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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

CONT-SUCK records at the halfway point

FeLLow commentor Bearskin Rugburn suggested on June 27 that W-L record could be replaced by, well, just about anything, and it'd be an improvement. Here's the subthread in which he openly pines for a compendium of how many times each Mariner has been named Biggest Contributor or Biggest Suckfest in Jeff's postgame charts.

I'd read something to that effect, I told him. He could even write the fanpost on that topic.

Yeah. I hope B.R. didn't follow through on my harebrained idea, because I already did.

Halfway through the season, 81 Biggest Contributions (CONT) have been handed out, as have 81 Biggest Suckfests (SUCK). Data is -- are? -- culled from Jeff's charts or Fangraphs game info, which is what Matthew uses when Sullivan takes an illegal night off.

After the jump lies each individual Mariner's CONT-SUCK record thus far, along with some observations.

Star-divide

Players are arranged in descending order of "winning percentage." CONT is the first number, SUCK is the second. It takes three "decisions" to qualify for consideration.

POSITION PLAYERS

Halman 4-0

Carp 3-0

Smoak 6-3

Ryan 5-5

Langerhans 2-2

Kennedy 1.5-2

Peguero 4-5

Ichiro 2.5-4

Cust 1-2

Bradley 1-2

Saunders 1-3

Olivo 2-8

Figgins 2-8

Gutierrez 1-5

Rest of team: Rodriguez 2-0, Bard 1-0, J. Wilson 1-1, Ackley 0-0.

SUMMARY

Dustin Ackley's record remains unblemished. More on him later. Disturbingly, Miguel Oh-oh-Olivo somehow manages the same record as Chone Figgins. Hi-I'm-Everywhere Carlos Peguero has nine decisions in 129 PA while Jack Cust has three in 234 PA. Nice to see you, Ryan Langerhans and Jack Wilson.

Balkan and Mike Carp are undefeated, while one regular position player has a winning record. In fact, position players are a combined 40-50.

Guti's wOBA is a woeful .207 and Figgins sits at .213, so that explains a lot.

Adam Kennedy and Ichiro split a CONT one evening. That was game 13. Only thing is, they each came in at -.008 that night. Said Jeff at the time: "I can't remember for sure but I think this might be the first time in my several years of doing this that every single Mariner has been in the negative."

PITCHERS

Pineda 8-1

Felix 9-4

Bedard 4-2

Vargas 8-5

Wright 4-3

Fister 5-5

Pauley 1-2

Ray 1-2

League 1-4

Rest of team: Laffey 0-1, Lueke 0-1.

SUMMARY

This stat is hardly fair to League, who has ample opportunity to blow the game, but rarely the chance to help decide it in a positive manner. At the height of One Pitch Wright Mania, Jamey racked up two CONTs in three days.

Ray? Oh yeah, April.

If you've watched half or more of the games, the pitching numbers make a lot of sense. Fister gets no run support, so his mistakes' leverage is amplified. The other starters are just plain great, combining for a record of 34-17.

Pitchers are 41-30 overall. 

GENERAL TRIVIA

Game 9 featured a CONT from Saunders and a SUCK from Bedard. That's unlikely to ever occur again in major league baseball future history.

Game 37: Figgins won, Felix lost. The numbers don't lie.

Game 39: League records his fourth SUCK in the span of five days. None since. Not even in THE Nationals game, not that anyone needs to ever remember that one. You know, game 73, in which David Pauley scored a noteworthy -.958.

Game 51: Ichiro's last SUCK. Coincidence, surely. (That was the Adam Kennedy Is Luckier Than Mariano Rivera Celebration Game.)

Smoak leads the "offense" in WPA. By a wide margin. He has accumulated 1.89, and the second-place guy has .73. Incidentally, the second-place guy would be Ackley. In only 45 PA, he has had, by one measure, more total positive impact in the lineup than everyone but the everyday first baseman.

Figgins checks in with a -2.02 WPA, Saunders with a -1.66. Those guys have lapped the field, but not in a good way.

MEANING

Very little. CONT-SUCK isn't exactly a meaningful statistic, just some innocent fun. But I'll do this again for games 82-162, so we can compare results. Gotta keep myself busy in October somehow.

Poll
Who will finish atop the Seattle CONT-SUCK leaderboard, in terms of winning percentage, when the season ends? Six decisions will be necessary to qualify.
Michael "Stan the Motherfucking Man" Pineda
60 votes
Felix
47 votes
Erik "Wow" Bedard
2 votes
Jason Vargas
1 votes
Balkan
5 votes
Mike Carp
3 votes
Justin Smoak
14 votes
Brendan Ryan
2 votes
Ichiro
5 votes
Dustin Ackley
43 votes
Other
2 votes

184 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 10 comments  |  13 recs  | 

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Here's the full WPA list for

hitters and pitchers. Pineda is close to Smoak, who you mentioned is the team leader. Peguero, Luis Rodriguez, and Vargas are higher than I expected. Good gravy have Guti, Saunders, and DeChone been bad.
You could also look at REW (run expectancy wins) which is more context neutral. It loves Pauley and Bradley more than that dang WPA.

by yuniform on Jun 30, 2011 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

It was fun.

I got a kick out of reliving the season game by game.
I’ll pay less attention from now on, promise.

by fiftyone on Jun 30, 2011 11:13 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Rather than using a "winning percentage" stat for the leaderboard...

…I would suggest using an “above/below .500” stat. That way you don’t have to worry about who qualifies and who doesn’t qualify—players with just one best or worst recognition would start off in the middle of the pack. Figgins would move to worst for position players and Vargas would edge Bedard under this system.

by ubelmann on Jun 30, 2011 1:35 PM PDT reply actions  

Right, I thought about that while compiling the numbers.

Listing the standings as Pineda +7, Wright +1, Figgins -6, for example, was my backup plan.
But I liked the W-L record format because Bearskin’s point a few days ago, after all, was the impetus for the project in the first place.

by fiftyone on Jun 30, 2011 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

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