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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Daisuke Matsuzaka Injury Gives Mariners Opportunity To Play, Win Watchable Game

It's a funny thing about a lot of baseball fans and writers - as much as we love the game, and as much as we come to the game's defense when it's insulted, we can't stand when the games themselves drag on. There's a reason those four-hour Red Sox/Yankees games have gotten so much attention over the years. People don't like when baseball takes too much time. Not so much because of extra innings; extra innings are tense. But slow, laborious regular innings are torture.

It seems counter-intuitive at first. If you like baseball, shouldn't you like baseball the way it is, no matter how fast or slow the pace? But then, a long game doesn't necessarily have more action than a shorter game - it just has more pauses and delays, when nothing's happening, and those moments aren't enjoyable. If you take your favorite movie and splice in five second-long delays before every line of dialogue, it probably wouldn't be your favorite movie anymore.

So with Daisuke Matsuzaka scheduled to take the mound for the Red Sox tonight, I wasn't looking forward to this game as much as I would've liked to, because Matsuzaka is well-known to be one of the slowest workers in baseball. He works slowly and he lives in deep counts, which can be rough on the viewer. Ordinarily I love playing games against Boston because they're one of the few teams still out there that I want to beat for more reasons than simply seeing the M's get a win, but Matsuzaka took some of the shine off that apple.

Then, after a few innings, he got hurt. He got hurt! Granted, at 82 pitches Matsuzaka was nearing the end of his outing anyway, but that opened the door for the game to pick up, and sure enough, after one final Matsuzaka-related break in the action, the game got a little faster, and the game got a little better as the M's erased a deficit. Then the game got a lot better. Then the Mariners won. The whole thing took a little over three hours, but every pitch after the fifth inning or so had me on the edge of my sofa, and the final one elicited a shout and a fist pump.

Given this little hot streak that the Mariners are riding, there's going to be some talk about whether or not you're buying them as a legitimately decent ballclub. Less important than your answer, though, is that we get to ask the question. I don't know how long this improved play is going to last, but I'm just glad that I get to be happy about baseball again. Sometimes the Mariners make me forget why I love this game so much. These past four games have been a reminder.

Star-divide

It's hard to remember that, before everything else, the Mariners actually had an early lead in this one, after Justin Smoak's two-run single in the first. Smoak was given a very hittable pitch of which he took advantage, and one had to wonder at the time why the Red Sox would give him anything remotely hittable given who was standing on deck. But then (A) it's not like Matsuzaka puts his pitches where he wants them anyway, and (B) I guess it turns out Jack Cust isn't dead after all.

After the Mariners went up, they wound up victims of some lousy luck. The second inning saw Mike Cameron wrap a home run around the Pesky Pole in right, which is kind of like when a hockey player clears the puck along the boards and it takes a funny bounce off the stanchion to catch the other goalie off guard and go into the net. It counts, but nobody's satisfied. Then, in the bottom of the third, Darnell McDonald led off by striking out, but the umpires curiously ruled that he tipped the ball and Miguel Olivo didn't catch it clean, so McDonald got another chance and drew a walk, starting off a two-run inning that gave the Red Sox the lead.

A legitimate Mike Cameron homer in the fourth put Boston up 4-2, but then the Mariners got a break. With runners on first and second and one out, Dustin Pedroia hit a grounder to short. Brendan Ryan picked it up and rushed forward to tag Jason Varitek before throwing to first to complete the double play, but replays appeared to show that no tag was applied. In my head, it evened things up. Even though the previous bad call had indirectly cost the Mariners two runs, the right call here would've put two runners in scoring position for Adrian Gonzalez.

My feelings of evensies disappeared a few minutes later when Justin Smoak was called out on strikes on a pitch well inside with a runner on third. Thankfully, from then on there wasn't much in the way of controversy, aside from some more peculiar ball/strike calls for both sides, and the Mariners wound up winning, so I've little reason to complain and really mean it.

