Mariners Continue Playing The Angel Game
Former Angel (and Cardinal, Athletic and National) Adam Kennedy has come over to the more Northern side today. He agrees to a slightly surprising Minor League deal with a Spring Training invite. I say slightly surprising because Adam Kennedy is not very bad and has been getting semi-regular playing time for quite a while now.
Kennedy signed with Washington last winter on a one-plus-option contract that paid him $1.25 million last season with a $2 million option for 2011. He chipped in 1 WAR as a part time player and the Nationals paid him $500K to go away instead. This makes me think that there is a higher salary guarantee for Kennedy should he make the Major League roster this spring.
At the plate, Kennedy, a left-handed hitter, does not offer much with the bat but he is by no means a liability. He's more of a below average hitter but that is a solid two levels above the one that Josh Wilson lives on so right away we're getting better. That he gets to potentially offer Eric Wedge another left-handed bat in the infield only helps as well. As does his speed on the bases which is above average.
Kennedy is a second baseman that might be also able to pitch it at third base if need be. He played there quite a bit for Oakland in 2009, but otherwise has been at the keystone sack his whole career. His defense at second ranges from excellent when he was in peak form as a member of the Angel's championship squad to average the last couple of years. It is worth noting that these recent fielding years are smaller samples and are more haphazard then a simple decline, but still it would not be wise to expect him to be a wizard out there.
It's easy to dismiss these types of signings as worthy of little attention and appreciation but this one deserves both. For the former, there's nothing else going on. For the latter, the Mariners just added a sort of mini-Brendan Ryan to the fold. Kennedy's talents and contract allow the Mariners to make him the primary back up at second base and third base which means they can knock Matt Tuiasosopo, Matt Mangini and Josh Wilson down a peg on the depth charts. That's a good thing.
Beyond that obvious point though, this helps because if things go well in 2011 for Dustin Ackley and he earns a promotion to Seattle, Adam Kennedy's presence eases the transition of Ryan over to short stop. Before today, if Ryan became the primary SS, depth behind Ackley at 2B was thin. With Kennedy as an option, the summer infield could conceivably look like:
2B: Ackley (Kennedy)
SS: Ryan (Jack Wilson)
3B: Figgins (Kennedy)
Which is a lot better than our current alignment which pins its hopes on Luis Rodriguez.
Adam Kennedy is not going to transform single-handedly the Mariners' chances for 2011. This is not like the Rangers signing Adrian Beltre away from the Angel's clutches. But while the Mariners' starting roster looks decent in 2011, they were vulnerable to injury. Adam Kennedy does little by himself to change the Mariners average win expectations for next year. What he can do is help raise the floor a little. That's important and accomplishing that for nothing more than a Minor League deal is worth applause.
54 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
This news was announced on Twitter about 30 minutes ago.
I am very impressed that you made a post about it in such little time. Bravo.
Matthew has inside sources up to and including Bud Selig
by seattlebruin on Jan 10, 2011 8:35 PM PST up reply actions
Oh God dammit, I'm kind of annoyed about this
I was trying to make a clever Matthew writes a piece and everyone gets credit but the opposite joke and of course Matthew actually wrote this
by seattlebruin on Jan 11, 2011 9:19 AM PST up reply actions
This is quite a pickup.
A below-average but above replacement-level player that can help our IF on a minor-league deal? Surprised….and sold!
Love this signing
Been wanting this guy in particular as a backup infielder for a while. Solid defense with an okay bat that fits our park. The less Josh Wilson and Matt Tuiasosopo I see, the better!
I'm not sure why you would say his bat fits the park..
Nothing about his hitting characteristics would suggest he’s more suited to the park than the average Joe.
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 11, 2011 1:29 PM PST up reply actions
At this point Kennedy and Wilson should platoon at second to open the season
by Poochie on Jan 10, 2011 3:12 PM PST via mobile reply actions
Wilson is a sunk cost
I’d prefer the longterm players not be shuffled around, especailly Ryan since he is coming off a difficult year and has had problems at other positions besides SS
by Poochie on Jan 10, 2011 3:46 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Ok. To clarify do you mean Wilson or wilson?
At this point, I can’t see playing Jack at 2B as he’s always only been a SS. Not that he couldn’t learn a new position, but I don’t see the value of having him play at 2B. As he doesn’t hit much, his value is almost all derived from playing above average defense at a premium position. Moving him to 2B where the premium is not as high and his defense will likely suffer from learning a new position makes no sense.
In which case maybe the best case scenario for the M’s is that he is healthy during Spring Training, another team loses a starting SS for the year, and then the M’s trade him as a salary dump.
