It's True(?)
From what I can tell, Rafael Soriano really has been traded for Horacio Ramirez.
This is the worst trade the Mariners have made in a long, long time.
More on this later when I'm able to pull myself out of a pool of my own tears.
Update: As of 6:11pm EDT, there's still an air of uncertainty surrounding this deal. Half an hour ago it sounded all but done, but now the M's are denying it, soooooo...
9:04pm update: Bad news, everyone.
9:24pm update: I officially have no idea what's going on anymore, and I really don't give a crap. Something either needs to happen or not happen so we can be done with it and move on.
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Fuck this
I hope
by Graham MacAree on Dec 6, 2006 2:06 PM PST up reply actions
Bill Bavasi must die...
I hereby announce my boycott
I had such wonderful plans for my 21st birthday party, too.
I'll join you for your 21st
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 2:13 PM PST up reply actions
What bullshit....the same mentality
Did we at least get some
yeah
And our hearts.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:11 PM PST up reply actions
OK, let's chill out.
Nope, LaRoche is being delt to the Pirates for
We got outsmarted by the fucking Pirates.
Well
They reportedly have a pending deal worked out, just waiting on the health report on Mike Gonzalez.
Bavasi just dealt Soriano
by OlyOle on Dec 6, 2006 2:11 PM PST reply actions
I'm shocked.
--Stewie Griffin AND Josh Beckett
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Dec 6, 2006 2:12 PM PST reply actions
I can't believe this
Funny or #$@#)*NWED UP
by Jed C on Dec 6, 2006 2:13 PM PST reply actions
Get a Frickin' Rope....
I don't get it
Time to be the contrarian here.
As outcomes go, that's not too bad. I see no reason to prefer any one of the Meche/Lilly/Eaton/Padilla/Batista Axis of Overpaid Crap to Ramirez, and Soriano is probably the premium you have to pay to get him.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:18 PM PST reply actions
Gee, if only the M's had thought of that.
This team needs starting depth, and if it's this or signings off the FA market, this is an easy decision for me. If we're going to whiff on Schmidt, Matsuzaka or Zito, options based around LOW cost options in the rotation that don't involve long-term contracts are infinitely preferable, in my opinion. Soriano, unfortunately, is the price to get one of those.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:27 PM PST up reply actions
Ramirez is taking Thomson's place.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:33 PM PST up reply actions
I'm not convinced of that.
That being the case, Soriano for Ramirez to fill out the rotation is understandable.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:37 PM PST up reply actions
If you don't land a big name
by sergey on Dec 6, 2006 2:41 PM PST up reply actions
This offseason
They got their cheap starter. Now hold on to your hats, because the ride's just beginning.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:43 PM PST up reply actions
Not sure of that.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:50 PM PST up reply actions
I think buying out arb years of Lopez et al...
Ok.
If trade stands as is, we as fans and M's roster suffered a major loss!
by sergey on Dec 6, 2006 2:34 PM PST up reply actions
Mike Gonzalez gets Adam LaRoche.
There's no way this is good for us.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:21 PM PST up reply actions
Comparing him to Washburn
by JLC on Dec 6, 2006 2:27 PM PST up reply actions
Washburn's fine at a decent salary.
Sorry. Still not convinced this is the OH NOES everyone thinks it is.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:35 PM PST up reply actions
No, YOU shut up. No backs.
We're talking about a very good RH reliever with a bad injury history vs. a LH 4-5 starter with not so bad an injury history.
ideally, yes, you'd like to swap Sexson, Mateo and Reed for LaRoche and Hudson, but it ain't happening.
Here's a little exercise. If I have a replacement level starter (5.5 runs/9 IP) throwing 180 innings and Soriano throwing 60 IP (3.0 runs/9/IP), that comes out to 130 runs. If I have a starter giving up runs at 4.8 runs/9 IP over 180 innings (Ramirez has been around a 4.7-4.8 xFIP the last 3 years), and a reliever giving up 4.5 runs per 9/IP (basically, replacement level), I net 126.
Yes, I know, high leverage innings, blah blah blah. I'm still not seeing the OMGWTFBBQ!!111 trainwreck.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 3:26 PM PST up reply actions
No need for stats
Rafael Soriano is a very good reliever. He is a valuable commodity.
Horacio Ramirez is a #5 starter. He is not good. Of the things that a pitcher has a lot of control over (K's, HRs, BBs, GB%, staying healthy) he is sorta good at one (keeping the ball on the ground, inconsistent at one (HRs), and horrible at the other three. The guy is not good.
Guys like Soriano are tough to get. They are valuable. Guys like Ramirez aren't. That is basically what it comes down to.
I wouldn't mind if we picked him up for nearly nothing (Broussard?). But if he is going to cost you a good player, just sign John Thompson. Thompson is better, he will also be cheap, and he won't cost us a premium reliever.
You can try to convince yourself that this deal is not a debacle all you want. But if the M's do this trade, it will be a trainwreck.
