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Steve Phillips Challenge: The halfway point


Before the season, nine intrepid LL'ers went on a mission to call the records of all 30 teams in MLB. The picks can be found in this post. I have put all the predictions into a spreadsheet, converted them to win percentages, and compared them to the standings at the all-star break.

Functionally, what I did was take a predicted win percentage, and multiply it by the number of games that the team in question has played, rounding down all games (So by your percentage, Cleveland won 46.9 games? I'm only counting it as 46). I then took the absolute value of the difference between each commenter's predicted wins and the actual wins at the break. For example, I predicted the Dodgers would only have 46 wins at the break. Instead, they have 56, giving me a score of 10 for that team. I added those scores together for all teams; low score wins.

The Standings:

Benne (116 off)
Two Rs And Two Ls (123 off)
sironz (124 off)
vivaelpujols (126 off)
cwel87 (128 off)
Jack Moore (129 off)
JI / Poochie (129 off)
hcoguy (132 off)
Trenchtown (135 off)

As a group, we were shitty at picking Cleveland (an average of 12 off), but good at picking all the teams in the AL East (no team an average of more than 3 off), and great at picking Minnesota, the White Sox, Milwaukee, Cincinnati, and Houston (all an average of just 1 off).

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