1-1, Game Thoughts
2008 had JJ Putz. 2009 had Brandon Morrow and Miguel Batista. And 2010 has Kanekoa Texeira. No, it's not a fair comparison. The circumstances were a good bit different tonight than they were the two times previous. But for the third consecutive year, the Mariners have kicked things off with an opening win and then watched the bullpen get stuck with a last-inning loss a day later.
Half of the time this has happened, the Mariners have gone on to have one of the most disappointing seasons in baseball history. And half of the time this has happened, the Mariners have gone on to be among the league's most pleasant surprises. Does tonight's sequence of events, then, suggest that it's going to be feast or famine going forward? Speaking as someone who has performed science, I'd say the answer is an unquestionable yes. Given the similarities between what happened tonight and what happened in each of the two Aprils before, the 2010 Mariners are going to either suck or be a lot of fun. Or they will be okay.
- I'll be honest with you - I was prepared to lose this game as soon as I saw Travis Buck's broken-bat looper drop in left field in the ninth. I had the intro all written up in my mind and everything. A team as annoying as ourselves is going to cause a lot of fans a lot of anguish. People are going to hate losing to this team. And so it's only fair that this team should be treated to a taste of its own medicine every once in a while. Remember how, whenever we got lucky against the Angels over the last few years, we'd all say we were beating them at their own game? That's what I thought tonight was going to be. I thought the A's were going to win on a broken-bat double and a grounder or a bases-loaded walk or something. I was not expecting to escape that inning alive, and I was not expecting to lose like a normal team loses.
It'll be interesting to see how Mariner fans adapt and evolve over the season. When we get stuck with annoying losses, will we still refuse to give the other guys any credit for their timely stroke of good luck? Or will we nod our heads and acknowledge that, yeah, they got us? - I don't completely agree with Wak's bullpen management tonight. I thought Shawn Kelley should've stayed out there after throwing 18 pitches in a scoreless inning, because it's a short bullpen and he's one of the two long relievers - and a good long reliever at that. But that's just one simple gripe, and it's not an issue on the same level as the Sean White decision Monday night.
Ultimately, though Kelley could've used a second inning, once he was out of there Wak did just fine. And the reason I'm bringing this up is because I'm perfectly okay with letting Kanekoa Texeira try for two innings. Texeira's the other long guy, and while many want to give all rookies a soft landing, you don't put a Rule 5 pick on the Major League roster if you think a few nerves will cause him to crumble. And it's not like Oakland's the most intimidating environment anyway. Texeira was a sensible choice.
How'd he look? He didn't look terrific, but the six baserunners and the loss are misleading. One of those baserunners was an unintentional intentional walk. One came on a broken-bat double. Two came on groundball singles. And Mark Ellis' winning gapper came on an 0-2 curve that was down out of the zone. Texeira threw first-pitch balls to seven of the 11 batters he faced. That's bad. But all things considered, he did pretty well, and the walk-off single was more good hitting than bad pitching. That's just one of those potentially unprecedented circumstances in which you have to tip your cap to Mark Ellis for doing such a fine job at the plate.
Really liked the curve Texeira was throwing. Used it to great effect against Rajai Davis with the bases loaded in the ninth. That was a strikeout situation, and that Texeira threw three in a row after falling behind 1-0 tells me it's his strikeout pitch. - As I mentioned above, I wasn't the biggest fan of Wak removing Kelley after one inning, but overall Wak came out in the black on account of the starting lineup he put out there against a southpaw. Putting Eric Byrnes in left? Moving Milton Bradley to DH, thereby keeping Mike Sweeney on the bench? Shifting Casey Kotchman down? Moving Franklin Gutierrez up? Those are easy decisions to us, but they're not so easy for a manager who's a big reason why Sweeney's even still on the team, and for a manager who might be tempted to reward a guy like Kotchman for his success. Starting Adam Moore was a nice touch, too, but it's possible they just didn't want to give Rob Johnson back-to-back games this early in the year.
- He was never going to start today anyway, not against a lefty, but participants in the Griffey Challenge probably aren't big fans of having the guy ride the bench in the second game of the year.
- When we used to play wiffleball in the front yard, my brother and I had this theory that you could throw an awesome sinker if you fell forward right at release. By 'fall,' I don't mean lean. I mean straight-up fall, with your spine going limp and everything. There wasn't any science behind it and it only gave us countless sore forearms, but the theory endured far longer than it should've, all because one time I tripped on the driveway while I was pitching and the wiffleball dropped off the table. Based on that single experience, we thought we'd literally stumbled upon a neat little trick.