The seventh was the big inning. It's amazing how much better this lineup looks when the top of it is working the way it's supposed to. Ichiro singled and Chone Figgins doubled, and after a Milton Bradley strikeout, Miguel Olivo came up in a situation where he needed to make contact and he made enough contact, driving in the tying run. Then, two batters later, Jack Cust swung at the second pitch of an at bat for the first time in his entire professional career and blasted a double off the Monster to put the M's in front. It was only his third extra-base hit of the season and I don't think anybody saw it coming, but it sure would be peaches if this were an indication that Cust wants to get in on things too.

That put the game in the hands of the pitching staff, and after some deep breaths and eyelid raises, Brandon League threw a perfect inside fastball for the final out. Fittingly, after seeing Cameron hit a 150-foot home run earlier in the game, the Red Sox watched on as Jed Lowrie led off the ninth with a 410-foot fly out to center. Fenway's a weird, quirky ballpark, but Fenway doesn't play favorites, and in the end it all worked out for the forces of good.

12-15. It isn't a good record, but it's even with the Red Sox, and it looks a hell of a lot better than the 8-15 we were looking at all day Monday. The Cleveland Indians might be proof that it's still too early to take much of what we see for serious, but then, the Cleveland Indians might be proof that sometimes a team can take you by surprise. The more the Mariners win, the more reasons you can find to think they could keep winning.

Man this feels weird.

  • It's funny what that one call against Darnell McDonald did to Jason Vargas' final line. Instead of a hypothetically impressive five strikeouts and one walk, he wound up with four strikeouts and two walks in seven innings, with four runs allowed. On the surface, this was a decent start - nothing more, and nothing less, given the circumstances.

    But I think Vargas was better than decent in a smaller park against a good lineup. His changeup was a weapon from the get-go. Two-thirds of them were strikes. Of the 21 swings the Red Sox took against it, seven missed, and six hit grounders. Vargas' strength didn't abandon him on a night when he needed it.

    And when you consider that he lasted seven innings, and that Cameron's first home run was a fly out in any other ballpark, this was an excellent effort. Vargas is getting into that Jarrod Washburn zone where you just assume that he'll deliver a solid effort pretty much every time he takes the mound. I would never pick Vargas as the one Mariner I'd want to start in a must-win game, but if Vargas wound up having to start a must-win game, I wouldn't be disappointed. Home opener aside, I trust him.

  • Looking back, it's hilarious now how badly so many of us wanted Daisuke Matsuzaka, and how upset we were when Boston paid a Soyuz seat just for the right to have a conversation. Matsuzaka hasn't been a bad pitcher, but he's been a frustrating one who's been less than what was advertised, and when you throw in the fact that he's among the five least watchable pitchers in the league, it's safe to say we dodged a bullet, or at least a fist-sized rock thrown with moderate speed in our direction.

  • Jack Cust wound up being the hero when he delivered that double off the wall, but earlier in the game there was some talk about the length of his leash. Why would Jack Cust be on a leash? No wonder he's been struggling. There's been somebody tugging at a belt around his neck the whole time he's been trying to swing. Maybe if the Mariners want Jack Cust to improve, they should let him off the leash.

  • Every time I watch a Red Sox game or come across some Red Sox highlights, I always think that Dustin Pedroia swings a bat that's way too big for him, and that Kevin Youkilis swings a bat that's way too small for him. Have they considered that maybe they took each other's bats by accident? Maybe Pedroia would actually be able to hit a baseball 400 feet if he weren't trying to swing the relative equivalent of a European bell tower. That he's still been able to have success with that uncut redwood is downright breathtaking. No wonder he's arrogant.

  • If you're curious, the Win Expectancy difference between a Darnell McDonald strikeout and a Darnell McDonald walk in that situation in the third is 6.5%. The Win Expectancy difference between Brendan Ryan applying that tag and not applying that tag in the fourth is 4.0%. Neither call was huge; the first was just made to look huge by the ensuing rally, while the second was made to look huge by the Mariners holding the Red Sox where they were and coming back to win.

