Series Preview: Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners
Seattle: 42-39
Baltimore: 36-46
SUMMARY
| MARINERS | ORIOLES |
EDGE | |
| HITTING (wOBA) |
-48.2 (28th) |
-4.4 (19th) | BAL |
| FIELDING (UZR) |
26.8 (4th) |
-20.6 (22nd) | SEA |
| ROTATION (pRAA) |
3.8 (13th) | -8.4 (19th) | SEA |
| BULLPEN (pRAA) |
-15.1 (28th) | -8.6 (22nd) | BAL |
| OVERALL(RAA) |
-32.7 | -42.0 | Seattle |
We won the series against Boston but did not exactly do it in convincing fashion. Yeah, those wins count and just not getting destroyed is a positive, but the 5-4 road trip is also not as promising sign as some would like to make it and furthermore, it is over. The Mariners close out the first half with seven games at home, three here and then four with Texas in town. We are 4-2 against Baltimore so far this season but 0-5 against Texas, a team we play 14 more games against and a team we are behind but should not be.
Notably, I am concerned about the starting rotation trending toward average. We need them to start heading back toward a top ten unit. Getting Bedard back and healthy would go a long way toward that goal.
GAMES
Game 1: Jarrod Washburn* vs. Brad Bergesen
Game 2: Erik Bedard*! vs. Jeremy Guthrie
Game 3: Jason Vargas* vs. David Hernandez
Boy, I sure hope the Orioles are not a team that destroys left-handers or anything. I am off to check Baseball-Reference to find out. Hold on... Almost there... Hmm... Huff, Scott and Markakis are all left-handed. Wait, I feel like I looked at this last time we played Baltimore at home. Oh hey, we actually threw these exact three pitchers against them! Well at least we do not have to see Rich Hill this time. God, that sucked.
On the other hand, we get to face Bergesen for the third time! Over his last two starts he has totaled 15 innings, nine strikeouts, three walks, one home run and 32 ground balls against just 13 fly balls and six line drives. He also missed 20 bats in 202 pitches. Eep.
Jose Lopez hit two home runs against Jeremy Guthrie during his start on the 10th of June. That would be pleasing to see again, but really we are watching for Erik Bedard in this one.
David Hernandez is a 24-year-old right hander who has worked his way up a level each year. Running great strikeout rates coupled with walk rates ranging from solid to fabulous in the minors, Hernandez has struggled with batted balls so far in the Majors. We demolished him back in June on the strength of fly balls and line drives turning into hits.
Matt Wieters is up to a .770 OPS. Adam Jones is an All-Star. Let us just get that out of the way now.
THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:
Independence Hop Ale
Rogue Ales. Newport, OR
An APA, always refreshing in these warm summer months and with a nice tie-in name. This brew came with an astringent and juniper hoppy nose but a refreshing malty and hop taste
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Comments
This could be the new NEW Colorado series!
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 11:29 AM PDT up reply actions
If you by hilarious you mean soul crushing, I am with you.
I am no longer in Spokane, but I think I'll keep the name anyway.
Or if you do not have one.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Jul 6, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Bedard could be decent as the lefty in the bullpen!
by Poochie on Jul 6, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Wasn't drafted high enough
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions
If Bedard says healthy and we can't manage to trade Washburn, would moving Jaku into the rotation and Vargas to the Loogy role (and Olson to slop) be the best move?
Jaku’s tRA as a starter (4.58) is better than Vargas’ (5.82), and they’re tRA*s are pretty much the same (a touch under league average). I think Vargas could be an outstanding LH reliever, judging by his solid minor league strikeout rates and his relief work in May.
His first start
4IP, 1K, 0BB, 1HR, 1RA, 0LD, 10%SwStr rate.
Sorry, 1LD, 8% SwStr rate
the 0 and 10% were from his 2nd start.
True
But if you are owning someone who as never trying in the first place, you just wasted the last 20 minutes of your life on a snipe hunt.
Superman.

This signature space for rent.
by PositivePaul on Jul 6, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Wormer.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jul 6, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Not really because I have tRA game logs bookmarked
so it takes me about 15 seconds to look this stuff up.
So it would appear that my bullpen regression fears both manifested and did not manifest over the road trip
Yes... or they manifested consistently
but some had pitched worse than their peripherals would suggest, and others better. So we got that bizarre flash of 2008 Corcoran, but sadly a flash of 2008 Mark Lowe as well.
2008 Mark Lowe was better than 2009 Mark Lowe
:(
by Jeff Sullivan on Jul 6, 2009 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Please would you ask where Mark Lowe's changeup has gone at the LL meetup in August, because I miss it. :(
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions
So, can someone give Scrappy a spare labrum to chew on for the next few months?
I was thinking Carlos Silva isn’t using his.
by eponymous_coward on Jul 6, 2009 12:39 PM PDT reply actions
Bedard is made of glass.
And not the cool glass that old cathedrals have but the crappy glass Yugos used for windshields.
People who live in glass bodies shouldn't throw baseballs.
by PDXTai on Jul 6, 2009 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions 6 recs
With Bedard the glass is neither full nor empty: it is broken.
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Haha... that was pefect.
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
Don't care too much about what happens in this series.
But I want a four game Texas sweep. In fact, if they forfeited every O’s game to rest up and gather strength for the Rangers, I’’d be OK with that. Provided they sweep.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Jul 6, 2009 1:56 PM PDT reply actions
I'd be cool with losing every game for the rest of the season to rest up and gather strength for the World Series.
Provided that the Mariners sweep it.
by abender20 on Jul 6, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Let's face it we're not going better than 4-3 to close out the half.
I’d rather the 4 come at the expense of the Rangers and their lobsterback uniforms.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Jul 6, 2009 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions
Fishogynist?
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jul 6, 2009 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions
We might get to see Kam Mickolio this series.
Guy’s been called up, replacing Chris Ray.
At least Tony Butler probably won't be good. Hah!
by Fuckmikereilly on Jul 6, 2009 3:50 PM PDT up reply actions
It would be nice, just this one time, if one of our discarded ex-pitchers did not come back and dominate us.
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions
We threw our GS52, Soriano and Putz back to back to back in that game.
Fuuuuuuuuuck.
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jul 6, 2009 4:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Felix Hernandez is the youngest player on either All-Star team
No matter how many times I hear how young he is, it still surprises me.
Okay so that article lied.
Youngest on the AL team?
by Fuckmikereilly on Jul 6, 2009 5:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Lineups
ORIOLES
Brian Roberts 2B
Adam Jones CF
Nick Markakis RF
Aubrey Huff DH
Ty Wiggonton 1B
Nolan Reimold LF
Melvin Mora 3B
Matt Wieters C
Robert Andino SS
Brad Bergesen RHP
MARINERS
Ichiro RF
Russ Branyan 1B
Jose Lopez 2B
Ken Griffey Jr. DH
Franklin Gutierrez CF
Ryan Langerhans LF
Rob Johnson C
Chris Woodward 3B
Ronny Cedeno SS
Jarrod Washburn LHP
Too easy
RF Ryan Ludwick showed up with an unsightly splotch near his right eye and assorted other blotches Sunday. “I wish I had a good story for it,” he said. “But it’s terrible. I just woke up in the middle of the night to (go to the bathroom). The room was dark and I tripped over my suitcase and I got rug burn here, rug burn here and rug burn here,” he said, pointing to his face, arm and body.
I was hoping Griffey would convince him to do it this time around
Fuck you Griffey tickle him some more
Ichiro is a bum.
I fucking hate you Mariners

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