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Around SBN: Knicks Beat Lakers With Familiar Strategy

Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals

Seattle: 54-51
Kansas City: 41-64

SUMMARY

MARINERS ROYALS
EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-67.0 (28th)
-81.3 (30th) SEA
FIELDING (UZR)
44.4 (2nd)
-29.1 (29th) SEA
ROTATION (pRAA)
-16.7 (21st)
34.3 (9th) KCA
BULLPEN (pRAA)
-23.3 (28th) -4.9 (18th) KCA
OVERALL(RAA)
-62.2 -81.0 Seattle







The defense went up nearly 10 runs in a week. Thankfully that happened or man would our week have looked just terrible. The rotation got blown up and the offense and pen both also lost significant performance value.

Yuniesky Betancourt, since joining the Royals: .140/.158/.228, -8.3 bRAA, -1.1 UZR (-10.3 UZR/150), -0.7 WAR.

In 17 games.

Meanwhile, Willie Bloomquist, -0.1 WAR, Tug Hulett, -0.4 WAR and Jose Guillen, -1.7 WAR.

GAMES

Game 1: Ryan Rowland-Smith* vs. Luke Hochevar
Game 2: Lucas French* vs. Kyle Davies
Game 3: Jason Vargas* vs. Bruce Chen*

Luke Hochevar (5.06 tRA) is the best starter we face this week. He has been a bit of a ground ball pitcher and has shown above average command and a good ability to miss bats. He has yet to turn the missed bats into an above average strike out rate, but once he does that, he should solidify himself as a solid upper mid-rotation starter. With Zack Greinke, Gil Meche and Brian Bannister, the Royals could field four legit quality pitchers in the rotation.

Kyle Davies (6.77 tRA) has huge issues with his control in the Majors, but has shown some improvement while in Triple-A. He has always managed to get hitters to chase just enough to hold onto a roughly Quad-A level of performance. As with Hochevar, Davies' tRA is inflated thanks to a big home run rate.

Bruce Chen (6.59 tRA) exhibits an average pitch profile, but his batted ball profile is heavily skewed away from keeping any balls on the ground. As such, he yields a lot of line drives and many of those non-ground balls land on the other side of the pesky wall that some moron erected in the outfield.

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I am thinking a sweep!

Grass Creek will be ours.

2009 Safeco Field Record: 5-0 ; Overall Safeco Field Record: 9-4

by Fin on Aug 4, 2009 2:11 PM PDT reply actions  

there are doors in most of them

but annoyingly there are usually only doorknobs on the outside. Doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to me.

Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.

by pdb on Aug 4, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Woodward DFA'd and Hannahan stays.

According to Baker (to make room for Beltre).

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on Aug 4, 2009 2:15 PM PDT reply actions  

Ballsy move, but I like it.

Hopefully Hanners can play 2B/SS well enough if he has to.

by appleshampoo on Aug 4, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

As Baker said, this also gives us good insurance if Beltre has a small setback or anything.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on Aug 4, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

With Hannahan having options left, it surprised me a bit too.

Guess that tells you what they think of Woodward.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on Aug 4, 2009 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

I am sure they think the same of what we all think.

2009 Safeco Field Record: 5-0 ; Overall Safeco Field Record: 9-4

by Fin on Aug 4, 2009 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

So without Greinke

and with an average starter in his place, it looks like their rotation would drop about ten spots and be about as good as ours. He’s still like 10 pRAA ahead of Lincecum, and already is getting pretty close to being worth as much as last years pRAA leader with like 12 starts left. Insane.

by Manzanillos Cup on Aug 4, 2009 2:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Speaking of which...

…it’s weird to think that the Mariners got such a good/lucky 2/3 year out of Washburn to fill out a nice top 3 starters of a rotation, but have ended up in the bottom 10 of the majors in starting pitching. Is there any word on whether Bedard will pitch again this year?

by GhettoBear04 on Aug 4, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Last I heard he had played a "vigorous" game of catch, and then they were going to re-evaluate him.

I think he’ll pitch again this year. They’ve yet to find any structural damage to his shoulder.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on Aug 4, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not holding my breath or anything,

but I’ve yet to hear anything from the M’s saying it’s season-ending. Actually GMZ was mentioning getting him back this year in a radio interview yesterday.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on Aug 4, 2009 4:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm still waiting for the traditional Battle for Grass Creek trash talk.

Should be a good one with the “addition” of Yuni to the KC roster.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Aug 4, 2009 2:27 PM PDT reply actions  

On a side note: Washburn pitches for Detroit today.

For those needing an hour to burn before this epic showdown with the Royals.

by ThundaPC on Aug 4, 2009 2:30 PM PDT reply actions  

FB post says Corco refused assignment to the minors and is now a free agent.

Forfeiting the rest of his contract seems kind of odd given the season he put together, I don’t quite follow that decision. There might be a reason I don’t understand.

by Kermit. on Aug 4, 2009 2:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Our season may be long dead

But don’t think we’ve forgot about Grass Creek.

Phase 1: Assemble expensive, below average players
Phase 2: ?
Phase 3: CHAMPIONSHIP!
-RoyalsRetro

by ratherfantastic on Aug 4, 2009 2:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Willie just needs to play every day!

.265/.309/.364 with mediocre defense.

Fuck you, Willie.

by Jeff Sullivan on Aug 4, 2009 3:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Oh YAY!

Willie & Rizzsy on the pregame!!!!

by msb on Aug 4, 2009 4:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES

I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.

by EnglishMariner on Aug 4, 2009 4:25 PM PDT reply actions  

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