The Tom Wilhelmsen Miracle
Nothing Tom Wilhelmsen actually did this season was miraculous, save maybe for existing in the first place (ed. note: oooooh). In the headline I am exaggerating to make a point. I do it pretty often, and it is a common technique employed by bad writers.
Say what you want about Tom Wilhelmsen's reasons for getting out of baseball*, but the man has a hell of a story to tell. Unfortunately he wound up kind of having to compete with Steve Delabar and Alex Liddi in the Mariners' clubhouse, but Wilhelmsen left baseball in 2003, returned in 2009, and broke camp with the big league team in 2011. It's not unbelievable, because I believe it, but it's the plot to an inspirational movie that hasn't been made about finding oneself and then pursuing one's dreams. It would probably hit bigger than Moneyball.
* do not actually
Of course, when Wilhelmsen first appeared as a Mariner, he was raw. He was raw, and he was wild. Working out of the back of the bullpen, Wilhelmsen pitched in eight games through May 7th, walking nine and striking out eight. Just 56% of his pitches were strikes, and he earned the demotion that he wound up getting. In the Majors, Wilhelmsen looked to be in over his head.
And that was fine. Wilhelmsen should have been in over his head, because he broke camp with a Major League Baseball team after one year in the minors that followed six years off. His velocity and stuff were there, but he was rusty, and that was perfectly understandable. Wilhelmsen needed reps, and the Major Leagues weren't the right place for him to get them.
So off Wilhelmsen went in early May to double-A Jackson, where he worked as a starter. He kind of fell off the radar a little bit - not because he wasn't talented, but because he looked to be a long way off from Major League-ready earlier on. When Wilhelmsen returned to the Mariners' roster at the beginning of August, it was surprising, because nobody figured he'd be back that quickly.
And that's when he caught fire. For most of the final two months of the season, Tom Wilhelmsen was dominant out of the Mariners' bullpen. He was the guy with the fastball and the curve that we all quietly wished he would be out of camp. He didn't back down against anybody and he came with hard-to-hit strike after hard-to-hit strike. He established himself as a legitimately effective power reliever.
My favorite part of this story is...well my favorite part is how well Wilhelmsen pitched at the end. But my second-favorite part is what came in between Wilhelmsen's stints with Seattle. Here's Tom Wilhelmsen, Jackson General:
In double-A, Tom Wilhelmsen was bad. Or at least, he was not good. 26 walks, seven hit batters and 40 strikeouts in just over 60 innings. Those are not good numbers. There was no statistical indication that Wilhelmsen was ready to re-join the Mariners. But re-join them he did, and he pitched his ass off.
To review:
In Majors: not good
In double-A: not good
In Majors: good
The difference between Wilhelmsen's stints is stark. It's hard to believe these numbers came from the same guy in the same season:
| Stint 1 | Stint 2 | |
| Strike% | 56% | 70% |
| K/BB | 0.9 | 5.5 |
| FA (mph) | 93.8 | 95.9 |
And you could argue that even kind of undersells things. In Wilhelmsen's first three games after returning, he walked three and struck out two. Over his final 14 games, he walked one and struck out 20. He threw 74% of those 240 pitches for strikes. He threw three-quarters of his pitches for strikes.
Tom Wilhelmsen found the zone, and once he found it, he took off. He started bringing his fastball down, and it worked. He started bringing his curveball down, and it worked. He all but eliminated his changeup down the stretch, and it didn't matter. There wasn't a player on the team who finished on a better run than Tom Wilhelmsen.
The whole thing is just incredible. We can't ignore the fact that we're dealing with small samples of innings. It's the truth, whether we like it or not. Sometimes relievers have cold spells or hot spells that don't necessarily reflect their true ability. But Wilhelmsen looked completely different after coming back, like a guy who'd figured it out. Wilhelmsen looked like he belonged, where early on he looked about three levels too high.