  • I believe Chris Ray started warming up in the sixth inning, then he warmed up in the seventh inning, then he sat down and watched Jamey Wright get called on in relief for the eighth. This is probably the best way to use Chris Ray for as long as he's on the roster. "Well no looks like Ray's all tuckered out from the warm-ups, better use somebody else."

  • It's bizarre that we've reached the point at which most of us feel comfortable with Jamey Wright as a high-leverage reliever. Granted, a big part of that presumably comes out of the untrustworthy nature of his peers, but here was Wright being called on to protect a one-run lead against the Red Sox in Fenway Park, and I don't think any of us flinched. He even froze Youkilis with an inside 2-2 curveball for a punchout. I'm not in any way convinced that the Wright magic can last all season, but if he can just keep doing whatever he's doing until David Aardsma and Shawn Kelley come back, then that'd be swell.

  • Milton Bradley last got a hit on April 19th. Since then, he's gone 0-21 with four walks and nine strikeouts, and 2011's great comeback story is suddenly batting .193. You'd like to think that Bradley won't melt down for as long as the Mariners are playing good baseball, but the Mariners won't always be playing good baseball, so tomorrow would be a great day to see Bradley split the outfielders a couple times. It's clear even to the untrained eye that he's pressing, and Milton Bradley isn't a guy you want to see press.

More baseball tomorrow, with Doug Fister and John Lackey's face. The Rangers just lost, by the way. I know fans of other teams vastly prefer reading Lookout Landing when the Mariners are terrible, but I vastly prefer watching the Mariners when they have a little hope for something. Right now, there's hope for something.

Comment 60 comments  |  5 recs  | 

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Not that I've been paying the closest attention

But those felt like the first well-hit balls he’s hit all season. Probably not strictly true but not a far exaggeration

by OlSalty on Apr 29, 2011 10:15 PM PDT reply actions  

He hit the heck out of that pitch

it’s more than Griffey ever did last season, maybe he could turn it around and not be a complete black hole

by Poochie on Apr 30, 2011 8:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

I have had tickets for the game tomorrow for two weeks

And I am actually excited to watch the Mariners, not just to go to my first Fenway game

by dp04 on Apr 29, 2011 10:15 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Unless you are behind home plate or in the bleachers, you will be disappointed

The seats down the foul lines are horrible places to watch a game. I hate Fenway, but enjoy watching the Ms

by New England Fan on Apr 30, 2011 4:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

Fenway’s a great experience, but a horrible ballpark unless you’re in the (really) pricey seats.

by pdb on Apr 30, 2011 8:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Only 3.5 games out of first!!!

Who honestly thought we’d be this close at the end of April?

by Coach Owens on Apr 29, 2011 10:17 PM PDT reply actions  

Cust is this bad once a year

Every April…
and history is not surprised he’s turning the corner at the end of April

Cust HR and SLG /month (career)
April: 3/275
May: 20/500
June 18/443
July 19/480
.Aug 22/443
Sept 20/456

by cohnnd on Apr 29, 2011 10:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Look at the sample sizes there

We’re aware of Cust’s history but it’s not like he’s inarguably an annual slow starter.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 29, 2011 10:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

For example

Fangraphs shows Cust with only 66 Games / 269 Plate Appearances in his combined Marches and Aprils. He doesn’t have a full season’s worth of games for any month in his splits.