It seems Dallas Braden may have found a neat little trick of his own. Through the first 61 games of his Major League career, Braden posted strikeout and contact rates below the league average. Then he went on the DL after he went to the doctor to see about a rash and a biopsy accidentally severed a nerve. Incapable of feeling most of his left foot, Braden learned to deal and, in his return to Major League action tonight, struck out ten batters in seven innings. Is lower body numbness the next great performance enhancer? Based on our sample of one game, the answer would appear to be a statistically significant yes.
By the way, make note of the usage of "lower body" in there. I was a lefty pitcher back in high school. My junior year, an accident left me unable to feel much of my left hand, but I pitched through it as a senior. It did not improve my performance. - For a multitude of reasons, I think it's probably best that we keep from really analyzing Ian Snell's 2010 until he has a handful of starts under his belt. The sort of approach reduces the probability of misdirection. For those of you who can't wait that long, I will say that, visually, he didn't seem too bad tonight. But this game was chock full of lousy hitting - Ellis' heroics aside - so it's hard to divide responsibility. It was good to see Snell get a few swinging strikes on his fastball, and it was weird to see Snell lean so much on his changeup. Some of them were good. Some of them were not.
- In the bottom of the fourth, Eric Chavez (who is still playing) smoked a ball back up the middle that literally came within one or two inches of bringing Garrett Olson another Major League paycheck. Ian Snell's next pitch was a perfectly-located fastball on the outside corner. The terrorists will never win. Not as long as we have Ian Snell on our side.
- The result of that perfectly-located fastball on the outside corner? A bunt by Mark Ellis past the mound. Incredibly, Jose Lopez looked rather nimble as he charged the ball, barehanded it, and threw it to first in a fatter approximation of the Beltre Special, but his throw wasn't in time. That was Lopez's bright moment. He had a down moment in the first, when he couldn't handle a standard Ryan Sweeney groundball, and he had another down moment in the eighth when he fielded an easy bounce off the bat of Kevin Kouzmanoff and promptly threw wide of first, drawing Casey Kotchman off the bag. The first mistake was a simple hands gaffe that could've happened anywhere. The second mistake was directly related to Lopez having to throw across the diamond. He'll learn.
- According to Sitemeter, Lookout Landing drew 7000 more unique visitors on Tuesday than the Oakland Coliseum.
- I said this on Twitter, but I'll say it again: the best times to get up and do something during Mariner games are (1) commercials, and (2) Jack Wilson at bats.
- The great thing about small crowds is that you can hear individual hecklers. And the great thing about being able to hear individual hecklers is that maybe, if you're lucky, you'll be able to hear the rare Protracted Heckler. This is the guy who isn't happy just telling players they suck. This is the guy who tells players how they suck, why they suck, how long they've sucked, and how long they'll continue to suck. Like a volcanic eruption, this guy will begin without warning and remain ruthless and relentless long after drawing attention to himself, returning to dormancy only after voiding completely the magma chamber within.
There's a funny thing about hecklers:
A heckle is good as a quick, short burst. Longer than that and it becomes a nuisance, interfering with the attention you can pay to the game. But this is only a temporary state, and if a heckler is sufficiently committed, he will climb out of Frat Valley and become an instant anecdote. 10 seconds is annoying. 20 seconds is annoying. 30 seconds is impressive. 60 seconds is a feat. 90 seconds is something you call your friends to listen to over the phone. 10,000 seconds is a Padres game.
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And here's Eric Byrnes looking the wrong way for a foul ball

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 7, 2010 1:28 AM PDT reply actions 8 recs
That's incredible.
Almost as incredible as the shot of him in the dugout in the 9th or 10th inning with his hair literally sticking straight out in all directions. Seriously. Each and every individual hair was sticking straight out from his head at a perfect 90-degree angle. …What? Physics?
My hair does that too.
My friends give me a load of crap about it. I’d love to get a screen capture of him like that to put in my cube.
I was baffled.
I started laughing, but then I froze when I realized what I had just seen.
The hair was amazing.
It reminded me of Jeff Daniels

by Mind of no mind on Apr 7, 2010 1:54 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
So...
Eric Byrnes is Jeff Daniels having diarrhea?
I live in Phoenix, so nothing this guy does surprises me any more.
I moved here to Phoenix about 3 years ago and watched him as a D-Back and I quickly grew to hate him. Sure he is very “enthusiastic” but thats about it. My wife and I find great amusement in nit-picking every thing he does because he excels at being terrible. We love the “Byrnes Special”, which is a shallow to mild fly ball, an easy out- which he loves to do. It was a great day hearing AZ dumped him, and a sad day when the M’s signed him.
by mariseanerhawk on Apr 7, 2010 3:01 AM PDT up reply actions
I believe I have mentioned this
But I called Eric Byrnes an asshole to his face at Yankee Stadium back in 2007. I speak the truth.
