FanPost

Bill James Mainer projections

The Bill James projections are out on fangraphs already, so that means we know exactly what to expect from the Mariners in 2011.

HITTING

Justin Smoak: .249/.351/.414,19 HR

This would be reasonable but a bit dissapointing, especially given that he projected Jesus Montero to have a .285/.348/.519 with 21 HR.

Dustin Ackley: .239/.325/.358, 3 HR

This would be discouraging as well, but I would'nt expect a good season out of Ackley either, in his rookie year.

Jack Wilson: .261/.305/.355, 4 HR

I really don't want him on our team next season

Chone Figgins: .277/.360/.348, 3 HR

I really like Chone Figgins, and would be happy with a season like this

Michael Saunders: .242/.315/.388, 10 HR

He really can't afford another bad season. I would hope he has a better year for sure.

Franklin Gutierrez: .261/.323/.401, 14 HR

Given he has a better defensive year than last, he can still land a 3-4 WAR with this kind of offensive production, which would be nice.

Ichiro Suzuki: .316/.361/.391, 7 HR

Looks almost the exact same as last year, but we can still expect another 4-5 WAR from him.

Adam Moore: .254/.300/.389, 10 HR

I don't think Adam Moore will turn into much, but a something like this, would raise a little optimism.

Milton Bradley: .257/.366/.429, 10 HR

I doubt he will be the DH next year, but he's the only one that fits with the current roster. I like Milton, and this is would'nt be a bad season.



PITCHING

Felix Hernandez: 3.31 ERA, 3.30 FIP, 8.23 K/9, 2.91 BB/9

Jason Vargas: 4.29 ERA, 4.39 FIP, 6.23 K/9, 3.09 BB/9

Doug Fister: 4.11 ERA, 3.93 FIP, 5.95 K/9, 2.07 BB/9

Michael Pineda: I guess Bill James forgot about him or something, because there are no projections available.

OVERVIEW:

Needless to say, the roster will change between now and the start of the season, but this season will be better than last. These projections look like an awful team, which probably will be true, but the remarkable thing is that every position players wOBA is projected to be higher than last years player at that position.

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