I’m actually surprised at how few games and PA’s he has for his career at age 32.

by short on Apr 29, 2011 10:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

A whole month is more than once

It’s like 30 or 31 onces and stuff

by sofa_king on Apr 29, 2011 10:26 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

I actually love it when the game drags on

Primarily because I work for myself and when the games going, I work and it makes work way more enjoyable. If not for the suck, Batista would have been one of my favorite M’s for that reason. If the game ends up lasting 4+ hours, I get an hour pre-game, 4+ hour game, and then an hour to an hour and a half post game. That’s a good work day right there. :-)

by TIFO on Apr 29, 2011 10:36 PM PDT reply actions  

No bad

It is percentage points different correct and if you were listing standings you would put 12-15 ahead of 11-14 for that reason. They would still be tied in the standings tough.

by sofa_king on Apr 29, 2011 10:56 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

They are not tied. The only way to be tied is to have identical records

The Ms 0.444 is ahead of the Red Sox 0.440.

Both teams are 3 games below 0.500, but the Ms have more wins

When two teams are below 0.500 and are the same number of games below 0.500, the team with more wins will be ahead in the standings.

When two teams are above 0.500 and are the same number of games above 0.500, the team with fewer losses will be ahead in the standings.

Ask any statistician.

by New England Fan on Apr 30, 2011 6:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

When Bradley was going decently (up to the 19th) the M's were 6-12 averaging 3.78 runs per game

Since his slump, they are 6-3 and averaging 4.33 runs per game. It will be nice when his bat gets going again and hopefully the rest of the team continues to hit decently as they have for the last few games.

by TIFO on Apr 29, 2011 11:06 PM PDT reply actions  

So Bradley is actually taking one for the team by slumping?

That’s a true team player.*

*-I know that’s not what you were saying.

by Hopefulmsfan on Apr 29, 2011 11:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hahaha Vargas
Vargas figured it would just be a flyball to right. Until he “remembered where we were”

You got slurved!

by Slurvey on Apr 29, 2011 11:33 PM PDT reply actions   2 recs

I'm probably the only one believing that Milton Bradley isn't going to melt down regardless.

2010 Mariners only cause him to blow up once and that was before the team really got bad. Since seeking help, he played really bad, the team played really bad, Griffey walked out, Figgins fought the manager, said manager got fired. Then after that season ended, he saw Cust get signed and Saunders get positioned as a potential starting LF for 2011 prior to spring training. He then has a falling out with his wife, had to fight to make the team, watch the team tank out of the gate and saw Jack Wilson pull himself from the game.

Yea, he kinda should’ve melted down multiple times by now. Not that he won’t in the future but I don’t think him getting annoyed at questionable calls tells us much of anything we didn’t already know. He’s never going to be all smiles out there.

by ThundaPC on Apr 30, 2011 1:09 AM PDT reply actions  

I agree, it seems that whatever help he received last season has stuck with him.

I’ve been waiting for some sign of it for awhile and it hasn’t come so I’m optimistic he’ll be ok. I’m even optimistic he’ll start hitting again real soon.

by Hopefulmsfan on Apr 30, 2011 1:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

I really think it could happen at any time, not to say that it will happen.

You just never know with Milton, and he’s hasn’t really been great at keeping his composure as of late.

by Patrick Stites on Apr 30, 2011 2:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

Plus this is a contract year for him

If he wants to stay in baseball, he not only has to have a decent year performance wise, but prove he can “play nice” and not be a distraction to a team.

by TIFO on Apr 30, 2011 4:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

Legitimately Decent? WTF?

These guys are 105 wins away from making some motherfucking history.

R-E-S-P-E-C-T

That’s the word you ought to be spelling.

by DaCheez on Apr 30, 2011 1:17 AM PDT reply actions  

Such a satisfying win, made more so because it was against the Red Sox.

Anybody else notice after the last out while the players were coming out to celebrate, the second base umpire grabbed one of the Mariners players, semi-forcefully pulled him aside and had a conversation about something? I thought that was quite odd as I don’t think I’ve ever seen an umpire interact with a player like that before, especially during the post game celebration.

by marcoramius on Apr 30, 2011 4:45 AM PDT reply actions  

I saw that too.

Pretty sure it was Kennedy. I was wondering what the heck that was all about.

by Hopefulmsfan on Apr 30, 2011 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

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