That was my favorite last night.
Even he assumes it will be an infield pop-up.
by msb on Apr 7, 2010 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions
He looks vaguely like Inigo Montoya in the Princess Bride
asking his father to guide his sword in order to find the six-fingered man, only to wind up with his sword stuck in a tree.
Batted .393/.614/.464 for 2009 Diablos, #5 in OBP for PSSBL Rocky Division.
by Two Rs and Two Ls on Apr 7, 2010 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions
What is this I don't even....
What a weird guy.
Is that the light at the end of the tunnel, or the headlights of an oncoming train?
In Byrnes' defense,
Suzuki popped up and looked up and around, too.
Question
As I was brushing my teeth, it popped into my head that it’s entirely possible that with our batting looking as bad as it did tonight, it could have easily been as many as 3 or 4 more innings until we scraped together enough offense to get a run. If we had gotten out of the 10th we easily could have burned through our all of our available relievers in the pursuit of a single run.
Question: While taking a loss is the worse case scenario for a single game, at what point is it worth taking the loss vs seriously hampering the bullpen’s ability to pitch over the next few days?
Rec'd because now I can look back on that and think it's awesome.
As opposed to humiliating.
Also a die-hard Hawks fan.
I was contemplating that very thing in the top of the ninth.
I came to the conclusion that “fuck me for contemplating stupid shit like that.” No offense to you. Or me.
Then I can die a happy man...
Alas, until then, this will have to do.
by cmccrack206 on Apr 7, 2010 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
I never get tired of that clip
The funniest part is how Ichiro looks about 15 years old, and Matsui looks the same as he does now.
Mariners/D Broncos/BSU Broncos fan in Seattle
by appleshampoo on Apr 7, 2010 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions
I love the umpire.
Reminds me of Leslie Nielsen in The Naked Gun.
I wondered about that too
I also wondered if teams best on run prevention see more extra inning games. It makes sense to me that a team that scores and allows an average of three runs would see more extra inning games than a team that scores and allows an average of seven runs.
by Snuffleupagus on Apr 7, 2010 6:47 AM PDT up reply actions
On the topic of hecklers,
I remember a White Sox game from several years ago where Paul Konerko had the strangest “heckler” I’ve ever heard. I was sitting on the first base side, and the heckler was over near left field somewhere, but every time the stadium got quiet during a Konerko at bat the heckler would yell “Hey Konerko, can you hear me?” I was further away from the guy than Konerko was, so I’m sure the answer was yes.
For the entire game we kept waiting for him to tell Konerko he sucked or something, but instead he just kept it up with “Can you hear me?” He must have asked 25 times. He was the greatest heckler ever.
by Vatinius on Apr 7, 2010 1:50 AM PDT reply actions 3 recs
That's AWESOME!!!
Next time I go to a game I am definitely going to try that. Thanks for the laugh!
by mariseanerhawk on Apr 7, 2010 3:03 AM PDT up reply actions
How the hell did Braden do that to us?
This lineup is gonna be rough some days.
Also, I think Lowe is gonna become awesome this year.
What, she's a big kid!
De Gutibus non disputandum est
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 7, 2010 6:31 AM PDT up reply actions
The Byrnes family's use of the English language is as wildly strange as Byrnes' behavior on the field.
bYRNt Organics has been founded on the principles of Earth, Comfort, and Style. We are committed to these concepts and strive to bring you fashion forward concepts with a conscience.
Can “Earth, Comfort, and Style” really be principles? Also, “fashion forward” is NOT a modifier.
Earth. Every garment is created and produced using the most eco-conscious method and materials available. From organic cotton to recycled sundry elements, our focus of the “green” and “sustainable” practices infuses everything we do.
I like how he used the phrase “sundry elements” right before saying “our focus of [sic] the…”
Comfort. An absolute priority, our fits are designed to meet the needs of an “American Build”, providing for the strong and curvy physiques euro tailors have forgotten.
“Strong and curvy physiques! FUCK YEAH!” Also, “euro tailors” have forgotten us? It sounds like he’s trying to coin a new epithet. Plus, how much of the clothing Americans wear is European-manufactured?
Style. Relaxed and easy to wear, our line is vintage surf inspired with a breath of modernism. Classic palettes and flattering cuts create the ultimate in basics.
