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AOL's top 100 prospects

AOL's Frankie Piliere, whom I've never heard of before and whose last name took a few tries to read and pronounce properly, has posted a top 100 prospects list based "upon [his] years of experience in the industry as a scout and talent evaluator" so take it for what you will.

This list is, as it has to be, subjective and flawed, but someone took the trouble to publish it so why not have a look. One thing I like about such lists is it gives one an idea of organizational strength as opposed to depth. What I mean is, many of the players listed are not close to the majors, and many players who are nearly ready to be about average in the majors are not on the list. Rather, it is a list of players who have star potential and the ranking reflects their likelihood of tapping it.

As such, I do not think that the specific rankings are as important as the overall picture. All these players could be big contributors, and the fact that Mike Stanton is ranked ahead of Desmond Jennings and Jason Heyward should not be held against the latter two. They are all pretty much equally likely to be awesome. So, I decided to give each team a stud prospect score, awarding 10 points for a top 20 prospect, 6 for 21-40, 4 for 41-60, 2 for 61-80 and 1 for the caboose. Numbers!

  1. Rangers    - 33
  2. Rays         - 30
  3. Phillies      - 24
  4. Nats          - 22
  5. Orioles      - 22
  6. Giants       - 22
  7. Braves      - 21
  8. Yankees    - 20
  9. Blue Jays  - 20
  10. Mariners    - 18
  11. Reds         - 16
  12. Mets          - 16
  13. Cubs         - 16
  14. Marlins      - 15
  15. Tigers        - 14
  16. Athletics     - 14
  17. Indians       - 13
  18. Red Sox     - 13
  19. Royals        - 13
  20. Brewers      - 12
  21. Rockies      - 12
  22. Twins          - 12
  23. White Sox   - 9
  24. Angels        - 7
  25. Astors         - 7
  26. D-Backs      - 7
  27. Padres        - 6
  28. Dodgers      - 5
  29. Cardinals    - 4
  30. Pirates        - 4

It should be noted that being traded for Cliff Lee made Tyson Gilles and Phillippe Aumont much better at baseball, as they came in at 50 and 29, respectively. Had they stayed with us they would have given the M's a silly looking 28.

But mostly this looks right to me. Head and shoulders above everyone are the Rays and Rangers (the Rays with only three players in the top 100, all in the top 20; the Rangers with 5, the last of whom is a 19 year old SS). The Phillies' placement is, as I mentioned, on account of Gilles and Aumont being rather high on this list for my taste but every other team in the top ten makes some sense.

I

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Probably should have mentioned it

Mariners on the list are Ackley, Saunders, and Triunfel at 18, 30, and 73.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 26, 2010 9:55 PM PST reply actions  

They all are in some respects

though some are moreso than others. For what its worth, Chapman has seen some high level competition and his stuff does make him a very good prospect. I wasn’t surprised by his placement.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 9:07 AM PST up reply actions  

If Gillies wasn't in the Halladay trade...

Fanhouse would have never heard of him, nor put him in their top 100.

by dkulich on Jan 27, 2010 8:22 AM PST reply actions  

A lot of people have him in the Phillies top ten

he did have a great year after all. But I agree.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

And 70% of the people on John Sickels' site had Gillies in the top three.

I’m probably exaggerating, but people have some weird evaluations.

This is kind of a weird list for me. It’s decent for a few specific purposes, but it seems like it would overrank systems that were top-heavy. Part of me would cite this just for the sake of going “well this is what these other people think”, but as I’ve spent more time staring at these lists I’ve started to think that so much of these rankings are nothing more than noise.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://mvn.com/marinersminors/

by JY on Jan 27, 2010 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Most of the discussion recently has been about trading Lopez

we’ve been discussing trading Lopez since forever. Idle hands…

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 9:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Apparently it was all Brett Wallace

They did just promote basically all their pitching prospects though

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 9:49 AM PST up reply actions  

Carter Taylor and Greene all made the list

Ynoa.. has he pitched at all in the states? Didn’t you just have a problem with Chapman’s ranking because he hasn’t played in the US?

Ynoa.. has he pitched at all in the states? Didn’t you just have a problem with Chapman’s ranking because he hasn’t played in the US?Anyway, don’t shoot the messenger.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 10:11 AM PST up reply actions  

Hm.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jan 27, 2010 11:03 AM PST up reply actions  

Ynoa has at least pitched a bit in instructs/extended.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://mvn.com/marinersminors/

by JY on Jan 27, 2010 11:16 AM PST up reply actions  

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