Here we are at the all star break, and the M's are 51-44. In order to match last year's records, the M's would have to go 20-47.
That’s a .335 winning percentage. The worst in the majors is .400 by Texas(!). And there’s still ~28 more Felix/Kuma starts to go – chances are we’re winning way more than 20 games the rest of the season, so we’re already almost assured of beating our 2013 record.
We’re projected (by Fangraphs) to finish 85-77 (34-34 the rest of the way), tied with the O’s for the 9th best record, and the 4th best in the AL This would put us playing (fuck) the Angels in the wild card game, being four games clear of the 81-81 Royals for the second wild card spot.
In other words, we’ve played .543 baseball to date. Even going .500 the rest of the way we’re still in good shape to make the playoffs.
If the season only ran to the all star break, we’d be prepping for the wild card game against (fuck) the Angels, we have a 2.5 game break over our nearest rivals. It’s the all star break, and we’re in a playoff spot. We’re playing meaningful baseball. We’re buyers leading up to the deadline.
I ran a poll in late January because I was curious to see what LL thought in terms of if the M's were contenders. At the time, from 143 votes there were 4 votes for "Hell yes, bring on the regular season" and 20 votes for "For the wildcard, but not the division" - a total of 17% of votes. Given where we currently sit, I thought an update was in order. So please vote below and let me know what you think. Are we a legitimate contender for the playoffs?
If you think its going to take a decent move and wish to discuss in the comments please do! But please refrain from rosterbating, thanks in advance.