Seriously, you are basically telling a guy who just stepped in dog shit that the crap on his shoe could be a good thing. Its not.
Why are Ramirez and Thomson exclusive?
I also think you underestimate the number of guys who can go from being marginal minor league starters to effective relievers. Just in our system, Mateo was actually a pretty good reliever before his arm blew out in 2004 and he lost his good 94-96 stuff; Putz went from nothing to OMGHE'STEHAWESOME. Even Matt Freakin' Thornton has posted decent ERAs in 2 of his 3 years in the bigs, and he's just not that good.
Square by Brendan Donnelly, Ben Weber, Scot Shields, Chad Bradford and so on... and really, it's just Not That Hard to find good relief help. I won't be surprised at all if by this time next year Emiliano Fruto, Travis Chick or Yorman Bazardo is our next RHP relief stud.
Would I complain about Soriano/Sexson for Hudson/LaRoche? Not in the slightest. But I'm not as high on Soriano as other people are.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 4:13 PM PST up reply actions
100% totally irrelevant
But that is not what is important.
If Bavasi makes this deal, he will be trading something with a high market value for something with a low market value.
You can argue all you want about whether or not that market value is valid or not.
But when you have a commodity that everyone else wants, you don't give it away for something that is easly acquired.
Its a bad trade. Everyone on earth realizes this but you.
Market value, huh?
If y'all can show me one aside from Thomson we can pick up for a cheap contract or spare parts like Mateo, Reed, Broussard and so on, great.
I think you overestimate the value of a guy with bad injury history who's pitched zero MLB innings since getting a shot to the head has.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 4:46 PM PST up reply actions
Whatever
Everyone else does too.
Seriously, go read any message board out there that has commentary on this proposed trade.
Rotoworld. USSM. This site. mlbtraderumors.com. Braves blogs.
I don't remember a trade that has been so universally shunned. Seriously. There is very broad consensus that this trade would be a horrible decision for the M's.
If Bavasi makes this deal, everyone will be calling for his head. Everyone but you, apparently.
I don't want to moderate or anything
EC is right that Ramirez has some value in this market. Healthy, he's a 30+ start guy capable of giving you an ERA in the 4.50-4.75 range. It's just that Soriano's value is way higher, and should net something substantially better than a #4/5 starting pitcher.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 5:06 PM PST up reply actions
I am trying to be a contrarian as well...
We just traded one of the best middle relievers in the game for Horacio Ramirez.
Eeesh
Rotoworld reports
I don't know...I'm reaching - but it seems odd for the Braves to acquire Williams and Soriano in the same hour.
by OlyOle on Dec 6, 2006 2:21 PM PST reply actions
Why?
Getting Gonzalez makes MUCH more sense - he's very, very good and now gives the Braves a SICK bullpen.
BTW - I think it is funny that so many of us thought Bavasi was going to outsmart Scheurholz.
This deal reeks of desparation after the Schmidt signing...
Bavasi didn't just get outsmarted by Scheurholz
He's done. If this is true, he doesn't deserve the job. I've given him so much credit and all he does is continue to ruin the club. Unreal.
I'm all for hope right now
Don't fool yourself
by ajpprc on Dec 6, 2006 2:31 PM PST up reply actions
When he removes his dick from my ass
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 2:33 PM PST up reply actions
Heathcliff, easily.
Slocumb was still worse...
I don't think he got us there
I'm going to go take a shower now and then I'm going to blow up America. I might blow up Canada too if I'm still mad. Take shelter.
Now it's settled in..
And now, I'm just kind of sad. I feel defeated. I feel sick. i just want to cry right now.
Almost there -
Anger - you dumb @)#$&@$23!! Bavasi is TeH SUKKIESSSST!!!
Fear - sweet merciful crap, Fire Bavasi before he trades Felix for Soriano (potential closer for young SP).
Bargaining - call M's FO. If you fire Bavasi, Lincoln, Armstrong, and Grover I'll buy 20 season tickets - I promise - I have cash!
Acceptance - well, the M's weren't going to win in 07. Might as well make it more likely we'll have a new front office after a 4th straight year in the cellar.
by Jed C on Dec 6, 2006 2:42 PM PST up reply actions
Three things
- If you've got your auto-refresh USSM program running, please stop. We don't particularly enjoy going down every time the Mariners make a move.
- Ramirez is better than everyone is giving him credit for. Lefty groundball guys can't succeed without strikeouts.
- This trade still sucks. They should have gotten much more.
Err
Can or Can't succeed without strikeouts?
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 2:36 PM PST up reply actions
My guess is...
Felix
Washburn
Thomson
????
Baek/Woods/Feierabend/etc.
I think the team has lost out on Schmidt and is going to punt on Zito getting a zillion dollars on a 5 or 6 year deal, as well they should, and also correctly realizes that everyone else in the market is a ticking time bomb of mediocrity at severe risk of being overpaid. As such, they should be assembling low-cost, low-commitment viable starting options. Ramirez counts as one.
