The Answer

Earlier, I asked you guys how you felt about the Mariners' production so far this year with a runner on third and less than two out. As of right now, 4% of respondents voted "good", 47% of respondents voted "normal", and 47% of respondents voted "poor". That still leaves 2% of respondents, all of whom voted for the mystery box. They were given the mystery box, and now their votes have been erased. That should tell you what you need to know about the mystery box. Some mysteries should remain mysterious.

I wasn't just going to drop that poll without following it up, though. On the year, the Mariners have had 150 plate appearances with a runner on third and less than two out. In 81 of those plate appearances, they brought the runner home, for a conversation rate of 54%. Sound really bad? Believe it or not, the league average is 50%. Half the time, the batter brings in the runner from 90 feet away, and half the time, he doesn't. It's not nearly the gimme that it seems like.

Note that this doesn't count times that the runner stays at third, and then ends up scoring with two outs. By that point, whoever drove the runner home let the previous batter or batters off the hook.

The Mariners' conversion rate ranks tied for ninth-best in baseball. It's just eighth-best in the American League, since the NL is brought down by pitchers. There wasn't a right or wrong answer to the poll, by the way; it was a question about feelings, and feelings are feelings. But 47% of respondents feel like the Mariners have done a poor job of something when they've actually done an above-average job of it. People have been conditioned to believe it's easier to drive a runner in from third than it actually is.

Last season, the Mariners finished at 54%, against an AL average of 53%. The season before that, 47% and 50%, respectively. The season before that, 47% and 52%. The season before that has been stricken from the records.

As a final fun fact, Chone Figgins has an above-average career conversion rate. As a Mariner, Figgins has batted 44 times with a runner on third and less than two out, and 26 times he's driven the runner home. Whenever Figgins has batted in that situation, you've felt like he was going to fuck it up. In reality he's done better than most. Kudos on this one very specific accomplishment, Chone Figgins.

In This Article

Teams
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Lookout Landing

You must be a member of Lookout Landing to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Lookout Landing. You should read them.

Join Lookout Landing

You must be a member of Lookout Landing to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Lookout Landing. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker