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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Today's Fun Fact

Up front: I don't like "quality starts" as a statistic very much, and I think the reasons why are obvious. Quality starts are to actual quality starts as a colander is to a bowl. With that said, quality starts aren't completely worthless - just because they're littered with flaws doesn't mean they don't correlate well with effectiveness - and it seems we've got one guy chasing a team record. I bet you could never guess who that guy is.

Felix Hernandez has made 30 starts this season, and outside of a couple in May and one in early June, they have all met at least the minimum standards of quality. That's 27 quality starts out of 30 games, for a QS% of 90%. How does that rank in Mariners history? I went to Baseball-Reference, searched by team, added a minimum of 15 starts, and sorted Quality Start Percentage in descending order. 157 pitcher-seasons came out, and here's the tippy top:

1. Felix Hernandez, 2010, 90.0%

2. Felix Hernandez, 2009, 85.3%

3. Randy Johnson, 1997, 79.3%

4. Randy Johnson, 1994, 78.3%

5. Randy Johnson, 1995, 76.7%

In sixth is Jarrod Washburn's 2009, which is absurd.

So, Felix leads the way at 90%, narrowly ahead of himself at 85.3%. He's set to make another five starts on the season: @Anaheim, vs. Texas, @Toronto, @Texas, and vs. Oakland. Assuming he makes all five, the best he can do is 32/35, or 91.4%. If he wants to set a new record, he needs to go 3-for-5 the rest of the way, to finish at 30/35, or 85.7%. The worst he can do is 77.1%, which would still be good for fourth all-time.

It's also worth noting that, since 1961, among pitchers with at least 15 starts in a season, Felix's current quality start rate of 90% ranks seventh, league-wide, between Rick Reuschel's 1985 (92.3%) and Don Robinson's 1988 (89.5%). The best mark in modern baseball history belongs to Greg Maddux's 1994, at 96.0%. The worst? Bill Parsons' 1973, at 5.9%. That's one quality start out of 17, which kind of sounds even more pathetic than zero. Way to go, Bill.

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When I did the two recent pieces about Cliff Lee stalking the K/BB and IP/GS records

the thing that jumped out to me the most aside from how awesome Cliff Lee is, is how awesome 1990s Greg Maddux was. Not that anyone was overlooking it at the time, but just. Man. He was something.

by Matthew on Sep 10, 2010 10:31 AM PDT reply actions  

He was amazing.

I don’t think I’ve ever seen a pitcher that could spot his pitches like he did. It seemed like every pitch was right on the black, all game long. Had to be damn frustrating to face him.

by nathaniel dawson on Sep 10, 2010 4:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm pretty surprised that Randy never had a season that crossed at least 80%

He’d throw a rutabaga of a game every once in a while, but there were times when he seemed unhittable for a stretch of a couple months or more.

Selective memory at work, I guess..

by nathaniel dawson on Sep 10, 2010 4:44 PM PDT reply actions  

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