I'm with Poochie and prefer planning around the most likely scenario
Which is Jack Wilson limping through another season.
To clarify, I don't necessarily disagree with Poochie
If the M’s think that their best infield for the next 2 years is Smoak, Ackley, Ryan, and Figgins then that’s the group I want to see (outside of service time concerns). I guess my question was more about how best to transition to that period and what the fall-back plan is if Ryan’s bad 2010 is not an outlyer.
Do you start 2011 with Josh/Jack Wilson platooning with Kennedy at 2B? Do you let Kennedy play every day and have Jack backup 2B/SS (though he’s never played 2B in the majors) and leave Josh in AAA?
I had been going with Dave C.’s line of thought which seems to be start the season with Jack Wilson at SS and Ryan (or now Kennedy at 2B) and then have Ryan slide to SS when Jack got hurt.
Now I’m wondering if the best use of resources (assuming Jack is heathly) is to start Jack at SS and Kennedy at 2B with Ryan being a super sub for the first couple months. If a team needs a SS and Jack is still healthy, trade him away, install Ryan at SS if he has been playing well and wait for Ackley to force his way up.
Ryan is a better (and healthier) version of Jack Wilson
I see no point in shuffling Ryan around when he’s slated to be the starter for the next few years. If Wilson is due to lose his job in two months anyway, I see no reason why its important not to disturb him especailly when Ryan, at worst, is his defensive equal. Wilson’s future in baseball is as a utilityman, and since bench work would give him needed days off, there’s no reason he can’t start now.
by Poochie on Jan 10, 2011 5:43 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
We shouldn't assume that Ryan is the Mariners person of choice for SS for the next few years.
In fact, my guess is that he’s more of a fallback plan if they never find anybody better than him. He’s there for insurance at the spot, and otherwise be a utility infielder. He’s been moved around a lot by the Cardinals before, no reason the Mariners couldn’t do the same thing.
The way I look at it is like this: which configuration gives the Mariners the best defense? Wilson at SS, with Ryan subbing at second, third, and short, or the other way around? While I’m sure Jack would be at least passable at the other positions, the fact that he hasn’t played them at all in his career has to put us in some doubt about his ability to pick them up quickly and play them well. Ryan has played at those spots in the majors, and is a better bet to familiar enough with them to provide good defense there. Maybe we’ll find out in Spring Training if the M’s feel the same way — that would be the time to give Jack some reps at the other two spots.
My guess is that Jack Wilson is not going to want to extend his career by picking up the other infield spots in order to hang on as a utility guy. When teams aren’t interested in him anymore as a starting shortstop (almost certainly 2012), I think that’s the point he retires.
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 10, 2011 6:25 PM PST up reply actions
Why not? Ryan projects as a league average SS at club controlled costs.
It sounds like you are making a lot of guesses. Ryan at SS gives us the best alignment. Given his health and age he’d project as the best defender going forward.
We're all making guesses here
I guess my point at this juncture is to get to Spring Training and find the best combo the M’s can field to start the season. Whatever that is, I’m assuming Wedge will go with as he owns nothing to anyone on the team.
What to do with whoever isn’t going to make it then becomes Jack Z’s problem. I’d just like the M’s to have a fall-back if Ryan doesn’t look ready, be it Jack Wilson or someone else.
Ryan at short and Wilson at second is the best defensive alignment?
Wilson has never played there, either in the majors or the minors. He’s a gifted shortstop, so the chances are good that he can play well there, but not having played it before, it might take him a while to pick up the skills to play at the level that Ryan can. At short, it looks like pretty much a wash.
It just seems to me like the M’s would not want to go experimenting around with Jack Wilson at second, when he’s one of the best defensive shortstops in baseball, and you’ve got a guy in Ryan that can play second perfectly well already. Is Ryan better at short than Wilson? Well, maybe, but if he is, it can’t be by a whole lot. The difference between Ryan at second and Wilson, while he’s trying to learn a new position, has the potential to be a lot greater.
And you know, either way, I don’t think it would make a whole lot of difference. On balance, what you would lose or gain no matter how the two are aligned, probably isn’t of much significance. And that’s really why I think they’re going to keep Wilson at short. Why mess around with trying to teach him a new position when he’s only going to be here one more year and it’s really not going to make a difference?
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 10, 2011 9:12 PM PST up reply actions
I know I have mentioned this ad nauseum
But Ryan hasn’t exactly adapted well when being moved off his natural position
Is this from personal experience watching him or from something you've heard?
Something like this could be the deal-breaker. If he does have problems at second, I suppose it wouldn’t be any worse to have Jack Wilson there, even while learning a new position.
Either way, we should have our answer by Spring Training at the latest. They’re not going to have Wilson as their second baseman without giving him some time there before the season starts.
