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Around SBN: Win or Lose, Boston Celtics' New Big 3 Era A Success

Series Preview: Cleveland Indians @ Seattle Mariners

MARINERS (2-4) Δ Ms INDIANS (4-2) EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-5.2 (21st) -6.5 2.5 (11th) Cleveland
FIELDING (UZR) 0 - 0
ROTATION (tRA)
5.4 (5th) 1.3 -1.3 (21st) Seattle
BULLPEN (tRA)
-0.6 (22nd) -0.4 2.9 (7th) Cleveland
OVERALL(RAA)
-0.4 (14th) -5.7 4.1 (11th) CLEVELAND

The pitching wasn't the problem. The rotation turned in a pair of good starts and the bullpen was satisfactory. The Rangers offense dropped a few tenths of a run over the series.

The Mariners welcome in the hated Cleveland Indians to Safeco Field to begin the 2011 home season. Remember to hate them for making Joey Cora cry in 1995 and for post-hoc ruining our 117-win season in 2001. It's been 10 and 16 years and revenge is a dish best served cold. The Indians' main lineup so far includes five left-handers and two switch-hitters. I don't know if they will attempt to deploy Austin Kearns and Adam Everett to balance the lineup out against Vargas and Bedard, but neither is much of a threat at the plate any longer so there's a limit to how much mitigating these two could accomplish.

Fri 08 April 19:10

JASON VARGAS* CARLOS CARRASCO

Alright! Home Opener! Woooo, Felix Da -- what? Jason Vargas? Aw, man. I probably undervalue Jason Vargas or at least his change up. His change up is quite a good pitch and Safeco Field is the perfect place for Vargas to pitch, affording him a margin of error for his fly balls. Change ups are traditionally a better pitch against opposite-handed hitters so Vargas against the Indians line up might not be as dominating as you would expect seeing so many left-handed hitters. 

Carlos Carrasco also has a good change up, but being right-handed is a more of a threat than Vargas because he gets to use his change up to better neutralize our biggest left-handed threats and also because Carrasco gets to face the Mariners. Lucky not-Mariner players.

Sat 09 April 18:10

DOUG FISTER JUSTIN MASTERSON

As you will hear in further discussion on the upcoming LL Podcast (or not), if the Mariners call up Josh Bard to take Adam Moore's roster spot then the team has an opportunity to run out or normal lineup except for the middle infield with Bard at catcher, Adam Kennedy at second and Luis Rogriguez at short stop. The side effect of that seemingly random alignment is that every hitter would be either left-handed or switch-hitting.

Come on, Wedge. Nine lefty hitters against Justin Masterson. You know you want to do it. Masterson has about a 200-point OPS platoon split over his career. Doooooooooo it. Meanwhile, taking the hill for the Mariners on Felix Hernandez 2010 A.L. Cy Young Bobblehead Night is Doug Fister

Sun 10 April 13:10

ERIK BEDARD* JOSH TOMLIN

Josh Tomlin's a weird cat. His sinker is a good pitch at generating swings and misses even while he keeps it in the strike zone, but he doesn't get ground balls out of it. It's actually more of a cutter than a true sinker. For as effective as his curve ball is, you'd expect him to feature it more, but it's better for us that he doesn't. Tomlin throws strikes so it might behoove the top half of our lineup to be aggressive and go for fly balls. For Figgins, that means he might get one all the way out to an outfielder.

Erik Bedard's curve ball, unlike Vargas' change up, is a pitch more suited to destroying lefties so that coupled with the day start makes me expect a more balanced batting order for this game. However, there's a limit to how many righties the Indians call roll out there so I am looking for Bedard to show us some solid success in this outing and further raise our hopes before dashing them on the hidden tide rocks lurking just below the surface.

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These new graphs are fantastic, Matthew

is it just me or does Doug Fister’s curveball kinda suck?

by seattlebruin on Apr 8, 2011 11:48 AM PDT reply actions  

Nine lefty hitters against Justin Masterson.

I would love to see this. Heck, I might pay for tickets to see this.

by Ugly Dickshot on Apr 8, 2011 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

Does anyone have the win expectancy chart for that 2001 game against Cleveland?

I don’t do that much research so I don’t know how’d I’d find it, but I think this would be an interesting one to look at!

by scottg02 on Apr 8, 2011 1:09 PM PDT reply actions  

He's the Chone Figgins of managers, amirite?

"I can't recommend highly enough going back and watching old clips of Jose Lopez." -Jeff Sullivan

by joof on Apr 8, 2011 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

He ought to

He exploited them daily.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Apr 8, 2011 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmmmm.......
GregJohnsMLB
#Mariners lineup: Ichiro RF, Figgins 3B, Bradley LF, Cust DH, Smoak 1B, Olivo C, Kennedy 2B, Ryan SS, Langerhans CF,
Vargas P.

by ThundaPC on Apr 8, 2011 2:20 PM PDT reply actions  

And here comes Chris Gimenez
GregJohnsMLB
Mariners bring Chris GImenez up from Tacoma and put Adam Moore on 60-day D.

by ThundaPC on Apr 8, 2011 2:42 PM PDT reply actions  

REUNION!

"I want to be playing at the end of October or the end of September -- not just at the beginning of April." —Grady

by westbrook on Apr 8, 2011 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Holy Crap?
RyanDivish
Wedge said Jack Wilson asked to come out of Sunday’s game. Called that attitude unacceptable.

by ThundaPC on Apr 8, 2011 3:56 PM PDT reply actions  

Wilsongate is going to tear this team apart!

"I can't recommend highly enough going back and watching old clips of Jose Lopez." -Jeff Sullivan

by joof on Apr 8, 2011 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

WTF?

What is the deal with the Pirates organization? Snell preferred to stay in the minors; now Wilson – one day after making what several people called “one of the best plays by a 2B I’ve ever seen” – makes a couple of errors and benches himself? Is there something about the kind of players the Pirates recruit and develop? Or is it something about Pittsburgh? Perhaps living with all those overcompensating small-genitaled Steeler -bullies- “fans” has this effect?

It’s fine to have high expectations of yourself, and to be angry when you fail to meet them. And heaven knows we’ve seen too many ballplayers try to hang on long after it’s obvious to everyone else they’re done. But there’s a time and a place for that, and the middle of a game is not it.

I guess it’s not a big deal if Wilson takes his jazz hands and goes home — the team already has 3 other middle infielders, and he was just keeping the base warm for Ackley anyway — but that’s just bizarre.

by Ugly Dickshot on Apr 8, 2011 4:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

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