Mariners Prepare Their Papers in Advance of Arizona Visit

MARINERS (29-39) Δ Ms D-BACKS (32-34) EDGE
HITTING (wOBA) -52.7 (30th) -6.7 5.5 (11th) D-backs
FIELDING (BABIP) 21.7 (2nd) -3.7 4.4 (16th) Mariners
ROTATION (tRA) 0.1 (16th) 1.2 15.8 (11th) D-backs
BULLPEN (tRA) -8.7 (26th) 1.3 7.0 (8th) D-backs
OVERALL (RAA) -39.6 (24th) -7.9 32.7 (7th) DIAMONDBACKS
Explainer

Last place! Last place! Last place! The Mariners are finally last in hitting! Whew! Wow. Just... so many people to thank. Let's see, there's Brendan Ryan, Chone Figgins of course. Some surprise help from Dustin Ackley, Justin Smoak and Ichiro Suzuki too. I didn't think you three were going to chip in as much as you did, but wow! Miguel Olivo, of course, can't forget about you!

Batter PA P/PA Slash line nBB K (sw) 1B/2B/3B/HR Sw% Ct% Qual+
M Saunders* 50 4.3 .326/.380/.565 4 10 (7) 8 / 5 / 0 / 2 53 80 136.8
J Montero 50 3.6 .333/.360/.438 2 8 (7) 13 / 2 / 0 / 1 56 77 115.7
M Olivo 32 3.7 .250/.250/.531 0 6 (6) 3 / 3 / 0 / 2 57 78 100.4
K Seager* 51 4.2 .171/.333/.341 10 12 (10) 4 / 1 / 0 / 2 45 73 112.4
D Ackley* 50 4.4 .244/.300/.267 4 15 (9) 10 / 1 / 0 / 0 36 81 53.4
I Suzuki* 57 3.0 .193/.211/.263 0 4 (2) 9 / 1 / 0 / 1 50 92 88.7
B Ryan 28 3.9 .125/.250/.125 4 6 (5) 3 / 0 / 0 / 0 47 61 36.3
J Smoak^ 54 4.1 .128/.241/.128 7 11 (10) 6 / 0 / 0 / 0 40 76 32.8

P/PA = pitches per PA [avg~3.8], nBB = uBB + HBP, Sw = swinging [avg~45%], Ct = contact [avg~81%], Qual+ = a measure of quality of batted balls [avg=100, higher is better]

Despite yesterday's outburst of two runs, this offense is still very much struggling to get hits of any variety and especially of the extra-base kind. And now Ichiro gets another day off. I wonder how much more often that is going to happen if his BABIP doesn't turn around. And really, again, it's pretty all BABIP with him.

How much of the career low in BABIP is a fluke is the important question with Ichiro. If it's mostly a fluke, then the rest of his game makes him a borderline All-Star again. His defense looks great, his baserunning is still good and his isolated hitting rates are satisfactory. But he needs to be hitting .310, not .260.

Batter PA P/PA Slash line nBB SO (sw) 1B/2B/3B/HR Sw% Ct% Qual+
A Hill 49 3.5 .356/.408/.622 4 5 (4) 9 / 4 / 1 / 2 45 90 141.1
P Goldschmidt 41 4.0 .306/.390/.639 5 10 (7) 5 / 3 / 0 / 3 41 82 206.8
M Montero* 43 3.9 .243/.364/.595 5 12 (9) 4 / 1 / 0 / 4 49 78 182.9
G Parra* 40 3.9 .278/.350/.556 4 7 (6) 6 / 1 / 0 / 3 45 79 153.4
J Kubel* 51 4.0 .306/.346/.571 1 9 (6) 9 / 2 / 1 / 3 43 79 135.2
R Roberts 37 4.0 .333/.351/.500 1 6 (5) 8 / 3 / 0 / 1 49 88 126.2
J Upton 46 3.6 .295/.340/.318 2 14 (8) 12 / 1 / 0 / 0 48 78 58.1
W Bloomquist 40 3.2 .282/.300/.359 1 6 (4) 8 / 3 / 0 / 0 54 84 41.5
C Young 47 4.1 .175/.298/.225 7 11 (5) 5 / 2 / 0 / 0 41 80 56.7

Okay, so the Diamondbacks understand this whole hitting thing.

