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Around SBN: Knicks Beat Lakers With Familiar Strategy

Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox

Seattle: 49-75
Boston: 71-54

MARINERS Δ Ms RED SOX EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-132.9 (30th) 3.2 69.2 (3rd) Boston
FIELDING (UZR) 10.8 (9th) 0.0 5.1 (12th) Seattle
ROTATION (tRA)
7.4 (17th) -1.7 9.0(16th) Boston
BULLPEN (tRA)
-27.2 (29th) -1.2 -15.0 (22nd) Boston
OVERALL(RAA)
-141.9 (26th) 0.4 68.3 (10th) BOSTON

 

 

 

 

 

I was right. That was hardly fair.  

This series should be more fair though. After all, a difference of 210 runs to date is basically just a small rounding error. The Mariners could easily be the better team actually. What are you going to trust: numbers or the sheer magnetism of Ryan Langerhans?

Alternatively, you could watch the Little League World Series instead. I won't be, but as of yet I am unable to prevent others from watching it. Someday. To their credit, they have instant replay driven by challenges which is exactly the proper venue to test out the feasibility of such a system. If it flops, no big deal. If it works, great! Like how the Mariners should be trying out potential 2011 contributors right now. Or I suppose you could keep playing Casey Kotchman and Jose Lopez.

Mon Aug 23, 16:10: Doug Fister vs. John Lackey

Tue Aug 24, 16:10: David Pauley vs. Josh Beckett

Wed Aug 25, 10:35: Felix Hernandez vs. Jon Lester*

The much anticipated return of David Pauley to Boston. I imagine there will be all kinds of sparks and intrigue on a level not seen since that vaunted Ichiro Suzuki vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka first match up or that time Bill Hall played against us.

Do individual achievements get colored by the team's overall performance in the season during which the achievement occurs? If given the choice right now, would you rather Felix have thrown a no-hitter in 2007/9 or in 2008/10? Would anyone pick the latter? Even if it changed nothing about the team's overall record, wouldn't you prefer Ichiro's hits record to have been done in 2003 than in 2004?

Doug Fister David Pauley Felix Hernandez
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 58% 88 20 60 60
Change 19% 81 40 80 70
Curve 8% 74 50 25 80
Sinker 8% 88 25 50 65
Slider 7% 83 40 80 40
Overall -- -- 20 70 65
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 44% 89 20 60 50
Change 19% 83 75 50 45
Curve 17% 76 75 25 75
Sinker 12% 89 20 65 65
Slider 9% 83 55 80 75
Overall -- -- 60 45 60
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 69% 94 75 60 75
Curve 13% 83 60 50 75
Change 10% 88 75 75 80
Slider 8% 87 75 65 75
Overall -- -- 75 65 75

John Lackey Josh Beckett Jon Lester
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 44% 91 40 60 55
Curve 25% 80 65 75 60
Sinker 16% 91 30 50 40
Slider 12% 83 65 50 75
Overall -- -- 50 60 60
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 61% 94 70 80 65
Curve 23% 77 60 50 40
Sinker 12% 92 70 55 45
Overall -- -- 60 70 60
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 57% 93 70 60 75
Sinker 16% 89 80 65 50
Curve 14% 77 65 45 70
Change 8% 85 60 25 75
Overall -- -- 70 50 75

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John, Josh, Jon, Doug, David, Felix

What a collection of names we have in this series.

by ThundaPC on Aug 23, 2010 12:46 PM PDT reply actions  

Ichiro's record in 2004 at least gave me something about the year to be proud of.

For the same reason, I think a no-hitter in an off-year would be more fun than a no-no during a competitive season.

by katal on Aug 23, 2010 1:06 PM PDT reply actions  

At this point, why not play Langerhans at first and Saunders in left against right handers?

It would get Saunders out there more and make me happier-less Kotchman.

The statistics you don't compile never lie.
-Stephen Colbert

by kentcheesehead on Aug 23, 2010 1:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Saunders is more hurt than was previously thought

at least this has been rumor, per Drayer and others. Langerhans should certainly play, although I don’t see the use of platooning Tui if there is any interest in knowing what he can do.

On the whole, knowing what the Sox can do to a fastball and playing them in Fenway etc.. it really doesn’t matter very much does it?

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Aug 23, 2010 1:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Red Sox Offense is the 2nd best against FB, 2nd best against CH, and 4th best against CB in all of MLB

According to Fangraphs Pitch Type Values.

They’re 21st against SL, 14th against CT, and 15 against SF.

by CMC_Stags on Aug 23, 2010 2:20 PM PDT reply actions  

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