This is getting to be like reading Engrish.com. But you can clearly see Modernism‘s influence on Byrnes’ character. As Richard Huelsenbeck said in the “First German Dada Manifesto” of 1918: “The best and most extraordinary artists will be those who every hour snatch the tatters of their bodies out of the frenzied cataract of life, who, with bleeding hands and hearts, hold fast to the intelligence of their time.” That seems like a spot-on description of Byrnes on the baseball diamond. He is a truly extraordinary artist.
Each garment purchased generates funds for the Pat Tillman Foundation, a cause near and dear to our hearts.
Okay, nothing much to make fun of there.
We sincerely hope you enjoy the fruits of our labors. Thank you for making a purchase to make a difference. Come back soon!
The Byrnes Family
Owners
Oh how we do so enjoy your fruit, Eric.
by Decatur on Apr 7, 2010 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Long boards are the wrong boards, bro!
no lead is safe.
by sanford_and_son on Apr 7, 2010 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions
And just on the second game of the season!
According to Sitemeter, Lookout Landing drew 7000 more unique visitors on Tuesday than the Oakland Coliseum.
That made me giggle!
by Charles Gipson is a Mangod on Apr 7, 2010 7:52 AM PDT reply actions
I thought I heard Sims say the attendance was around 10k
And in the 10th he estimated around 4700 left.
[DELETED ZOMG NO POLITICS]
Closer to 5k, in all likelihood.
I would ask you all to remember: the powers that be, they took your basketball team and they once took your baseball team.
In other words, please don’t hate, don’t smirk, don’t giggle. It ain’t funny. It wasn’t funny when it happened to you and it ain’t funny now that it’s happening to us.
Some of us really love them where they are, but the cards don’t seem to be falling our way. We didn’t get our Safeco built quick enough.
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 7, 2010 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions
Winning close games is a skill.
Chemistry helps teams win close games.
Tonight we lost a very close game to the A’s.
Our chemistry sucks.
It appears as if my outlook for this version of the Mariners mirrors my feelings for the band Injured.
Only dull people are brilliant at breakfast.
I heard that the band Injured changed their name
to A Capella as they walked out of the pawn shop.
Batted .393/.614/.464 for 2009 Diablos, #5 in OBP for PSSBL Rocky Division.
by Two Rs and Two Ls on Apr 7, 2010 8:53 AM PDT up reply actions
Proper heckling isn't saying the same thing over and over again anyway.
A good and proper heckle can definitely involve variations on a theme – I still maintain that I was personally responsible for a Minnesota Twins pitcher losing his composure because I kept calling him a little kid (seriously, I was sitting like 5 rows in back of the Twins dugout and he looked up at me several times in the 1/3rd of an inning he was out there) – but the LETS GO OAKLAND over and over is just annoying and stupid.
The real pros are those guys who sit in the first couple rows of NBA games. There are guys who dig up personal information and heckle about it. That’s kind of mean on the one hand, but it’s also kind of funny. Meaner that funny, I’ll grant you.
I've heckled from the first couple rows at NBA games,
and I’ve got to admit that I started getting a little nervous when the players started shooting glances my way.
Kenyon Martin is a big dude.
I wouldn't worry about it....
It’s not like NBA players would ever go into the stands and attack a fan.
Only dull people are brilliant at breakfast.
by Rich Langford on Apr 7, 2010 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions
i Heckled Vlade Divac
in 1999, screaming in russian about his cousin milan had his leg blown off, and his family was next. He kept looking at me in the front row, and made a ton of passing throw and lane mistakes. I was honestly afraid for my safety and was happy he fouled himself out of the game.
That's kind of fucked up, man.
no lead is safe.
by sanford_and_son on Apr 7, 2010 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
Now that's below the belt.
Had you said that in English, I’m sure a few fans would’ve broken your face.
Any comment about a man's legs getting blown off is below the belt by definition.
by Graham MacAree on Apr 7, 2010 4:15 PM PDT up reply actions 6 recs
He didn't specify where the leg went after it was blown off
It could be in a tree somewhere, well above belt level.
by OlSalty on Apr 7, 2010 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
At the Time
He was an owner of a trendy night-club in Sacramento, as well as rumored to be a silent private investor in some shady businesses. I felt he was an overhyped player with shady mob ties. I was a cocky kid who had just returned from a year abroad in Moscow, sitting in the courtside front row for the very first time of my life. My cockiness turned into glee when the comment about his parents were in a mass grave in Sarejevo caused him to throw four feet above Chris Weber: I just ran with the Slavic slurs. In hindsight it was harsh, I am lucky he didn’t charge me!