MARINERS Δ Ms D-BACKS EDGE
INFIELD 14.7 (3rd) -0.6 -5.5 (20th) Mariners
OUTFIELD 7.0 (10th) -3.1 9.9 (9th) D-backs
RBBIP 0.291 (5th) -.003 0.311 (18th) Mariners
OVERALL 21.7 (2nd) -3.7 4.4 (16th) MARINERS
Explainer

The outfield defense did not take an immediate and gigantic step forward. I am outraged! This is bupkis.

18 JUN 18:40

WADE MILEY* HECTOR NOESI
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Of the seven pitchers who have starts for the Diamondbacks this season so far, only Wade Miley here and Josh Collmenter are products of Arizona's farm system. Until Erasmo made his start last week, of the five Mariner starting pitchers this year, only Felix came from the Mariner's farm system. I offer these with no additional context. It's what I found out after asking myself "Who the hell is Wade Miley?"

19 JUN 18:40

DANIEL HUDSON ERASMO RAMIREZ
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Erasmo Ramirez after one start is Pitch-o-Matic.

20 JUN 12:40

TREVOR CAHILL JASON VARGAS*
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Reliever BF Str% nBB Ct% K(sw) GB% HR Qual- LI
B League 56 66.3 3 82.5 10 (9) 46.5 1 120.7 1.4
S Kelley 55 64.5 4 76.9 14 (14) 27.8 0 85.3 1.1
T Wilhelmsen 53 71.4 4 75.7 16 (12) 51.5 1 82.6 1.7
H Iwakuma 51 63.4 8 78.7 7 (6) 68.6 0 70.6 0.7
C Furbush* 35 68.3 1 68.6 16 (13) 64.7 0 53.1 0.5
S Delabar 29 61.0 3 65.6 10 (10) 56.3 1 139.1 0.6
L Luetge* 22 56.6 3 81.8 3 (2) 43.8 0 40.8 0.6
S Pryor 21 65.6 2 79.2 5 (5) 57.1 1 79.5 1.5

Str% = strike rate [avg~63%], Ct% = contact rate [avg~78%], GB% = groundball rate [avg~45%], Qual- = a measure of quality of batted balls [avg=100, lower is better], LI = leverage [avg~1.2]

As you can see above, the average ground ball rate for relief pitchers this season is around 45%. Check out the rates for the Mariner relievers over the past double fortnight. Aside from Shawn Kelley, who thinks the outfield is lazy and needs more exercise, the pen has really been keeping the ball on the ground.

That is probably not so smally correlated to their just four home runs allowed and, as previously mentioned, slowly improving collective tRA. On 1 June, the pen was -15.5 in runs against average according to tRA. They've improved a lot for just 17 days.

Reliever BF Str% nBB Ct% K(sw) GB% HR Qual- LI
B Shaw 43 65.2 4 84.7 6 (6) 51.5 1 74.3 1.0
D Hernandez 41 69.0 5 67.7 17 (16) 26.3 0 93.2 1.0
J Collmenter 37 65.2 1 84.3 12 (9) 41.7 1 128.4 0.5
C Breslow* 35 62.0 3 83.3 6 (6) 50.0 2 132.1 0.8
B Ziegler 31 70.4 2 83.3 6 (3) 65.2 0 98.7 0.9
J Putz 28 65.3 4 85.7 7 (5) 29.4 0 87.1 2.0
M Zagurski* 21 52.1 7 70.4 7 (5) 57.1 0 27.1 0.5

Hey there, J.J. Putz, I see that you're still around. Unlike Brad Lidge who was recently released by the Nationals after being terrible. Those two are not related far as I can discern except that both are in their age-35 season. J.J. Putz has been quite good aside from the four home runs allowed this season in just 20 innings pitched.

Series Beer(s): Spice Nectar Mead
Let us celebrate mead!

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