Series Preview: Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

Seattle: 55-91
Texas: 82-63

MARINERS Δ Ms RANGERS EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-169.1 (30th) -5.2 25.9 (11th) Texas
FIELDING (UZR) 11.9 (11th) 0.0 15.3 (10th) Texas
ROTATION (tRA)
10.4 (15th) -4.4 35.4 (5th) Texas
BULLPEN (tRA)
-31.1 (29th) 0.3 28.8 (6th) Texas
OVERALL(RAA)
-178.0 (28th) -9.5 105.5 (4th) TEXAS

 

 

 

 

 

The Mariners' offense is on pace for a bRAA of -188 runs by the end of the season. Can they make it to -200? It's going to be really tough but dammit, I believe in this team!

If they average exactly two runs per game the remaining 16 games, the 2010 Mariners will have scored 499 runs.

Fri Sep 17, 19:10: Felix Hernandez vs. C.J. Wilson*

Sat Sep 18, 16:10: Jason Vargas* vs. Cliff Lee*

Sun Sep 19, 13:10: Doug Fister vs. Tommy Hunter

I am conflicted about Cliff Lee pitching. It's nice that he's back in Seattle and I really hope that the crowd acknowledges him. Make him feel loved here, Seattlites. On the other hand, I don't really want to be reminded of him in a Rangers uniform. It's like running into your ex who you still love but dumped you and his/her new squeeze. No matter how unlikely, there's still some harboring of hope and so you want to leave that bridge intact, but there's a limit to how much I can pretend to be happy for you, Lindsey.

Doug Fister has 15 starts at home and 10 on the road. He's pitched 100 innings at home with a 3.4 strikeout to (net) walk ratio. He's pitched 52.2 innings with a 1.8 strikeout to walk ratio on the road. Fister is a ground balling right-hander, exactly the opposite archetype from the pitcher supposed to get a big Safeco boost. That's neat! Also, beware Fister's regression in the future if/when he gets more road starts!

Vargas, meanwhile, who is the fly balling left-hander that Safeco should coddle, has a better K/nBB rate on the road (2.6) than at home (2.2). Not that Safeco's effects are limited to strikeouts and walks--and Vargas' ERA is vastly better at home--I just like that Vargas isn't actually pitching better at home.

Felix Hernandez Jason Vargas Doug Fister
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Fastball 68% 94 75 60 75
Curve 13% 83 60 50 75
Change 10% 88 75 75 80
Slider 9% 87 70 70 75
Overall -- -- 75 65 75
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Fastball 38% 87 50 40 30
Sinker 27% 86 30 65 30
Change 25% 79 75 75 40
Slider 7% 83 20 35 35
Overall -- -- 50 60 30
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Fastball 58% 88 25 65 60
Change 19% 81 35 80 60
Curve 8% 74 45 30 75
Sinker 7% 88 25 55 60
Slider 7% 83 35 80 50
Overall -- -- 20 70 65

C.J. Wilson Cliff Lee Tommy Hunter
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Sinker 44% 90 35 50 65
Fastball 19% 90 60 70 50
Slider 16% 83 50 40 50
Change 13% 83 35 20 60
Curve 8% 75 45 20 35
Overall -- -- 40 25 75
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Fastball 50% 91 70 80 45
Sinker 23% 90 55 80 40
Change 13% 84 60 80 55
Curve 8% 76 65 55 80
Slider 5% 85 35 80 55
Overall -- -- 55 80 50
Pitch % Sp K BB GB
Fastball 45% 90 40 70 60
Curve 19% 77 50 70 20
Slider 14% 84 25 70 30
Sinker 11% 89 45 60 35
Change 11% 83 45 55 20
Overall -- -- 35 70 35
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