Mirror Images
by Jeff Sullivan on Jul 24, 2010 5:20 PM PDT
in Seattle Mariners Stats
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PrintSomething I noticed as I scanned across Fangraphs player pages, as is anybody's fancy on a beautiful Saturday afternoon:
| Stat | Felix 2009 | Felix 2010 |
| ERA | 2.49 | 2.75 |
| FIP | 3.09 | 3.04 |
| xFIP | 3.42 | 3.37 |
| K% | 22% | 23% |
| BB/HBP% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| HR% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| GB% | 53% | 53% |
| Contact% | 77% | 78% |
| Velocity | ~same | |
| Mix | ~same | |
People talk about how pitchers are inconsistent, and for good reason - generally speaking, they are inconsistent, and difficult to predict. Even Felix has had his inconsistencies within this stretch. But overall, it's remarkable how similar his last two seasons have been, and at this point, we have nearly 400 innings of evidence that Felix has found his level. And what a level it is.
I don't have any problem with Ubaldo Jimenez, but I've taken some degree of delight in his recent performance decline, because he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez. There's only one of him, and that guy is ours.
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Well that's an unsurprising coincidence
by Jeff Sullivan on Jul 24, 2010 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions
You'd think a blogger as handsome as you would have noticed that.
M's fan in PA, soon to be LA
by perfectstrat on Jul 24, 2010 5:50 PM PDT up reply actions
And about two weeks ago
http://seattle.sbnation.com/2010/7/8/1559144/the-strikingly-similar-felix
Not that anyone reads SB Nation Seattle.
Thank you, Jeff for some sliver of hope in a pie full of suck.
Good news is nice and hard to come by these days.
Re: "he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez"
But-but! Tim Lincecum!
Re: "he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez"
B-but! Johan Santana!
Nope.
You know how Felix is 24? Santana didn’t even start his run of league-domination until his age-25 season.
Also, Felix already showed Johan that Johan is no Felix Hernandez.
33!
by joof on Jul 24, 2010 10:32 PM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Hey-oh!
“I just closed my eyes and swung.”
Karma police, arrest this man.
by wyte_lightning on Jul 24, 2010 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions
Ubaldo hasn't really declined.
He’s just gotten results that corresponded to his peripherals. It’s not really a surprise to anyone that’s watched what happens to pitchers whose ERAs are blowing their FIPs (tRAs, xFIPs, etc) away. We know what happens to guys like that. There is no pitcher with a .205 true talent BABIP.
I happy to say that Ubaldo is a great pitcher, but don’t anyone say he’s a Felix. He’s not a Felix, he’s just a pitcher.
Re: "he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez"
What about Sabathia?! He’s good, and he’s a Yankee!
No, again.
Sabathia just celebrated his thirtieth birthday. He’s never run a tRA under 3.00 on a season.
Re: "he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez"
Cliff Lee and Roy Halladay will likely win the Cy Young awards this year!
Re: "he's just another young pitcher who's proven that he isn't Felix Hernandez"
Josh Beckett dominated through the playoffs when he was 23! He’s won a World Series for Red Sox Nation! Yeah!
No, no, no, no, no.
As neat as Beckett can be, he’s only had a single season in Boston where his tRA was under 4. As a Marlin? He never threw more than 200 innings in a season. Not once. Felix is better than Josh Beckett. Felix is king.
by katal on Jul 24, 2010 6:26 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I like this personality better.
It’s smarter.
According to my calculations, your problem doesn't exist.
by the other side on Jul 24, 2010 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions
You're having an awesome thread.
Charter Member: Dave Sims Sweet Hat Club // Batting .375 with 4 RBI, for Rocky Diablos, PSSBL.
by Two Rs and Two Ls on Jul 25, 2010 3:36 AM PDT up reply actions
Damn meant to cancel this
Too many injuries even through age 24 of his career.
by Edgar for Pres on Jul 24, 2010 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah I can't find anybody who has Felix's skill, youth and consistancy
by Edgar for Pres on Jul 24, 2010 6:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Strasburg!
M's fan in PA, soon to be LA
by perfectstrat on Jul 24, 2010 6:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Sincerely,
the team with more Felix Hernandezes than you
The statistics you don't compile never lie.
-Stephen Colbert
by kentcheesehead on Jul 24, 2010 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions
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