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 11, 2011 2:02 PM PST up reply actions
A salary dump during the season does us almost no good.
You can’t use that money on anybody — anybody that’s worthy of that money has already been signed. And we’re probably not going to be adding salary in a midseason trade to bolster our playoff chances or something.
I’m not saying there couldn’t be some way to use that money usefully, it just doesn’t look like a likely scenario to me.
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 10, 2011 5:59 PM PST up reply actions
It the M's can dump salary of a position where they have a cheaper alternative in house
It gives them the salary flexibility to actually make moves in season, something they don’t have now. See what Toronto did last season in acquiring some potential Type B free agents in order to get extra draft picks to see what this can be worth.
Personally, I hope they start Ryan and Kennedy
and either leave Jack Wilson on the bench or dump him.
by The Ancient Mariner on Jan 10, 2011 8:20 PM PST up reply actions
I'd rather see Wilson be healthy, play well, and get flipped for something useful
Rather than just eating 5M in Salary for no return. There’s already enough dead weight (pun intended) on the books this year.
Agreed
but if the first two aren’t in place, the last won’t be — and quite frankly, the best way to keep Wilson healthy is to have him only playing a couple games a week at most.
by The Ancient Mariner on Jan 11, 2011 10:41 AM PST up reply actions
True
I know that it’s a best case scenario or just plain wishful thinking, but if Jack is healthy through Spring Training and into May, it seems like the M’s would be able to at least get out of his salary, which would be nice on it’s own. I mean, the Royals picked up Yuni…
Speaking of which, maybe the Brewers would be interested in Jack Wilson…
If we had Adam Kennedy last year, he would've been the 3rd best position player on the team.
Oy-vey.
151 games for Gootch to accumulate 2.3 WAR. 57 games for Branyan to reach .9
Would I be wrong to take into account number of games played? The way I’m looking at it, Branyan was roughly as valuable, but this might be a less than good perspective.
I think this gives Branyan too much credit because it counts only the games the two players actually played in.
This would seem to be a valid point in rating the two players individual skills, but the value to the team is what it is. Branyan had less chance to help the team because they only played 98 games after they traded for him, but if you are correct that he played 57 games for the Mariners that means he missed 41 games due to injury, rest, lack of defensive ability to play a needed position, etc. If you are going to try to prorate his value to the team, it needs to be over the potential games played because the fact that he was not available to play is relevant to his value. Even this abuses WAR though, I think.
Looks like the Mariners have a middle infield again
At least a mediocre one.
Mariners, Senators, Trail Blazers, Seahawks fan that also covers the Ottawa Senators prospects for Silver Seven. All from Sunrise, FL. And I do for you guys! Silver Seven
by Alexander Calloway on Jan 10, 2011 4:14 PM PST reply actions
Yeah, not having one really unsettles the pitchers
Especially the sinkerballers.
by The Ancient Mariner on Jan 10, 2011 8:20 PM PST up reply actions
Kennedy will likely spend most the season as a backup if he makes the team.
It’s unrealistic to expect a backup middle infielder to worry pitchers.
But not having a middle infield leaves a rather large hole for the First and Third baseman to cover.
Dustin Ackley is going to make Joe Morgan look like Joey Cora.
AL Scout on Rendon: "I would peg him as a poor man's Jose Lopez."
Our pitchers should just learn how to field better.
They should be able to cover any of those groundballs that would otherwise go to the shortstop or secondbaseman. They just need to learn how to get off the mound faster.
by nathaniel dawson on Jan 12, 2011 2:37 PM PST up reply actions
Like It
With this hopefully at somepoint AK can be a little mentor for Ackley and then Ackley grows into being the Chase Utley of the AL but much faster, and less injury prone for us. Need as much offense as possible with this team.
Need as much offense as possible with every team.
by The Ancient Mariner on Jan 11, 2011 10:43 AM PST up reply actions
And unnecessary
Saying “the offense could really benefit from Ackley’s mix of patience, contact, and doubles power” is a useful statement.
Saying “this team needs more offense” is not nearly as useful.
But it is also mostly hot air.
And perpetuates the not-as-true-as-people-say idea that a lineup that lacks a particular offensive attribute must work to add that attribute.
Unless you’ve got a very OBP heavy, power light, line up, or the opposite, you generally don’t NEED a specific thing. You just need a player who’s good at offense.
The Mariners don’t need Ackley’s doubles power, or his contact ability. They need his wOBA. His offense, however he generates it. The details of how Ackley makes that wOBA are interesting, but they aren’t very important at the team level.

by 


















