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Around SBN: Trent Richardson Interviews Fellow Brown Brandon Weeden

Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals

Seattle: 9-10
Kansas City: 7-11

MARINERS Δ Ms ROYALS EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-13.4 (26th) -7.4 15.6 (4th) Kansas City
FIELDING (?) 14.9 (1st) 1.0 -3.4 (22nd) Seattle
ROTATION (tRA)
-8.2 (25th) -4.2 -0.5 (17th) Kansas City
BULLPEN (tRA)
-7.6 (28th) -4.9 -15.0 (30th) Seattle
OVERALL(RAA)
-14.3 -15.5 -3.3 KANSAS CITY






 

Ouch. Ow ow ow. That series hurt. It's over with though and the good news is that we get to face the Royals, we get a turn from Felix and after this comes the return of Cliff Lee in an important series against division foe Texas. For now, the team needs to get back to its winning ways in Kansas City which is doable, but there are challenges to be faced as well. 

 

Mon Apr 26, 17:10: Felix Hernandez vs. Kyle Davies

Tue Apr 27, 17:10: Ian Snell vs. Zack Greinke

Wed Apr 28, 11:10: Ryan Rowland-Smith* vs. Gil Meche

At least Felix takes the bump today. A typical showing from him would go a long way to easing our memories of this past series. Kyle Davies should provide an opportunity for the Mariners to put their walking shoes back on. This lineup is never going to be a potent one, but it can fool people into believing that when it works the count and draws walks, especially at the top.

Right after we're (hopefully) done soothing our injured egos with a thrashing of Davies, we get Ian Snell against Zack Greinke which is just haha funny. Originally, Zack Greinke graded out at 55-55-40 on the overall rankings in the below tables, which made me re-evaluate my cutoffs so some of those overall numbers are going to look quite different now than they were before. I think I had left relief pitchers in on the original sample from which I drew my percentile cutoffs.

Felix is good.

I would prefer that the Mariners face former-Mariner Gil Meche like they faced former-Mariner J.J. Putz and not like they faced former-Mariner Matt Thornton.

Wait, we're going up against a Kyle, Zack and Gil this series? Are we playing baseball in Kansas City or bocce ball at the yacht club?

Felix Hernandez Ian Snell Ryan Rowland-Smith
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 68% 94 75 60 80
Slider 13% 88 75 65 75
Curve 11% 83 60 45 65
Change 8% 87 70 70 80
Overall -- -- 75 65 80
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 58% 92 55 35 35
Slider 27% 84 70 55 40
Change 13% 84 40 25 55
Overall -- -- 70 45 40

Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 52% 88 45 65 35
Curve 19% 72 35 75 70
Change 18% 80 50 50 40
Sinker 7% 88 20 50 20
Overall -- -- 35 60 40


Kyle Davies Zack Greinke Gil Meche
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 57% 92 50 25 40
Change 17% 82 70 60 30
Slider 13% 86 50 30 70
Curve 12% 77 50 35 45
Overall -- -- 55 25 40
Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 60% 94 65 55 40
Slider 18% 86 75 60 70
Curve 14% 75 55 65 45
Change 7% 83 50 40 50
Overall -- -- 65 55 40

Pitch%SpKBBGB
Fastball 54% 92 70 50 35
Curve 19% 78 45 45 75
Change 12% 83 75 70 55
Slider 11% 87 25 40 65
Sinker 5% 89 55 40 30
Overall -- -- 60 45 55

Comment 116 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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This is what the internet tells me:
The boy’s name Gil \gil\ is a variant of Gilbert (Old French), Giles (Greek) and Gilon (Hebrew), and the meaning of Gil is “bright promise; small goat; joy”.

Apparently it was in the top 1000 baby names between 1940 and 1970 and has fallen on hard times recently. That means if you meet a Gil it is likely that he is between 40 and 70 yrs old. Prime rich old guy years.

by Edgar for Pres on Apr 26, 2010 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Meche is from LA

I think it’s more common there

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 26, 2010 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

I thought you meant Los Angeles for a second and got really confused

Also, I always thought his first name was actually Gil but apparently its Gilbert which is way more common and boring.

by Edgar for Pres on Apr 26, 2010 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Gilliam?

2010 Safeco Field Record: 0-0 ; Overall Safeco Field Record: 10-4

by Fin on Apr 26, 2010 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

the bottom line is

we can all assume they love hunting

by Freneau on Apr 26, 2010 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

FELIX DAY YEAH.

I purchased my first legitimate M’s jersey today, number 34 of course, thus contributing +1 to Felix’s overall power…..or something nerdy like that.

Also, I’m just going to pretend this last weekend of sports didn’t happen. Today is a new god damn day!

Milton Bradley apologist

by sanford_and_son on Apr 26, 2010 11:15 AM PDT reply actions  

Thus justifying his spot on the team for the next month at least.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

False hope is a horrible thing.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

It is a bitch.

Everything is Rob Johnson's fault.

by the other side on Apr 26, 2010 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think that's just idiocy actually.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fingers crossed.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

You forgot the key issue in this matchup

The Battle for Grass Creek continues!

by Dewey N on Apr 26, 2010 11:36 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Ian Snell vs Zach Greinke

Some heckler out there is drooling at the prospect of these fragile egos

by jtopps on Apr 26, 2010 11:47 AM PDT reply actions  

Malfunctioning.

Social anxiety disorder. He signed with the Rangers, but didn’t report to spring training due to those issues, so they voided his contract.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes...very depressing...

Everything is Rob Johnson's fault.

by the other side on Apr 26, 2010 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

It's a bad position to be in.

