Today's Fun Felix Hernandez Facts
100% fun, no MSG. Diet jokes!
Fun fact the first:
Over 93 career starts against teams at .500 or better, Felix has a 3.23 ERA and a 3.38 FIP. Over 78 career starts against teams below .500, Felix has a 3.18 ERA and a 3.46 FIP.
Over the last two years, Felix's ERA split has been -0.34. That is, since the beginning of the 2009 season, Felix's ERA has actually been 34 points better against good teams than bad teams.
For the sake of comparison, Roy Halladay's career split is +0.34.
CC Sabathia's career split is +0.79.
Johan Santana's career split is +0.29.
Roy Oswalt's career split is +1.10.
Randy Johnson's career split was +1.07.
Dan Haren's career split is +0.52.
There are two ways you could take this. One - the fun way - is that Felix has been able to elevate his game against good teams and meet the challenge head-on. Two - the less fun way - is that, while Felix has been at his best against good opponents, he's done worse against lousy teams, which may be somewhat indicative of coasting or lapses in focus.
Personally, though, I'd rather have a guy who's great against good teams and good against bad teams than a guy who's good against good teams and great against bad teams. With Felix, I don't think it's ever about a lack of skill. It can be about a lack of motivation. Put that guy on a good Mariners team, where he's always motivated, and God only knows what we could see.
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Fun fact the second:
Felix pitching to Rob Johnson this year over 21 starts: 2.93 ERA, .635 OPS, 3.0 K/BB
Felix pitching to Adam Moore this year over ten starts: 1.22 ERA, .505 OPS, 3.7 K/BB
Felix pitching to Josh Bard this year over three starts: 1.59 ERA, .509 OPS, 8.0 K/BB
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Motivation
With Felix, I don’t think it’s ever about a lack of skill. It can be about a lack of motivation. Put that guy on a good Mariners team, where he’s always motivated, and God only knows what we could see.
That’s why the argument that extra weight should be given to pitchers on contending teams because of the increased pressure rings a little false to me. It was brought up regarding Greinke season last year and now Felix this year. I think it is just as likely that it’s easier to keep a high level of focus and performance when you’re fighting to reach the playoffs, then it is when your team is basically out of it by the end of May.
by quacker27 on Sep 24, 2010 11:18 AM PDT reply actions 3 recs
Where did you get the numbers for SP splits
Bref doesn’t have it right?
by Edgar for Pres on Sep 24, 2010 12:21 PM PDT reply actions
I see now.
Still in amazement about all the stuff there.
by Edgar for Pres on Sep 24, 2010 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions
@shannondrayer Felix is running amok in the clubhouse terrorizing teammates with an electric fly swatter
Awwwwwwwwww
Can we keep him? Please?
"Oh, the usual. I bowl. Drive around. The occasional acid flashback."
by the other side on Sep 24, 2010 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions
So this means the offense will be energized and win out the rest of the season
costing us the 1st round pick? Awesome!
Actually, I have no idea if we are even still in contention for that pick
Unlikely, the Pirates are so very very bad.
by FairWeatherFred on Sep 24, 2010 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions
We're 5 GB of the #1 pick
With 10 left to play! We have a 3 game lead on the #3 pick (Baltimore).
Pittsburgh plays the Astros, Cardinals and then the Marlins
We play the Rays, Rangers then the A’s.
5 games is a lot to make up, but I think we can do it.
We're 5 games (ahead) back.
I don’t know how the tiebreaker would work, but seeing our schedule we may not win until Felix’s start in the last game of the year.
They hold the tiebreaker over us.
As it’s based on 2009 record. So I guess we’re 5.5 back.
A third way to take it
is that good teams recognize a game against the Mariners (including when Felix is on the hill) as a great opportunity to rest some quality regulars and therefore field a weaker – but still superior – lineup. I have nothing to back this claim up, but it seems plausible.

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