Quickly On Game 5 Of The World Series
The St. Louis Cardinals did a remarkable thing in Monday night's Game 5. Against C.J. Wilson and a chunk of the Texas Rangers' bullpen, the Cardinals put 17 runners on base, and brought only two of them home.
That, I think, should be the big story. And maybe that is the big story. But my sense is that the big story is the bad in-game managing, and specifically Tony La Russa's bad in-game managing. At least as far as Twitter and the baseball blogosphere is concerned.
Which, I get it. Tony La Russa did not have a very good game, and where earlier in the playoffs we'd seen so many of his moves pay off, Monday night the bulk of them blew up in his face. It's something to write about, and, analytically, La Russa seemed to do a lot more harm than good.
But still, 17 baserunners, and two runs. Throughout playoff history, there have been 93 games in which a team put 17 runners on base in eight or nine innings. Six times did that team score two or fewer runs. The Cardinals did something that's difficult to do. The Cardinals actually did two things that are difficult to do, the positive first one leading to the sad, ugly second.
For the longest time, this game had the feel of being lopsided without being lopsided, because the Cardinals kept getting chances, and they kept throwing them away. They scored two in the second, but left a runner in scoring position. They got two on in the third before a double play ended the frame. They left the bases loaded in the fifth. They left two in scoring position in the sixth. They left the bases loaded in the seventh. They left one in scoring position in the eighth. They let the Rangers hang around, and you don't just let the Rangers hang around, because if you let the Rangers hang around long enough, they'll decide enough is enough and take over. Late in Game 5, the Rangers took over.
Because the Rangers won the way they did, and because La Russa did some of the things he did, La Russa's strategy became this big thing. But we were one or two hits away from a completely different postgame conversation. Call it one hit and an audible bullpen phone. The Cardinals didn't win this game, but they could've, and they arguably should've.
And then what? And then people are poking fun at La Russa, but they aren't saying he managed the worst game of his life. Ron Washington might draw a lot more criticism. It's been swept under the rug, but Washington had himself a pretty shitty game, too. He left C.J. Wilson in too long. He relived Wilson with Scott Feldman instead of someone else. He intentionally walked Albert Pujols three times to face Matt Holliday. While I understand the playoffs have been the playoffs, Pujols' OPS+ this season was 150. Holliday's was 153. Matt Holliday is really good, too. Results-based analysis suggests that Washington managed La Russa's pants off, but process-based analysis has them both standing naked.
It's late. It's later than I can even believe. The only reason I'm still up is because there are only one or two more nights like this in the year so what the hell. I'm just kind of typing now and I don't know if everything's coming together, or if everything will come together at some point later on. But basically, the Cardinals put a ton of runners on base, they finished 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position, and they were tied with the Rangers as late as the bottom of the eighth. It's hard for me to sit here and try to pretend like Tony La Russa is the big story when the Cardinals' offense is the bigger story. It's the less interesting story, and writing about an underachieving offense doesn't allow the author to put on his Intellectual Superiority cap the way writing about a manager does, but the offense was more responsible for the Cardinals' loss than the manager was. That's it, and now the Cardinals are in the unfamiliar position of having to blame their bats for a loss.
It's a funny thing about a series like this. In a playoff series, the idea is that, by the end, one team will have clearly outplayed the other, and will thus either advance or win a trophy. And a lot of times it happens that way. The 2007 Red Sox clearly outplayed the 2007 Rockies. The 2004 Red Sox clearly outplayed the 2004 Cardinals. Pretty much every team that's faced them in the playoffs this decade has clearly outplayed the Twins. But look at the Rangers and the Cardinals. It's been five games, and who the hell is winning? The Cardinals have 22 runs. The Rangers have 19 runs. Three of the games have been unbelievably close. The other two games were close for a while before the winning team pulled away. Based on what we've seen so far, has either team looked better than the other? If you say yes, you're lying. Don't.
It's a handy reminder that the MLB playoffs don't really prove anything, except that one team outscored its opponent 11 times. I just remembered that all four teams who won in the first round were outscored by the teams that they beat. That's crazy, and that's the MLB playoffs - a month when everything suddenly starts to mean so much more, even while everything starts to mean so much less.
Wednesday or Thursday - or Friday, in the event of rain, which is in the forecast! - the Rangers or the Cardinals will win the World Series. They will get a trophy for their efforts. "Congratulations on something" is not engraved on the base, but it should be, and all the little flags should have question marks.