It sucks that the price was this high, and in an ideal world Soriano would be one of those low-cost options. I suspect the M's don't think he's viable for that role, though. I think the M's may have overpaid some now to KNOW they've got a spot locked up before spring training, which is certainly an arguable point (I'm not as high on Soriano as other people are), but this isn't Slocumb for Varitek and Lowe, either.
by eponymous coward on Dec 6, 2006 2:46 PM PST up reply actions
Re: Thing #1
There are so many levels of metaphoric significance there. Beautiful.
This sucks
I hope the M's medical staff knows something we don't about Soriano, or this is going to piss me off!
Soriano's fine.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:44 PM PST up reply actions
There is some hope....
That's supposed to give me
by Josh @ Lookout Landing on Dec 6, 2006 2:47 PM PST up reply actions
were was the hope in that?
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 2:48 PM PST up reply actions
Schmidt is better than what we've had
Was this dumb? Yes. Fiscally prudent? Yes. Dictated by a front office wanting to not spend a fortune on pitching, YES.
Ummm
If you want to go cheap, don't give up good players for the right to do so.
by Josh @ Lookout Landing on Dec 6, 2006 2:56 PM PST up reply actions
Not necessarily
by G_ on Dec 6, 2006 3:01 PM PST up reply actions
Wait a minute
Of course that doesn't justify getting hosed on this deal, you should have been able to pick up someone like Ramirez for a lot less than Soriano.
On the other hand losing a player like Soriano and picking up a fungible part doesn't cripple your franchise like a long term deal for Schmidt or Zito does.
by ajpprc on Dec 6, 2006 3:03 PM PST up reply actions
It's pending.
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 2:52 PM PST up reply actions
Now let's sign Zito!
by WAB on Dec 6, 2006 2:54 PM PST reply actions
this kills any manny possibilities
Winter Meetings
by Squigley on Dec 6, 2006 3:02 PM PST reply actions
Jeff, your post script has made my day
Here it is on MLB.com for those that care...
Gosh
Are we in danger of getting that close to desperation that we'll end up paying over the odds for mediocrity (or quality)? Even those clubs who're also looking aren't hooked up to every rumour going...
Come On, Guys...
by troutmask96 @ Lookout Landing on Dec 6, 2006 3:27 PM PST reply actions
Agreed...
by troutmask96 @ Lookout Landing on Dec 6, 2006 3:45 PM PST up reply actions
Ah gawd
Since Bavasi is aware of the blogging nation
I know its far fetched but it would be clever
I don't know this response was worse
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 4:07 PM PST up reply actions
Hmmm...
And honestly
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 4:09 PM PST up reply actions
Thank you Jeff for this tiny bit of humble sanity
He also probably poses as a twenty something techie and makes silly comments just to tweak our ears.
Bill Bavasi = Jerry?
by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 6, 2006 4:58 PM PST up reply actions
Ya but he wants to keep his job
by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 6, 2006 4:11 PM PST up reply actions
Don't read so much into stuff
Perhaps "leaked" is the wrong term
Time to give the M's an ultimatum
either Bavasi goes, or the Moose gets it.
man, this sucks.
by JoeyJoJoJuniorShabadoo on Dec 6, 2006 6:59 PM PST reply actions
hmmmm
by Egaas on Dec 6, 2006 7:21 PM PST reply actions
Just Horrible!
by tmoney96 on Dec 6, 2006 7:33 PM PST reply actions
I met Conor Glassey in the U District today
Keep in mind that at the time he tells me, I'm physically ill, had a headache and a bad cough that will not go away, had to ask off work early because I felt so terrible, and was on my way home from work.
Yeah, my day is going TERRIFIC. I'm only writing now because I came home, took cold drugs and passed out for three hours.
Good lord, how does an offseason go from reasonably promising to circling the drain in the shitter in a matter of 24 hours?
HORACIO RAMIREZ?!
If any solace, the Cubs signed Ted Lilly for 4/40. LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL or maybe that's the cough syrup talking.
Hey if this is actually true
by Edgar for Pres on Dec 6, 2006 8:43 PM PST up reply actions
Let's start the Fire Bavasi campaign!
Favor the Bold
USSM
Yesterday...
Today...Damn.
I have no idea how Bavasi could be dumb enough to make this kind of move. Something just doesn't add up here. I've defended Bavasi on a lot of his moves...Beltre, Garcia, Winn...There is no logical defense of this deal. If it happens I will firmly be in the "Bavasi must go" camp. Does he not have other people around him even remotely capable of seeing how bad this is? There isn't a person out there who follows these moves closely that doesn't think this is an idiotic move. Surely he can't be that inept? Everyone around him too? Unreal.
Gurrr.
by anotherjeff on Dec 6, 2006 9:01 PM PST reply actions

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