One advantage of heckling baseball players...
…is that many of them are small to normal sized. Also, being set back a bit further in the stands means that it’s tougher for them to pick you out, and way tougher to run after you.
That being said, I prefer the weird and silly to the mean-spirited. The whole point of heckling is to get into the other guy’s head, and you can do that just as easily by making him say “what the HECK did that guy just say?” as you can by bringing up personal issues. If anything, weird/silly is bound to work better because players hear mean and personal in pretty much every venue they play in.
Even when I go personal, I try to keep it off-beat…
“HEY JOEY HAMILTON, THAT WAS A NICE CATCH YOU MADE! YOU KNOW WHAT REALLY GOES WELL WITH A NICE CATCH? CRACK COCAINE.”
“YOU HAVE A HEARTWARMING LIFESTORY, WHICH I GUESS IS NOT A HECKLE BUT NONETHELESS YOU SUCK”
“HEY ARE YOU PLANTING POT IN THE OUTFIELD GRASS, JOEY HAMILTON? OH MY BAD YOU PREFER CRACK COCAINE.”
I’m not saying these are particularly creative or funny, just that they’re not what you normally hear. I also remember distracting Jason Bartlett by saying he had beautiful skin that I wanted to caress. The flip side of this is that weirdo heckles are semi-likely to get people around you active. Well, or in the case of the Bartlett thing, completely alienate you.
by Johnny Slick on Apr 7, 2010 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions
Are you talking about Josh Hamilton?
I’m confused.
De Gutibus non disputandum est
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 7, 2010 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions
Yes.
I am terrible with names. Fortunately, I can read lineup cards.
It probably really messes with their head
when you repeatedly get their name wrong.
Hey, why are you getting my name wrong.
OH I GET IT YOU ARE HECKLING ME AND I JUST POPPED OUT ON LL AAAAAAARGGHHH
Texeira's last pitch
Ever since someone linked the Pitch F/x Tool, I’ve been messing around with this idea. Because Jeff mentioned the quality of Texeira’s last pitch to Mark Ellis, that’s as good an excuse as any to bring this whole thing up.
Basically, the idea is to look at the unique indicators of a pitch (velocity, break, and pitch location) and then find as many similar pitches as we can in past years’ pitch f/x data to determine the quality of any given pitch. So we can take Texeira’s pitch here and say, in the past, a pitch thrown at a similar velocity with a similar break to a similar part of the strike zone would generally produce X run value. Run values for this experiment were all calculated using this table.
A few caveats first. The sample size here seems to be pretty low to me and my decisions on how to filter the pitch data are pretty arbitrary. I wouldn’t put a lot of stock into these numbers right now. But it is fun to look at!
So plugging Texeira’s pitch into my wonder spreadsheet (which includes 2008 and 2009 pitch data) we get the following:
‘Similar’ pitches: 237
Average Run Value: -.047
Avg. RV (LH Batters) (128): -.071
Avg. RV (RH Batters) (109): -.018
Outcomes
Ball 32%
Sw. Strike 45%
Called Strike 4%
In Play 19%
BABIP .370
So this matches up pretty well with Jeff’s conclusion. The negative run value overall makes it an above average pitch in any given count. There is definitely not enough of a sample to determine how good it is in an 0&2 count. I also ran the splits for batters out of curiousity. Even though the samples are even smaller, it does suggest that LH batters would have a tougher time with this pitch. Unfortunately for Texeira, Ellis is a righty.
The outcomes show that the pitch generally goes for a swinging strike which is where it gets most of its value from. Only 20% of the time it results in contact and I included the BABIP to see if luck is affecting the low sample size (It probably is). Fun fact: none of the balls in play went for home runs.
So, that’s enough of microanalyzing a single pitch. I’m not sure how much merit this has but I had been tooling around with it all morning and had to post it to get it out of my system.
by sulles on Apr 7, 2010 1:52 PM PDT reply actions 10 recs
You might want to seperate by count too
by Graham MacAree on Apr 7, 2010 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions
Counts
0-0 (30): .057
1-0 (12): .004
2-0 (1): .110
3-0 (0): n/a
0-1 (36): .046
1-1 (27): -.048
2-1 (10): -.051
3-1 (1): .201
0-2 (37): -.026
1-2 (47): -.117
2-2 (26): -.157
3-2 (8): -.272
Ridiculously small samples there but it matches up intuitively, I think. It’s a ’pitcher’s pitch’ that you throw when you’re ahead in the count and is especially effective when you have 2 strikes and the hitter can’t afford to lay off.

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