*****
After Mike Napoli's go-ahead double, Joe Buck and Tim McCarver remained silent for a minute - a full, exact 60 seconds - so that the viewing audience could listen to the crowd and watch a series of replays absent distraction. Buck and McCarver catch an impossible amount of shit this time of year, much of it deserved. I liked this maneuver.
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Thank you for the timing of this post.
Even though I know it likely wasn’t intended to be written at this hour, it’s a welcome break from me having to write about other people’s decisions and/or results. (Behavioral progression notes at 2am Alaska Time are not so fun, as it turns out.) So…yeah.
by tcharles on Oct 25, 2011 3:25 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
I think i've grown to love Beltre more
since he departed, which typically doesn’t happen for me.
He is easily one of the most entertaining players in baseball.
by Omerta on Oct 25, 2011 4:10 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
Re: Silence is golden
It’s often the best thing for an announcer to do when something huge happens. I did PA for my college’s volleyball team, and we had pretty respectable home attendance, close to a thousand people packed in the gymnasium. One year we won the league title and all I did was announce the player who made the winning point, the final score, and the fact that it clinched the title. Crowd roared for…well, fuck if I know exactly how long it was, but it seemed like a long time. It was pretty cool. And I definitely could have cheapened it by talking all over it.
For another baseball example, I remember Jon Miller’s call of #756. He just said something like “a deep, majestic drive” and it’s gone! And then nothing for a good long while. It was perfect.
Yup. All the greats know when to shut the fuck up. Dave's call of Ichiro's record breaking hit was similar to that.
All he said was (paraphrasing) “And there it is! Number 256! He is the All Time Hit King! My oh My!” and then nothing.
The only thing that bugged me about last night was the 375 reaction shots after Napoli's hit
I love the silence. I don’t need to see what every single player’s reaction was to the hit.
Silence
Anytime McCarver and Buck shut up, I’m all in favor of it.
by NW Pirate fan on Oct 25, 2011 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions
I didn't know the Mariners were in the World Series
And got cool new red uniforms. Way to go!
And, oh yeah. Fuck Texas.
by killmenowthanks on Oct 25, 2011 4:43 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
Thanks, Jeff...
I appreciate this post… because I do think that the managerial snafus distracted from an offense that failed several times over.
Still… At least part of that failure can be attributed to TLR who ordered sacrifice bunts at least three times (off the top of my head), once with Allen Craig at bat with a runner in scoring position and Albert Pujols on deck(!).
And then there was the whole hit an run fiasco. Is it normal for teams to allow their players to call for plays in the batters box? Whatever. That one’s on Albert I guess, but why on earth would TLR make the same call in the 9th inning when Craig’s run meant NOTHING?
I think fans/media have a tendency to fixate on managerial mistakes for two reasons. We expect players to fail. Even the best ones do 70% of the time. And we’re more forgiving of players because, heck, we couldn’t have done any better from our couches/basements. We do, however, possess the ability to place a phone call and communicate clearly to ensure that the other end understands the plan going forth. That technical difficulties played even the tiniest role in the outcome of any game, let alone Game 5 of the World Series, is difficult to digest.
by AndyB83 on Oct 25, 2011 11:37 AM PDT via iPhone app reply actions
Re: "Congratulations on Something"
I realize that trying to congeal many thoughts into a single idea is tough. I also realize that trying to do it late at night can lead to more pessimistic conclusions than we might otherwise reach. I even realize that it’s probably a joke, but, please, don’t cheapen it. If it should read anything, it should be something like:
“Congratulations on Working Your Asses Off Since You Were Five Years Old”
or
“Congratulations on Surviving the Chaos to Build a Good Team”
or even just
“Congratulations on Winning”.
I know if the Mariners somehow manage to win someday, I’d want it to say:
“Congratulations, Fans, on Putting Up with Years of Bullshit to Get Here”.
Winning the Series means more than just something.
It most assuredly does to fans of either team that is contesting said World Series
But as Jeff is not one of those people, do you really expect him to care all that much?
The World Series trophy as a symbol of everything is meaningful
The World Series trophy as a symbol of winning the World Series is less meaningful. Pretty sure that’s what I was going for. I’ll have to ask 3 o’clock Jeff in a few hours.
by Jeff Sullivan on Oct 25, 2011 4:34 PM PDT up reply actions
I apologize if I misread your thoughts
Question marks on the trophy sounded the same to me as telling someone “Enjoy it, but, really, you just got lucky.” That seemed to ignore the enormous amount of hard work that a lot of people put in to win which didn’t sound fair. It was a long train of thoughts that I jumped down in about three eye blinks.
I understand you weren’t trying to take it that far. Apologies.

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