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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Why Do They Always Get Better

Late last night, in a game against the Diamondbacks, Jose Lopez pinch-hit for Huston Street in the bottom of the ninth. Lopez struck out, and the Rockies lost. Just a few minutes later, it was announced that Lopez had been designated for assignment, as the Rockies are shaking things up yet again in their infield.

This is not a celebratory post, nor is it an I-told-you-so post. I'm not happy that Jose Lopez failed; quite the opposite, in fact, and I thought things had a good chance of working out in Colorado. Lopez is a good person and a talented player I wanted to see succeed somewhere other than in front of my eyes 160 times a year.

But Lopez didn't succeed. Despite being put in an excellent position, and despite homering in his third at bat and singling in his fourth, Lopez failed, and he failed in large part because he didn't make any changes. Lopez kept on swinging his way into easy outs, and it looks like he'll end his Rockies career with a .233 OBP.

I don't know what comes next for Jose Lopez. He's still only 27 years old. He'll get a chance somewhere, even if it isn't a chance that lets him start in the bigs right away, and he's by no means run out of opportunities. He's a decently versatile young infielder two years removed from hitting 25 home runs in a pitcher-friendly park. Someone'll bite.

But - think back to 2005. You'll remember that 2005 was the year the Mariners were planning on using Pokey Reese every day at shortstop. But Reese got hurt, and the Mariners had to scramble to add Wilson Valdez as a last-minute stopgap. They grabbed him off waivers on April 1st and played him through May, and for as long as he was around, Valdez was exactly what we figured he'd be - pretty sharp in the field and godawful with the bat. Valdez was the kind of shortstop you can grab off waivers on the first day of April.

Valdez disappeared in early June, and it didn't look like he'd go on to have much of a big league career. Within a couple weeks, Jose Lopez arrived in the Majors for the second time. Lopez didn't take Valdez's job, because Lopez wasn't a shortstop, but it signaled a transition from a dull, pointless middle infield to a young, exciting middle infield. Valdez was 27. He was nothing. He wasn't part of the future. Lopez was 21. He was one of the better infield prospects in baseball, and we were looking forward to having him as a building block for the better part of the next decade.

Now fast-forward. Some numbers:

Wilson Valdez, 2010-2011: .255/.299/.346, 74 OPS+
Jose Lopez, 2010-2011: .234/.264/.330, 64 OPS+

Baseball is the weirdest game.

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Jose Lopez is still frustrating.

From Denver Post (reposted from another thread)

Lopez came to the Rockies to replace second baseman Clint Barmes, but he couldn’t beat out Jonathan Herrera for the job and his playing time decreased as the season went on.

“Yeah, they just told me . . . and I was shocked,” Lopez said. “I can still play, and I want a chance to play every day.”

Lopez believes he would have produced for the Rockies if he had gotten more playing time.

“I think if I get more at-bats, I would start hitting,” he said.

For good measure:

Jose Lopez, 2008: .297/.322/.443, 103 OPS+
Jose Lopez, 2009: .272/.303/.463, 103 OPS+
Jose Lopez, 2010: .239/.270/.339, 71 OPS+
Jose Lopez, 2011: .208/.233/.288, 36 OPS+ (129 PA)

For all the talent he has, doesn’t he realize that his production is rapidly deteriorating? That he probably needs to do something about it in order for him to win and maintain a spot on a Major League team? I cannot shake the feeling that Lopez still isn’t quite getting it.

by ThundaPC on May 27, 2011 10:56 AM PDT reply actions   2 recs

Based on the subject post and seeing that it was about Lopez,

My first thought here was that you were going to address that Jose Lopez left Seattle and didn’t suddenly become better. That is, in direct contrast to the common Mariner fan gripe, “why do they always get better when they leave”, here was an example of a player leaving Seattle and not suddenly putting up better numbers.

I fall prey to the same feeling at times, but I think it is partly because of the spotlight of a player performing well. When Choo/Cabera have monster years, folks talk about it. Mariner fans roll their eyes. But when a player leaves and does nothing, no one bats an eye. No one wrote articles about Jeff Cirillo’s career post-Seattle. Not even you, Mrs. Cirillo.

I wonder if other franchises lament the lost talent the way Mariners do. Maybe it happens everywhere, I am not sure.

by jtopps on May 27, 2011 11:03 AM PDT reply actions  

No, the subject line

Was a direct reference to this post Jeff wrote a year ago, where he addressed exactly what you’re talking about. It’s worth a read, if you didn’t see it at the time.

by J0SER on May 27, 2011 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Oh nice.

Thanks for the heads-up.

by jtopps on May 27, 2011 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

He'd be soooo good!

Who else knows about popping up weakly and grounding into double plays!

Who's gonna save the world? Who's gonna save the day? From Ahab crabs who steal and eerie eels with evil rays?

by JAH on May 27, 2011 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah

He showed so much early promise, and he’s had so much pain in his personal life, I really wanted him to succeed. And who knows, maybe he’ll get it figured out and he still will. But that door is closing fast. I thought Colorado was the perfect spot for him to get his career back on track; now, he seems to be on that train that makes one last stop in Pittsburgh or Houston before he finds himself coaching in Venezuela.

by J0SER on May 27, 2011 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

Willie Bloomquist?,

I was about to say…that he’s looking better, but then I checked his triple slash line and WAR at fangraphs. Nope: He’s the same, ever so slightly above replacement.

by lokiforever on May 27, 2011 11:36 AM PDT reply actions  

Figgins

At the beginning of the article I thought "we should bring him back, he can’t be worse than Chone “Automatic Out” Figgins… but then I looked at his stats, and he is at least equally as bad this year.

When we call Ackley up, can Jack Wilson or Adam Kennedy take over at 3rd base?

by dundundun on May 27, 2011 11:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Kennedy or Rodriguez are your back-up 3Bs

And strictly for defense, I’d take Rodriguez.
Don’t ask Jack Wilson to learn yet another position at the MLB level.

by J0SER on May 27, 2011 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

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