Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ LAnaheim Angels
Seattle: 72-66
LAnaheim: 81-55
SUMMARY
| MARINERS | ANGELS |
EDGE | |
| HITTING (wOBA) |
-85.8 |
65.6 | LAA |
| FIELDING (UZR) |
65.7 |
-0.6 | SEA |
| ROTATION (pRAA) |
-27.2 |
0.3 | LAA |
| BULLPEN (pRAA) |
-25.0 | -4.5 | LAA |
| OVERALL(RAA) |
-72.3 | 60.8 | LAnaheim |
Never having written one of these before, holy crap, this team really isn't good. Hooray defense and all that (fun fact: we're second-worst in errors and by far the best in range), but defense is the least important of the three big skills, and we've been lousy at the other two. Also, hey, the gap between these two teams has widened by 15.8 runs since we played the Angels last week, and by 87.4 runs since we played them at the end of May. Though the Angels have overachieved, we have, too, and for the ten thousandth year in a row, the fact of the matter is that they're quite a bit better than us.
These aren't your grandpappy's Angels, either. Games featuring the Angels have averaged the highest number of total runs scored in baseball (10.50), narrowly edging out the Yankees (10.47). There are still elements of classic Angels baseball in there, of course - stolen bases, infield hits, balls in play, and so on - but where losses to them used to be met with frustration, now they're met with profound understanding. "Oh right they bludgeon now." It seems the Mariners are the new team that when you lose to them you don't get how it happened. I'm glad we've become a worse version of my least favorite team ever.
How the hell are we winning this season series?
GAMES
Game 1: Felix Hernandez vs. Scott Kazmir *
Game 2: Ian Snell vs. Jered Weaver
Game 3: Ryan Rowland-Smith vs. John Lackey
Well this is an intimidating trio to face. Kazmir wouldn't be much but for the fact that he, like so many other pitchers, recently whupped our ass. There are ways to recommend that a normal baseball team beat a pitcher, and there are ways to recommend that the Mariners beat a pitcher. For normal teams, you beat Kazmir by forcing him to come into the zone. For the Mariners, you beat Kazmir by hoping Felix throws a shutout. I imagine we'll run out a lineup with a ton of righties tonight, but the last time we did that against Kazmir we got three hits.
We used to call Jered Weaver overrated. He was. He's not an ace. But he's been pretty much exactly the same pitcher he was a year ago, and a year ago he was a good pitcher who threw strikes and missed bats while surviving an extraordinary fly ball rate. He can be exposed against lefties, but his changeup is good enough that it's not a huge concern. Snell's going to have to be on the top of his game, or more realistically he'll have to be on the top of someone better's game.
John Lackey is going to be really rich soon. Remember when he was struggling? I think he got mad.
The Angels are five games better than Texas and have something like an 85-90% chance of taking the division. If we are to do anything about that, we have to start now.
1 recs |
42 comments
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Comments
For some reason I've been bored of M's games lately...
You got slurved!
by Slurvey on Sep 8, 2009 1:36 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
FOOTBALL!
I will smash your face into a jelly.
by Phildopip on Sep 8, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gods I hate football.
Good thing the F1 season’s really been picking up in recent weeks.
I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.
by Llewdor on Sep 8, 2009 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I haven't watched a Mariners game in a week.
Felix Day will change things, though.
by katal on Sep 8, 2009 2:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't get how Felix is more interesting than Ichiro getting hit #2000
Felix isn’t even going to get to win #100 with this team
by Graham on Sep 8, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If he gets hurt tonight, and traded to Boston in the summer, this might be the last game he ever pitches for us.
Enjoy!
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Sep 8, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're stealing my act.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 3:16 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
I tuned into Sunday's game to watch Ichiro's 2000th hit.
Fifteen minutes later I was doing something else. I can’t help it if he’s efficient.
by katal on Sep 8, 2009 3:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Felix is more interesting. HERE'S SOME NERD FACTS FOR YOUR FACE!
Felix: 5.55 HR per 100 PA
Ichiro: 1.25 HR per 100 PA
CASE CLOSED.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 4:12 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
NERD FACTS MATCH BETTER WITH your FACE
OH SNAP
by Graham on Sep 8, 2009 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wish I was as confident.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 3:13 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
That's what you get from living in Seattle.
Hey la, hey, Halo...
by 44FAN on Sep 8, 2009 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm starting to grow moss on my north face.
It’s as close to a beard as I’ll come.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 4:27 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
I prefer to remain cautiously pessimistic.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 4:27 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Heretic!
#34 Forever
Plugging the upside since 2006.
Never give up, never surrender!
by TheOptimist on Sep 8, 2009 6:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My grandpappy's Angels were the California Angels and he liked 'em that way
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Sep 8, 2009 2:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Wrong author and that feature's been gone for some time now.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Sep 8, 2009 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beer is usually gross but I recommend Miller Lite or Mike's Hard Cranberry
by Poochie on Sep 8, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mike's is OK but I'm becoming a Joose guy myself
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Sep 8, 2009 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's nice that I can finally expect the three-run homer from my team.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Sep 8, 2009 3:14 PM PDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Wait I forgot this series was this week
does anyone want to go to the game tomorrow or Thursday? I need to wear my Lopez jersey
by seattlebruin on Sep 8, 2009 3:26 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Did anyone see footage of Rob Johnson wearing the new helmets???
http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=4455578
So funny. He looks like a kid on my 12 year old team who was younger and smaller than everyone because his parents wanted him to play on his older brothers team.
by NoStars on Sep 8, 2009 3:29 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
When Jack Wilson says something looks terrible......
Mike Scioscia is fat.
by Big Jared on Sep 8, 2009 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No wonder David Wright stopped wearing his.
You got slurved!
by Slurvey on Sep 8, 2009 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It was awesome though when he did.
You got slurved!
by Slurvey on Sep 8, 2009 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"holy crap, this team really isn't good."
I always find myself getting depressed about our RAA numbers in these previews. Then I remember that we were basically -200 RAA last year, and I feel a whole lot better.
by Manzanillos Cup on Sep 8, 2009 3:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Game 1: Droopy vs. Happy
Game 2: Turtle vs. Hare
Game3: Beauty vs. Beast
Hey la, hey, Halo...
by 44FAN on Sep 8, 2009 4:18 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Is a UZR of 0 league average?
http://inplaynoouts.blogspot.com/ - A blog about teams I like, written by me.
#34
by Carl Johnson on Sep 8, 2009 4:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
About damn time I got some content
by Robert on Sep 8, 2009 4:44 PM PDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs

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