Terrible fear of being ostracized or otherwise singled out, while trying to win a job, with a team in a league you’ve never played in.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow

You’ve really gotta feel for the guy.

by BigR on Apr 26, 2010 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yippee

More JR at DH.

Sure would be nice to run Bradley out at DH and Langerhans at LF…

by tait644 on Apr 26, 2010 12:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Hannahan has yet to play short in Tacoma

(sadface)

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 12:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Have him play second?

Or third?

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

But....Chris Woodward!

And they just got Ramon Vazquez back, which means we have a ‘hey remember the good times we had a decade ago’ guy on both the Rainiers and the Mariners.

by marc w on Apr 26, 2010 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Right, Vazquez makes it trickier.

Woodward I don’t know what to do with because he went from us, to the Red Sox, and back again, which just seems… wrong…

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes

but how is is hugging?

by Ballard Erik on Apr 26, 2010 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just third and DH

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

I was having a good day.

Then I started grading philosophy papers. My good day turned into a day. Then I decided to look at some team stats for the year. Mariners’ DH production (from Fangraphs):

OPS: .432 (last in MLB by a lot)
wOBA: .209 (last in MLB by a lot)

Now I’m not sure what type of day I’m having. I feel slightly depressed, but also rather amused.

by ty540 on Apr 26, 2010 12:54 PM PDT reply actions  

Happy to see another prof here

I’m also in the midst of grading papers—never a mood booster, that’s for sure. Still trying to put this week-end’s losses behind me and remain hopeful about the series with KC. Somehow it’s a subdued Felix Day.

by Leanna on Apr 26, 2010 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Subdued Felix Day....

This is an abomination.

Everything is Rob Johnson's fault.

by the other side on Apr 26, 2010 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Felix day!

Today is a good day after all. I shall make my students write thank you notes to King Felix.

(Leanna: I’m still a grad student, but I’m nearing the end.)

by ty540 on Apr 26, 2010 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

OK, mustering my excitement and appropriate reverence for El Rey.

Keep up the hard work! Recently finished myself. God, how I miss Seattle, the M’s and the Safe. Need to start planning a summer trip up North as it will soon be a thousand degrees in AZ.

by Leanna on Apr 26, 2010 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

I understand that, and I know we've underperformed to expectations

I think that we are fortunate to be 9-10, looking at our 26th overall wOBA, 25th overall rotation tRA, and 28th overall bullpen tRA. It’s clearly been a rough start.

by Gihyou on Apr 26, 2010 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

I thought our rotation was excellent except for RRS.

It may have been the homeruns that hurt us.

Everything is Rob Johnson's fault.

by the other side on Apr 26, 2010 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Snell, too, with his close-together face.

I kinda want to see Snell in the pen when Lee gets back. How would his raw stuff play in the pen? Maybe he can crank it up a notch and dominate. He’s been meh as a starter at best and Snell Day usually sucks. Best of all, dominant bullpen Snell adds to tantalizing yet troubled starter Snell’s trade value. Maybe a relief hungry contender (St Louis) will trade for bullpen Snell this year with an eye toward starting him next year. Maybe they’ll give us a ML-ready OF bat that has nowhere to play (Allen Craig). Upgrades for everyone!

by Sukafish on Apr 26, 2010 1:54 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Oh crap

Didn’t fully read that post I replied to. I stand by my stance on Snell, but you are right. Hyphen hasn’t impressed anyone in any start this year. His last start is mostly to blame fir the sudden drop in our starters’ tRA.

by Sukafish on Apr 26, 2010 2:26 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Speaking of Cliff Lee

Steve Kelley (of all people) has a plain old news story covering Lee’s outing in Tacoma.

“Wow,” Arizona Diamondbacks scout Jeff Cirillo said after watching Cliff Lee throw six stainless innings in Sunday afternoon’s rehabilitation assignment with the Class AAA Rainiers."

by msb on Apr 26, 2010 1:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Re: Snell

via Baker

Snell also told me he’s been battling an inner ear issue ever since he fell ill in the days leading up to his most recent start eight days ago. He’s been taking Sudafed for it the past week, as per the team medical staff’s advice, but his ear remains blocked. Hopping on planes hasn’t helped him any. He told me he can barely hear out of the one ear and that it sometimes gets rather painful. I asked him whether this could impact his pitching at all, given the balance issues associated with inner ear problems, and he simply shrugged as if to say he had no idea.

by msb on Apr 26, 2010 2:56 PM PDT reply actions  

I probably should have used quotation marks.

It looks as though I’d been having a little chat with Ian myself.

by msb on Apr 26, 2010 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

This reminds me of Willie Bloomquist's vertigo.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://www.marinersminors.com/

by JY on Apr 26, 2010 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow.

He needs to hit the DL instead of trying to gut through it. We need the roster spot and he’s not doing anybody any favors by putting himself through this. Any chronic pain WILL affect performance and who knows how much that is affecting his sense of balance, focus, direction, etc. DL him and backdate it to his last start. And if he still smells when he returns, send him to the pen.

by Sukafish on Apr 26, 2010 3:26 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Jesus, what the fuck is wrong with Snell's immune system?

Get that man some god damn vitamins.

Milton Bradley apologist

by sanford_and_son on Apr 26, 2010 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just a note on mobiLLe formatting.

The pitch grading stats at the end of these series previews always screws with LL mobile formatting. It seems that a single carriage return after the stats might solve the issue.

Again, not that big of a deal, but if it has a simple fix, it’d be nice going forward for those of us who use mobiLLe frequently.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Apr 26, 2010 3:45 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

There is a carriage return between them.

I’m sympathetic to the plight, but without being able to easily test possible solutions, it’s not something that’s going to fly up to to do list.

by Matthew on Apr 26, 2010 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

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