Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
Seattle: 39-36
New York: 43-32
SUMMARY
| MARINERS | YANKEES | EDGE | |
| HITTING (wOBA) |
-45.9 (29th) |
61.0 (2nd) | NYA |
| FIELDING (UZR) |
22.6 (5th) |
-17.6 (18th) |
SEA |
| ROTATION (pRAA) |
8.2 (12th) | -15.3 (24th) |
SEA |
| BULLPEN (pRAA) |
-13.6 (25th) | -11.1 (24th) |
NYA |
| OVERALL(RAA) |
-28.7 | 17.0 |
New York |
Another stellar week for the defense, rising four more runs. Expect the trend to start reversing with Beltre removed from third base, where he had racked up an outstanding 8.7 UZR to date. His loss on defense will be felt greatly. Even with his horrid start to the season, his loss on offense is likely to be felt if the team goes with this retarded idea of Jose Lopez and/or Chris Woodward. God that is dumb.
Offense. eeeeeeep. Granted, the Yankees offense will likely diminish in perceived potency once we are able to gather enough of a sample size to properly determine the park factors on New Yankee Stadium, factors that are almost assuredly friendly to the hitters, and retroactively apply them. That does not do much to us now though.
We won a series on the road against the best team in baseball and our overall numbers shifted upward by 1.2 runs, most of that part of the week-long defensive update. Such is the result of being blown out in your one loss.
GAMES
Game 1: Brandon Morrow vs. Joba Chamberlain
Game 2: Jarrod Washburn* vs. Andy Pettitte*
Game 3: Jason Vargas* vs. CC Sabathia*
With a roughly equal number of pitches between 2008 and 2009 in the rotation, we have a decent comparison for Joba Chamberlain. The comparison is not pretty. His swinging strike rate has fallen from 10.7% to 7.9% and his ball percentage has risen from 36.3% to 41.2%. To counter that, his ground ball rate has risen a tad and the line drive rate has dropped, though the latter is certainly far more volatile.
Andy Pettitte's last three tRA+s: 107, 107 and 108. This year, it is down to 88 as his swinging strike rate has fallen a point and his ball% has risen a couple ticks. Correspondingly, the strikeouts are down and the walks are up, much like with Joba above. Unlike Joba, Pettitte's ground ball rate has actually fallen.
CC Sabathia posted tRAs of 2.96 and 2.95 the past two seasons. This year, it is up to 4.18. Notice a pattern going on here? Guess what has happened to his missed bat and ball rates? A supressed BABIP is helping to mark Sabathia's decline to the general public. Not a great sign for the first year of a seven-year, $161-million contract. Perhaps 500 innings pitched over the past two years are taking their toll? It really would not surprise me to see Sabathia miss a full year's worth of starts over the life of his Yankee contract.
THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:
Moonglow Weizenbock
Victory Brewing Company. Downington, PA
Think hefe's are a touch too light and bocks a touch too dark? Well then, combine them! This amber-colored beer comes packed with lots of head and lacing. The aroma is wheaty and perhaps honey with a faint raspberry fruit kick. On the taste, the malts come through and you get a slightly sugary note to match and complement the aroma rather than the thin and slightly acidic taste you normally get from fruity smelling beers.
Side note, many people here are fans of the Prima Pils. However, there's word that Victory's newest pils, Sapphire, is supposed to be even better. Keep an eye or an ear out for it.
0 recs |
95 comments
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Comments
Mmmm
Eyes and ears are out. Can’t wait to try Sapphire!
IF I WAS MANAGER I'D HAVE A FIST FIGHT WITH YUNI RIGHT NOW AND KNOCK HIS FUCKING MONKEY HEAD CLEAN OFF (~EM)
by seattlecougar on Jun 30, 2009 12:14 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This pitching report is getting my hopes up.
And I don’t like it. I have to fight this feeling.
I actually bought a Betancourt t-shirt.
by Hopefulmsfan on Jun 30, 2009 12:19 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
♫ 'Cause I cant fight this feeling anymore ♫
Ive forgotten what I started fighting for
And if I have to crawl upon the floor
Come crashing through your door
Baby, I cant fight this feeling anymore
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Jun 30, 2009 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's time to bring this ship into the shore
And throw away the oars foooooooooooooooorever
Ronny, TAKE
by NOLAmarinergirl on Jun 30, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am quite confident about this series for some strange reason.
Washburn dominated the Yanks in my first ever game back in 2007, and I seem to remember him having some success in other games against their lefty-heavy lineup. Morrow’s pitch count issues should have improved as well, and lets hope he has as nice a game against them as he did last year. No nasty men named Wilson around this time to punch him in the balls…
I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.
by EnglishMariner on Jun 30, 2009 12:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No banana smells in the weizenbock?
Ronny, TAKE
by NOLAmarinergirl on Jun 30, 2009 12:26 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I had a wine last night that had a very definite bacon aftertaste
and it was beautiful.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I cannot stand the smell of banana nor the taste of bubblegum
Therefore, hefes are not a good beer for me.
