Handed Park Factors: West Tennessee
Remember how much Cheney Stadium insanely repressed triples? I think I found out where they were all hiding out. Maybe they've taken on a life of their own now and are just reproducing triples. West Tenn and triples, once you pop, you cannot stop.
Triples aside, West Tenn is about the most neutral of all our minor league parks, which is perfect. Double-A is where the real prospects should be hanging out, so that's where I prefer there not to be any wacky Colorado Springs-like environments. The line drive rate is high, but as was discussed in the original article on Safeco, the batted ball factors are going to include influence from the scorers at each park, which have been shown to be systemically biased.
Does West Tenn have a really good hitter's eye that helps batters square up the ball more or do the people that score games in West Tenn have a penchant for labeling well-struck balls as line drives more often than their peers? Probably both. If you wanted only park effects, you would care about the former. Since I'm interested in how these parks affect the stats that we see, I am interested in both.
| Factor | LH | RH |
|---|---|---|
| K | 96 | 103 |
| BB | 108 | 98 |
| HBP | 85 | 95 |
| GB | 97 | 99 |
| FB | 88 | 89 |
| LD | 133 | 120 |
| IF | 92 | 93 |
| 1B | 101 | 95 |
| 2B | 112 | 107 |
| 3B | 177 | 161 |
| HR/BIA | 89 | 105 |
| wOBA | 105 | 100 |
K, BB, HBP, GB, FB, LD and IF are all factored on a per PA basis since they are all discrete possible results of a PA. 1B, 2B and 3B are factored on a per batted ball basis. HR is factored by balls in the air (i.e. non-ground-ball batted balls). wOBA is based on what the league average line would have looked like given the above factors. A rough guide to 95% confidence intervals for these is given here.
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Are you aware of any studies
of MiLB batted ball scoring biases?
There was a great piece by someone (Harry Pavlidis or Justin Inaz?) on ground-ball rates by minor league level, but it’s really the LD/FB distinction where scorer bias could play a big role. The potential for weird distortions of stats seems higher in the minors, but maybe it’s just not a big deal.
Not aware of any looks, no
but it would surprise me more if there weren’t biases than if there were
Oh definitely. They're going to exist.
Just trying to figure out magnitude. Hopefully, there’s more measurable bias, but it’s small. I worry that it’s not, but if it wasn’t, and if it was confined, I keep thinking we’d see it (through tRA, for example).
Didn't think I would see such a high deviation
from the norm as the 3B here. Then again wouldn’t have thought Cheney supressed 3B by so much.
Again though, the samples are soooo tiny that it's probably not a real effect.
It’s amusing that Cheney ‘limited’ triples despite having guys like Bryan LaHair, Brad Nelson and Mike Wilson patrolling the OF recently (and Victor Diaz before that).
3B are rare events and obviously those factors are small sample artifact
but the LD factors.. what gives? Are we to mistrust any BA numbers from West Tenn?
De Gutibus non disputandum est
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 27, 2010 11:06 AM PDT reply actions
What gives?
More batted balls are classified as line drives in Pringles Park than away from it. That’s what gives. I cannot tell you why.
The BA numbers are what they are, the batted ball types shouldn't matter.
I could imagine it would mess with pitcher’s tRAs though.
yeah - apart from a 3B hit being rare, also only a sample from 2007 onward
So whats that? 66 home games a year at AAA for a 132 game schedule?
How many games in AA per season?
by aussie_m's_fan on Apr 27, 2010 12:36 PM PDT reply actions

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