Lookout Landing: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Interview With UMD Athletic Director, Dr. Debbie Yow

Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ LAnaheim Angels

Seattle: 72-66
LAnaheim: 81-55

SUMMARY

MARINERS ANGELS
EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-85.8
65.6 LAA
FIELDING (UZR)
65.7
-0.6 SEA
ROTATION (pRAA)
-27.2
0.3 LAA
BULLPEN (pRAA)
-25.0 -4.5 LAA
OVERALL(RAA)
-72.3 60.8 LAnaheim







Never having written one of these before, holy crap, this team really isn't good. Hooray defense and all that (fun fact: we're second-worst in errors and by far the best in range), but defense is the least important of the three big skills, and we've been lousy at the other two. Also, hey, the gap between these two teams has widened by 15.8 runs since we played the Angels last week, and by 87.4 runs since we played them at the end of May. Though the Angels have overachieved, we have, too, and for the ten thousandth year in a row, the fact of the matter is that they're quite a bit better than us.

These aren't your grandpappy's Angels, either. Games featuring the Angels have averaged the highest number of total runs scored in baseball (10.50), narrowly edging out the Yankees (10.47). There are still elements of classic Angels baseball in there, of course - stolen bases, infield hits, balls in play, and so on - but where losses to them used to be met with frustration, now they're met with profound understanding. "Oh right they bludgeon now." It seems the Mariners are the new team that when you lose to them you don't get how it happened. I'm glad we've become a worse version of my least favorite team ever.

How the hell are we winning this season series?

GAMES

Game 1: Felix Hernandez vs. Scott Kazmir *
Game 2: Ian Snell vs. Jered Weaver
Game 3: Ryan Rowland-Smith vs. John Lackey

Well this is an intimidating trio to face. Kazmir wouldn't be much but for the fact that he, like so many other pitchers, recently whupped our ass. There are ways to recommend that a normal baseball team beat a pitcher, and there are ways to recommend that the Mariners beat a pitcher. For normal teams, you beat Kazmir by forcing him to come into the zone. For the Mariners, you beat Kazmir by hoping Felix throws a shutout. I imagine we'll run out a lineup with a ton of righties tonight, but the last time we did that against Kazmir we got three hits.

We used to call Jered Weaver overrated. He was. He's not an ace. But he's been pretty much exactly the same pitcher he was a year ago, and a year ago he was a good pitcher who threw strikes and missed bats while surviving an extraordinary fly ball rate. He can be exposed against lefties, but his changeup is good enough that it's not a huge concern. Snell's going to have to be on the top of his game, or more realistically he'll have to be on the top of someone better's game.

John Lackey is going to be really rich soon. Remember when he was struggling? I think he got mad.

The Angels are five games better than Texas and have something like an 85-90% chance of taking the division. If we are to do anything about that, we have to start now.

1 recs  |  Comment 42 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

FOOTBALL!

I will smash your face into a jelly.

by Phildopip on Sep 8, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gods I hate football.

Good thing the F1 season’s really been picking up in recent weeks.

I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.

by Llewdor on Sep 8, 2009 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I haven't watched a Mariners game in a week.

Felix Day will change things, though.

by katal on Sep 8, 2009 2:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't get how Felix is more interesting than Ichiro getting hit #2000

Felix isn’t even going to get to win #100 with this team

by Graham on Sep 8, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I tuned into Sunday's game to watch Ichiro's 2000th hit.

Fifteen minutes later I was doing something else. I can’t help it if he’s efficient.

by katal on Sep 8, 2009 3:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Felix is more interesting. HERE'S SOME NERD FACTS FOR YOUR FACE!

Felix: 5.55 HR per 100 PA
Ichiro: 1.25 HR per 100 PA

CASE CLOSED.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 4:12 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I wish I was as confident.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 3:13 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I'm starting to grow moss on my north face.

It’s as close to a beard as I’ll come.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 4:27 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Heretic!

#34 Forever
Plugging the upside since 2006.
Never give up, never surrender!

by TheOptimist on Sep 8, 2009 6:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

RRS!

A Mariners fan in Seattle

by Coach Owens on Sep 8, 2009 2:59 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wait I forgot this series was this week

does anyone want to go to the game tomorrow or Thursday? I need to wear my Lopez jersey

by seattlebruin on Sep 8, 2009 3:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Did anyone see footage of Rob Johnson wearing the new helmets???

http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=4455578

So funny. He looks like a kid on my 12 year old team who was younger and smaller than everyone because his parents wanted him to play on his older brothers team.

by NoStars on Sep 8, 2009 3:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

"holy crap, this team really isn't good."

I always find myself getting depressed about our RAA numbers in these previews. Then I remember that we were basically -200 RAA last year, and I feel a whole lot better.

by Manzanillos Cup on Sep 8, 2009 3:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Game 1: Droopy vs. Happy

Game 2: Turtle vs. Hare

Game3: Beauty vs. Beast

Hey la, hey, Halo...

by 44FAN on Sep 8, 2009 4:18 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Is a UZR of 0 league average?

http://inplaynoouts.blogspot.com/ - A blog about teams I like, written by me.
#34

by Carl Johnson on Sep 8, 2009 4:39 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

By reading a game thread of your own volition you agree to accept all liability for any and all damage done to your delicate sensibilities.
Start posting about the Mariners »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Sth70021_small
The Luckiest Pitchers of 2009
Small
A different way of looking at the offseason - Impact on Playoff Hopes
Small
My Favorite Player: Rob Johnson
Clement_small
The Effect of Chemistry in MLB and the Yuniesky Betancourt Exception
Small
On the Shoulders of Giants: A Compilation

Recent FanPosts

Small
Cliff Lee to have surgery on left foot
Clemente_small
OT cooking thoughts, and oh yeah, there's that football game, Feb 7
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
Small
A Case For Felipe Lopez
Small
First Thursday in February (and Superbowl!) OT
12839274_l_small
Optimism thread... Give your thoughts about what you predict in '10
Small
Bargain Bin Rumor/Transaction Thread

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Sexy People

Hms_surprise_small Graham

Small Matthew

Wbc_029_small Jeff Sullivan