Jeff Weaver against the top four offenses in the AL: 49 runs in 39.2 innings (11.12 RA)
Jeff Weaver against the rest of baseball: 47 runs in 93.2 innings (4.52 RA)
Weaver didn't throw much of a game today, constantly leaving pitches up and over the plate, but because the A's rolled out a crappy lineup, he was able to deliver one of the longest outings this team's had in weeks. Remember how before the year we talked about how there's no loyalty between Weaver and the M's, and that he'd basically be pitching for a bigger 2008 contract? Well, for what little remains of the season, he's pitching to avoid becoming an NRI. Tonight helped his case, even if just a little.
- If Mark Ellis hits his grounder two feet to the right, it's a double play and people are calling Sean Green a hero instead of just another member of the bullpen who's going through some rough times down the stretch. Green hasn't been anything spectacular of late, but since August 28th he's been the recipient of some of the worst luck I've ever seen on a playing field. Green is still a good reliever, and someone to be counted on for seventh innings in 2008. Do not be swayed by an anomalous BABIP.
- Jose Guillen is a dirty player. He's also a talented, productive, and energetic player, but dirty is an undeniable part of the package. His takeout slides at second base to break up potential double plays are extremely dangerous and extremely illegal, and he does that every single time. If Marco Scutaro had gotten hurt today instead of shaking it off, this game could've gotten ugly. I'm beginning to suspect that Guillen's perennially high HBP rates aren't a coincidence.
- Every time Yuniesky Betancourt has a hot few games, there's always someone there waiting to point out how "you were wrong, there's a ton of potential left in his bat." And every time this happens Yuni proceeds to go into a little slump to bring his numbers back down to the standard. He's now 2-16 to follow up a pretty solid five-game stretch. Guess what? This is all there is. This is what Yuniesky Betancourt is going to look like as a hitter. It's not so bad, either, provided you stop expecting him to do more than he's capable of sustaining. Yuni's a good all-around player who's never going to hit much more than an average shortstop. Be happy with what we have.
- George Sherrill has nine strikeouts in his last 3.2 innings following a period of minor ineffectiveness. Rafael Soriano has allowed six hits and zero runs in his last 14.1 innings following a period of homer-proneness. When you hear that a starting pitcher is trying to make a midseason adjustment, you should always be skeptical, but for several reasons, it's worth giving relievers the benefit of the doubt. Many of them are constantly developing.
- Ben Broussard is killing me right now. Meanwhile, Raul's up to a .286/.342/.472 batting line. Not a bad year. For a DH.
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Okay if yuni is what he is then how much potential
by houseofprime2 on Sep 18, 2007 11:33 PM PDT reply actions
Jose Lopez has a lot more offensive potential
Having taken a look at what's available, I'm all for giving Lopez one more shot. I do not think the front office agrees with me.
by Jeff Sullivan on Sep 18, 2007 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions
I commented on this below
is*
by houseofprime2 on Sep 18, 2007 11:33 PM PDT reply actions
Is Ben Broussard killing you softly?
Another question jeff
by houseofprime2 on Sep 18, 2007 11:43 PM PDT reply actions
Athletically they're very similar
by Jeff Sullivan on Sep 19, 2007 1:16 AM PDT up reply actions
Coming into todays game
Raul Ibanez OPS v. RHP: .869
I think Ibanez and Vidro make better 1B next year
Yeah, I'm not actually sure.
by Jeff Sullivan on Sep 19, 2007 1:49 AM PDT up reply actions
Echoes of Mitch Hedberg
Great tribute joke, Jeff!
I'm surprised yuni has 9 home runs,
Lopez is only 23. I hope to hell he's not gone during the offseason.
Lopez
If the M's hang onto him and he breaks out (entirely possible) then the M's will never trade him. But if the M's hang onto him and he doesn't take a step forward (returns to 2006 form) he looks like a busted prospect and at this point he has no trade value.
If the M's want to get value for Lopez now is the time to do it, when they don't need to trade him. Unfortunately this means that the Mariners trade Lopez next November for two no name prospects.
I'd keep him.
Er...
You realize we have fuck-all in the organization for middle infielders who are ready for a major league starting job, right?
Basically, you dump Lopez and your options involve FAs like Matsui and non-starters like WFB or Nick Green. These aren't good options to improve 2B.
by eponymous coward on Sep 19, 2007 9:24 AM PDT up reply actions
realistically, can it get worse
Also all of the names being kicked around (Castillo, Iguchi and Matsui) would be improvements in the OBP department. All are sort of old for the 2B position so they probably could be had on a one year deal. Another guy in the bargain bin that I have interest in (not as a starter but as a utility guy) is Nick Punto (his 54 BB would be second on the team). The M's should be able to patch this position together next year. If Lopez can bring in a MOR pitcher or an above average bat, I think the M's should trade him. They shouldn't trade him in a salary dump.
The two conditions I would place on any trade of Jose Lopez: 1) The Mariners aren't high on his long term outlook 2) Jose Lopez brings something of value into the organization that it currently lacks.
Why do I have the awful feeling that we'll...
Favor the Bold
You know
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Sep 19, 2007 6:57 AM PDT up reply actions
yeah.
Jeter makes very few errors but gets to a lot less grounders than does Yuni.
Maybe there is an accurate barometer for defense, but i haven't seen it.
it's puzzling to figure out
But it really doesn't gel with the eye test.
Great Sherrill Quote from Baker's blog
Wow - if only MLB managers could grasp what is glaringly obvious to everyone else. High-leverage situations don't always occur in the 9th inning!

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