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A Brief History Of Ichiro's 200th Hits, And The Meaning Of His Record

I feel bad that I'm not even amazed anymore. You know why I'm not amazed? Check out the following table, which shows the timing of Ichiro's 200th hit each season, along with the opposing pitcher just for funsies.

Ichiro200_medium

That's why I'm not amazed. Ichiro's taken his pursuit of 200 hits into the final week just twice, and he hasn't done it since 2005. This is actually the latest in the year that he's hit the mark in the past five seasons, and the team's still got another ten games to go.

I'm not amazed because there was never any doubt. And there hasn't been any doubt for a long long time. Even when Ichiro missed the beginning of the 2009 season with a God damned ulcer, there was never any doubt. He makes it seem so easy. And it's a funny thing about spectacular accomplishments - the easier you make them look, the less people will be wowed.

200 hits in ten seasons - ten consecutive seasons - is, of course, a counting stat record. It isn't a record like, say, Hank Aaron's 14 seasons with an OPS+ over 150, or Ted Williams' .482 OBP. It's the kind of record we'd even make fun of if it belonged to someone else, like Michael Young or Derek Jeter. "So he hits a lot of singles," we'd say, "and he rarely ever walks." We'd call the record overrated.

Which, well, that's fine. I suppose the record is overrated by some. It certainly isn't the first bit of evidence I'd go to in proving that Ichiro's been a magnificent hitter his entire career. At the same time, though, it isn't a record totally lacking in meaning. Nevermind that 200 hits is a counting stat. Nevermind that it's dependent on swinging at a lot of pitches and staying near the top of the order. What are the things you need in order to post ten consecutive seasons with 200 hits?

  • Durability
  • Bat Control
  • Consistency

Those are the big three. You need to stay healthy so you can stay in the lineup. You need to have bat control so you can pick up all your hits. And you need to be consistent, because you won't set this kind of record by seeing your bat control come and go. You need to be able to bring it, and you need to be able to bring it on a near-daily basis.

Ichiro inarguably has those things, and he has them in spades. That's how he got here. He's one of the most durable players in baseball. He's one of the most consistent players in baseball. And he controls the bat like it's one of his fingers. You ever reach out to pick something up and fail because your fingers did something else? Me neither.

Seems to me, there are two kinds of records. There are some records that prove, or at least strongly advance, a particular argument. Ted Williams may be the best hitter of all time. Pedro Martinez may be the best pitcher of the modern era. And so on. These records tend to be a little more scientific. Based on rates, usually, and frequently adjusted for something.

And there are other records that serve as opportunities to celebrate. Opportunities to reflect on someone's performance and recognize just how much he's been able to do. This is where I put Ichiro's string of 200-hit seasons. No, I wouldn't take this record into an argument or scholarly debate. But knowing that Ichiro just picked up #200 this morning gives me a chance to acknowledge how magical the little guy is.

In some ways, these sorts of records are less meaningful than the first, but in other ways, they're not. After a while, once they've established their performance baselines, we tend to take superstars like Ichiro for granted. We expect them to churn out a bunch of statistics, and when they do, we're satisfied, and when they don't, we're concerned. Records like these help us break out of our routines. They allow us to truly appreciate a player for all he's been worth.

Maybe we'll go back to taking Ichiro for granted tomorrow. Maybe it'll happen over the weekend. It's going to happen at some point, for all of us. This record let us take a break. It let us snap out of it. Just for a moment, it pulled the velvet rope and let us observe the lack of visible brush strokes on the Mona Lisa. That's really a hell of a painting.

Comment 30 comments  |  4 recs  | 

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3000 hits?

If he keeps putting up 200+ hit seasons he’ll reach 3000 in 3 or 4 more seasons. However, Ichiro IS almost 37 years old and you have to figure at some point he’ll start declining and/or retire. On the other hand, he is still performing at a high level and reputedly keeps himself in very good shape. He’s under contract for 2 more seasons, so he will most likely be around through 2012 at the least. Will he make it to 3000?

by quacker27 on Sep 23, 2010 6:54 PM PDT reply actions  

So it's still likely to happen.

As an update along that same thought pattern, he’s 770 hits away from 3,000 and has never accumulated less than 639 AB in a season (last year when he had the ulcer). So if he gets 650 ABs per season (an arbitrary number I thought was reasonable but nonetheless I plucked out of my ass) for the next 4 years, he would have to bat .296.

I’m willing to bet he can play 150 games and bat .300 for the next 4 years.

by Double06 on Sep 23, 2010 7:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good call.

The record I want for Ichiro is for the 200+ hits in a season to stretch the duration of his career to ensure no one will ever break it.

by quacker27 on Sep 23, 2010 7:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Whoa, that comment got messed up.

“The record I want for Ichiro is for the 200+ hits in a season to stretch the duration of his career to ensure no one will ever break it”

is my favorite comment from Dave’s article. So far, so good.

by quacker27 on Sep 23, 2010 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ichiro is now underappreciated even by the sabermetric community.