Now, if they want, the Mariners can probably plan on having an effective Wilhelmsen in their bullpen in 2012. I don't know if they still have any organizational interest in trying him as a starter, and I don't know if they ought to, but it's nice to have that kind of piece, especially headed into an offseason in which Brandon League could become available on the market. Flexibility, and everything.
Back in April, Tom Wilhelmsen could tell a baseball story for the ages. Now it's October, and his story's even better. The 2011 season was awful and I have no desire to go through another season quite like it, but as bright spots are concerned, the story of Tom Wilhelmsen could give you a tan.
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+2mph on the Fastball - without "the Twist"?
Maybe Tom’s the exception because of his exceptional route to the majors. But after reading everything here and at USSM the last few years, I was always under the impression that pitcher delivery (and batter swings, for that matter) were pretty “set in stone” by the time they make the Big Show. For this guy to get an extra 2mph on his fastball mid-season says something… Yet I didn’t see anyone pick up on a change in stance or delivery, a la Vargas. Anyone have theories on how he picked this up? Added strength (with reps & a major league club/workout plan), or changed delivery, or something else? I’m happy as heck for the guy, but slightly scared about the SSS and that he’ll turn back into a Pumpkin at some point (always a risk with any pitcher)…
pretty sure it was the reps
Paxton saw his mph increase going from indy league to the minors with more reps + better workout. It’s not that big a jump for a guy who hasn’t pitched in 6 years.
which reminds me: can we add the twist on like all our pitchers? or at least identify the ones that aren’t incorporating something similar.
Wilhelmsen is awesome
I love his mentality. I love his stuff. I love his ridiculous story. He has potential to be a top flight closer.
Should we make him a starter though? I don’t know. He is 27, but CJ Wilson made it happen at the same age.
CJ Wilson never left baseball for six years
by seattlebruin on Oct 18, 2011 6:26 PM PDT up reply actions
the guys a miracle though
if anyone can do it, it’s him
It's important to remember Wilhelmsen when we evaluate the job the front office is doing.
Quite literally pulled a useful (potentially) reliever out of thin air.
Didn't GMZ scout this kid for Milwaukee, or am I thinking of some other pitcher?
If it’s the same kid then that is one of those small details that adds a little to the story.
But if you assume Wilhelmsen had some talent to being with, wouldn't it make sense for him to audition for a team that would be somewhat familiar with him?
I think it’s hard to credit GMZ too much outside of possibly keeping a decent relationship with the guy should he ever want to play baseball again
by seattlebruin on Oct 19, 2011 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions
Easy guy to root for, no?
He’s been one of my favorite minor league look-ups since the M’s signed him. Jack’s obviously really liked him, and we could be seeing why.
by nathaniel dawson on Oct 18, 2011 6:58 PM PDT reply actions
And don't forget that Shawn Kelley looked good coming back from injury.
Between Kelley, Wilhelmsen, and (perhaps) Delabar we could have a pretty solid bullpen next year—especially if we keep Brandon League. I totally see the reason to trade him, but I would also be just fine if he was still our closer when we head to Japan. He’s a stud.
Don't forget Chance Ruffin!
gotta fix those walks though.
One thing I have learned from this site and watching the M's is that the bullpen is super volatile.
Guys you thought were locks can implode at any moment and valuable assets can appear from the aether. And you can dump your expensive guys to get a whole mess of cheap useful guys!
How come you can do all this other great shit, but you can't lie the fuck down and sleep?
Seems like a chill bro, so he's easy to root for.
Plus, he pitched like a changed man after he returned, as you detailed. I’m hoping he gets the setup gig or something similar next year. Definitely one of the few bright spots of this last season.
I wonder if his struggles in AA had anything to do with his conversion to starting vs relieving.
With the reduced velocity and stuff that comes with not throwing max effort all the time, maybe his stuff just doesn’t hold up very well during the 2nd or 3rd time through a lineup?
Any idea what the org is trying to do with him long-term?
Is he more of a long-reliever type rather than a starter? Or is he a power-arm closer?
Great storylines are the new market inefficiency
by seiferguy on Oct 19, 2011 7:47 AM PDT via mobile reply actions 9 recs

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