Mark Lowe Is A Lucky Sumbitch
One inning, one unearned run, one loss. Tough break for the reliever, huh?
Hardly. Allow me to summarize Lowe's night tonight:
- Falls behind Mauer 3-0, allows 3-2 deep line drive
- Intentionally walks Morneau
- Falls behind Kubel 2-0, allows 2-1 three-run homer that Gutierrez brings back from over the wall
- Throws a pitchout, allowing Rob Johnson to nab a stranded Mauer off third base on a failed suicide squeeze
- Allows 3-2 slicing line drive to left by Tolbert
- Gets Harris to fly out
Excluding the intentional walk and the pitchout, Lowe threw 17 pitches tonight and located exactly five of them inside the Gameday strike zone. In addition, he allowed a pair of line drives and a should-be home run to straightaway center while missing zero bats and getting an out recorded by his catcher.
There were a lot of people partially at fault for the outcome of the game. Wladimir Balentien misplayed both of the tenth inning line drives. Mike Sweeney flew out with the bases loaded. Adrian Beltre had an ugly strikeout with a man on third. The offense as a whole only managed four hits. But while Lowe shouldn't shoulder all of the blame for this one loss, in the bigger picture tonight served to make apparent something that's sort of been flying under the radar so far, and that's that Lowe isn't pitching anywhere close to his potential. His tRA before the night stood at 5.67, his strike rate is below average, and somehow a guy with a dynamite change, a biting slider, and a fastball that just hit 100 is missing fewer bats than Jeff Weaver. I don't know if it's fair to call Mark Lowe a problem, but right now he's pitching like it. There's just no excuse for a guy with his arsenal to look this ordinary.
On Wlad, by the way - yeah, that was really ugly, but let's not overreact. Adam Jones dropped a bunch of balls when he was still new, too. It's perfectly fair to not want to see Wlad again for a long long time, but don't hold that opinion because he misplayed one liner and had another bounce off his glove; hold that opinion because he blows. I'm glad his discipline has taken a step forward, but he's still below average in walks, strikeouts, and defense, and to date his light tower power has generated all of one home run. He really does need to be somewhere else.
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The weird part is his velocity has been fantastic
It seems like he’s always hitting 97 or 98, but somehow not blowing people away even when he’s throwing them in the strike zone.
PITCHf/x gave him a legit 100mph today
His fastball must just be easy to read.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 6, 2009 1:49 AM PDT up reply actions
You would be shocked how easy a perfectly straight pitch is to hit, even at 98mph.
Or you wouldn’t…cause you guys are pros.
by JamMasterJesus on Jun 6, 2009 2:04 AM PDT up reply actions
He's also showing the ball to early so they get a better read as well also the way he releases the ball robs a lot of sink away from his FB.(He dips his knee way to much)
When he first came up he was throwing around 96 but he had sink to it now he’s throwing 98 but it’s pretty straight.
You got slurved!
Free Tommy Hanson! Free Jeff Clement! Free Michael Saunders!
Never thought of it like that.
That makes me 12% more depressed that he’s going to continue to see playing time.
I had really high hopes for Lowe.
i don’t know whether it’s an issue of deception, location, or just being pitching stupid (thanks, Gil). But there is no reason Jakubauskas should be running a better tRA than Lowe. For shame, Mark, for shame.
"Even the stupidest of men, by some instinct of nature, is convinced on his own that with more observations his risk of failure is diminished."
-Jacques Bernoulli Ars conjectandi 1713
by Bearskin Rugburn on Jun 6, 2009 12:07 PM PDT reply actions
HIs LD% is almost 30!
Would that mean he’s also unlucky or he’s that hittable?
You got slurved!
Free Tommy Hanson! Free Jeff Clement! Free Michael Saunders!
Both
The LD% is a total fluke but he is far more hittable than he ought to be. He’s lost a quarter of his swinging strike rate from 2008.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 6, 2009 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions
I don't know if he actually does, but Sims and Blowers have made a point of mentioning it in a lot of his appearances.
Apparently he’s much quicker to the plate now and has less leg kick or something. So they say.

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