Perhaps next year when he becomes the only player in the almost 140 year history of MLB to have 11 200 hit seasons, he will get his due. He is one of the greatest players of all time and if he had been drafted and played his entire career in the states for other than a second class organization it wouldn’t be questioned. As Tony Kornheiser said today on Sportcenter, “Ichiro is the most underappreciated player in baseball”. What’s sad is that he is the most underappreciated in the town in which he plays. All time records are special even if it is just records built on hitting singles. I guess many will only realize what they’ve lost when it is finaly gone.

by Jack Swan on Sep 23, 2010 7:39 PM PDT reply actions  

Yes you got a point, but I don't think it goes so far as "bashes".

I’d say more severe “bashes” or attempted denigrations of Ichiro’s accomplishments and value are going on at the local radio shows (passive aggressive putdowns from Salk—I disdain that guy by the way) and comments on some of the lesser blogs (like Baker).

I can’t blame Jack Swan for getting that impression if he ever read the commentators on Baker’s blog for example. (I avoid that place like I avoid garbage dumps).

by NeighborTom2 on Sep 23, 2010 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

As someone who went to 20+ games this awful year at Safeco, I have to say...

that Ichiro is pretty much the only player who always gets cheers when they announce the lineup before the first pitch and at pretty much all his at-bats. And people still get extra excited when he comes up in a high leverage situation with runners on (which sadly was not often this season).

Anyways, yes of course Seattle fans could stand to give Ichiro more love on a regular basis, but I still don’t think he’s that underappreciated here. If the M’s were in 1st place in the AL West right now, I’m sure he’d be the talk of the town.

Milton Bradley apologist

by sanford_and_son on Sep 24, 2010 2:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Aside from the lack of winning, I think Seattle suits Ichiro just right

Seattle doesn’t crawl up the ass of their heroes. It lets them be themselves. That doesn’t mean the hero is any less appreciated.

by lemonverbena on Sep 24, 2010 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

I was at the game where Craig Biggio hit his 3000th hit as an Astro

It was probably the best live sports moment I have seen in my entire life. I promise you, if Ichiro can get there in 3-4 seasons you guys HAVE to buy tickets and watch it live.

If you can’t tell I’m a split Astros/Mariners fan.

Split Seahawks/Texans fan. Don't like it? Don't care.

by .Bonzo on Sep 23, 2010 9:35 PM PDT reply actions  

.
You ever reach out to pick something up and fail because your fingers did something else? Me neither.

Cocain’s a hell of a drug.

"Oh, the usual. I bowl. Drive around. The occasional acid flashback."

by the other side on Sep 23, 2010 9:56 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I know for the most part counting stats aren't

important, but I need to justify my love of Ichiro for the past 10 years. He’s done something no one has ever done (17,000+ MLB players have never been able to amass 200 hits in consecutive seasons). I don’t have access to Baseball Reference data, but I’d love to know how he stacks up these past 10 years as a lead off hitter. Who was better at getting on base? Who was better (with a similar number of at bats) of getting in scoring position? This man has been so much fun to watch this decade and I as he seems ageless, I anticipate another half decade of watching his magic.

by TrustBaseball on Sep 23, 2010 10:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Typos appear to be my speciality. Sorry.

I love the guy. What I’m asking is “who has been better as a lead off hitter” for 10 consecutive years?

by TrustBaseball on Sep 23, 2010 10:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the post Jeff.

I wonder sometimes if Ichiro’s hitting approach is what leads people to devalue his place in history, or take him for granted. Nobody else has the same combo of bat control, plate coverage, speed, and willingness to forgo the certain walk in favor of the uncertain base knock.
So maybe it often seems like he’s not competing against the rest of MLB, but against himself and his own accomplishments, thus an annual 200-hit season is to be expected, not necessarily celebrated…
Anyway. From the espn.com story today:
“Ichiro, whose career high in home runs is 15, was asked whether he could imagine hitting 50 homers.
‘I don’t know about 50 home runs, maybe 50 saves,’ he joked.”
You know those times you’re joking, but not really, like about how your wife’s best friend is smokin’ hot? I think maybe this is one of those times.

Just picture Randichiro.

by fiftyone on Sep 23, 2010 10:26 PM PDT reply actions  

One of these things is not like the other...

Wilson, Washburn, Duchscherer, Affeldt, Saarloos, Redman, Clemens, Mahay, Holland, Hill.

Just picture Randichiro.

by fiftyone on Sep 24, 2010 12:59 AM PDT reply actions  

Mahay

Because its the only name with a ‘y’ in it.

by quacker27 on Sep 24, 2010 1:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

The guy is amazing

Nice to see positive comments about Ichi, It’s really annoying to read Baker’s blog and all those people who don’t get it. I really want him to get to 3000 in a Mariner Uni. Since free agency there have been very few players who got 3000 hits all for one team

by New England Fan on Sep 24, 2010 4:22 AM PDT reply actions  

11th 200 hit season

Ichiro had 210 hits in 127 game season for the Orix Blue Wave in 1994. And four other seasons when he would have easily surpassed 200 with 10 to 20 more games in a season. Yeah it is not the Major Leagues but I bring it up to reinforce Jeff’s points about durability, bat control and consistency.

by look4wrd on Sep 24, 2010 10:32 AM PDT reply actions  

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