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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

My one concern with this quick study is its limited sample size, as the M's have only managed like 40 baserunners all year, and most of them were last Thursday.

over 1 year ago Wbc_029_tiny Jeff Sullivan 34 comments 0 recs  | 

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Yup. That's stupid.

Just another person trying to make sure that a fun, in-depth read on Fangraphs goes away forever. Maybe Dave should do the list without the M’s next year, so people would shut the f up.

Anaheim. Fuck 'em.

by Sass on Jul 26, 2010 9:08 AM PDT up reply actions  

The author also includes isolated power, and in the Mariners' case their least efficient offense is tied to the lowest ISO.

In fact, there appears to be a general correlation of power with offensive efficiency. At one level that’s completely expected – better offenses leave fewer runners stranded! – but I’m wondering if there’s another lesson here.

Over the offseason, there was debate about whether power in itself was necessary for an offense. To paraphrase, the casual fans said power was necessary, that the Mariners needed a big bat to drive in runs, and the smart people said no, that production is production, and power is just a means of generating that production.

I don’t want to draw overly broad conclusions, because the Mariners offense has been awful at everything, on-base skills included, but is there some kind of interesting learning here, that successful offenses need to have some kind of balance between OBP and ISO, and that raw production is too simplistic? I’m not trying to play gotcha here – I was in the camp that production is production – I’m just trying to understand the lesson here if there is one.

by Chris Hafner on Jul 26, 2010 8:36 AM PDT reply actions  

Actually, I'm an idiot.

Upon further reflection, efficiency tied to power is exactly what you’d expect given the definition of this stat. This isn’t a measure of overall run production (offensive productivity), or even a measure of how often a team has baserunners (on-base skills) – it’s a measure of how often baserunners come in to score. Stranded base-runners should correlate positively with ISO over time.

Never mind. I’m still figuring this stuff out.

by Chris Hafner on Jul 26, 2010 8:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

You're so negative all the time

Why can’t you refer to them as “the most inefficient offense in baseball”? LET’S BE POSITIVE!!! We’re #1 at inefficiency!

by pdb on Jul 26, 2010 8:44 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

How about "The most pitching-oriented hitters in baseball!"?

2010 Safeco Field Record: 2-1 ; Overall Safeco Field Record: 12-5

by Fin on Jul 26, 2010 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

M's have the 2nd worst hitting team in MLB and are also last and bringing in their limited baserunners

I’m shocked.

Here are the article’s 4 least efficient offenses. They are also the bottom 4 in wOBA on Fangraphs.
Mariners (30th in effeciency, 29th in wOBA)
Astros (27th, 30th in wOBA)
Pirates (28th, 28th)
Orioles (29th, 27th)

by CMC_Stags on Jul 26, 2010 10:10 AM PDT reply actions  

Wow, I mangled that subject line

Should have read:
M’s have the 2nd worst hitting team in MLB and are last in bringing in their limited baserunners

by CMC_Stags on Jul 26, 2010 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

This isn't a huge surprise considering the pitiful nature of our offense and the lack of power in general.

Even with a more successful version of this team, the power output was never supposed to be serious and as such we’d be leaving more runners on base anyhow.

by abender20 on Jul 26, 2010 10:17 AM PDT reply actions  

But, in theory, we'd be getting more baserunners.

So it wouldn’t be as big of a deal when we stranded some of them.

Anaheim. Fuck 'em.

by Sass on Jul 26, 2010 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

To score a run, the Mariners need at minimum 3 to 4 baserunners.

Single, single, single to score
single walk single to score,
single walk walk single to score, etc.

So we were pretty much guaranteed to be extremely inefficient from day one. Our players were simply supposed to get on base more often.

Man, I really wish I had the math skills to write that chaining article I wanted to.

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Jul 26, 2010 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

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