Ronny, TAKE
by NOLAmarinergirl on Jun 30, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I've never been a giant fan of hefes either
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Might as well just have a Schlenkerla
by acblue on Jun 30, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Annoyingly I'm not a fan of smoky beers either
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's a brewery in Friday Harbor that makes a bacon beer
It is quite tasty.
I never really liked the old tagline.
CougCenter
by Dancing Football on Jun 30, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would be interested in trying this
as much as I generally dislike flavored beers I love bacon so I’d give it a shot.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sad thing is
You have to go to Friday Harbor to buy it. I wanted to take some home, but their brewer was on vacation so they did not have any bottles made up. They don’t sell any of their beer in stores.
I never really liked the old tagline.
CougCenter
by Dancing Football on Jun 30, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's the brewery?
I have family up ‘round those parts, it’s not unheard of for me to be up that way.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
San Juan Brewing Company
I never really liked the old tagline.
CougCenter
by Dancing Football on Jun 30, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duly noted. Cheers.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember reading pre-season rankings of free agent signings
and they ranked Branyan in the ten worst, citing SafeCo’s homerun suppressing nature(for lefties?), and CC in the top ten best. Their best reason for supporting the Sabathia signing was something like “NYY can afford it”.
by kentcheesehead on Jun 30, 2009 12:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It's certainly true that a 7/161 deal for Sabathia is less worse for NYY than other teams
it’s still an awful price to pay for him
by seattlebruin on Jun 30, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know, I thought that was weird too. It was like Athlon sports or something.
by kentcheesehead on Jun 30, 2009 12:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Gotta use the reply button, scro.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Jun 30, 2009 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's go Washburninator
Time to Washburninate the Yankees, and the thatched roof cottages.
by appleshampoo on Jun 30, 2009 12:45 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
And Sabathia is doing that with an unsustainably low HR/FB too
by Jeff on Jun 30, 2009 12:45 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Where can I find the average speed of Joba's fastball last year vs this year?
In the games I’ve seen he seems to be working with a 91-93 mph fastball with not much movement. I’d feel a little better about our chances if we had more patience as Chamberlein walks like 5 guys per game if I’m not mistaken.
Outside of the Sabathia vs Vargas mismatch, I think we can have a shot in the other two games, and if we take one I’ll be pleased.
Just don’t want to erase the work we did in LA, by getting swept by either of these two teams coming up.
A 4-5 roadtrip is a success in my opinion
by Rudy4three on Jun 30, 2009 12:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Joba's fastball
Looks like he was at 95 last year, 92.4 this year.
angels fan in seattle
by Eyebrows on Jun 30, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ouch.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not even the move to the rotation that did it
95.1 out of the bullpen vs. 94.9 out of the rotation last year. Now he’s just – his fastball has the exact same movement, but it’s missing 3 ticks.
by Jeff on Jun 30, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Normally we'd look at that as a symptom of one or two things
1). He’s slowing down intentionally to try to get better control / command.
2). Something’s physically wrong. Whether it’s injury or he’s just feeling the strain of throwing that hard for too many innings
I think we ran rule out 1.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He did have the shoulder thing last year.
It's hard to convince people to let you eat them if you're an asshole. - Thingray
by Faux on Jun 30, 2009 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bada bing.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you honestly believe that?
I don’t think 3mph disappear for no reason. Even if the answer is currently “I don’t know what it is”, that doesn’t mean it’s nothing.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I honestly believe that saying "it's an injury!" is reckless.
by Matthew on Jun 30, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough.
I did limit it to only two options, which, to me, were the two most likely possibilities.
Of course, if I really want to be reckless, I could just make a blog post about Joba Chamberlain maybe being off the roids.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Two things Im sure will be highlighted by Michael Kay on the YES network tonight.
1)There will be a comment about Morrow throwing 95-98 in the middle innings of this game, and a reference to how that’s what they expected from Joba in the rotation. They are obsessed with his velocity here in NY
2)He’ll point out Branyan’s strikeout propensity over and over again to demean him as a player
by Rudy4three on Jun 30, 2009 12:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Hmm. What will be Michael Kay's HR call for Eric Hinske?
It’s a blinske from Hinske!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hinske business!!!!!! From Erick Hinske!!!!!!
by msb on Jun 30, 2009 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's
John Sterling, Kay just say Seeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeya for any ball no matter who hits it. (ok he sometimes throw in some other stuff .but he’s not as ridiculas with it as Sterling.
by RollingWave on Jul 1, 2009 11:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wonder what the new park's factors for BB/K will be.
Seems odd that all three pitchers will suffer the exact same symptoms at once…
But this looks pretty good to me. A good outing by Washburn against the Yankees should make him that much mroe sexy to pitching hungry contenders and it’s always nice to have two lefty opponents in a series. No more getting owned by random AAAsshole with a sinker. No, if we get owned here it’ll be by guys with talent.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Jun 30, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I thought about park factors, too, but...
Joba’s fastball velocity dropping probably isn’t a product of the new park and Pettitte’s age may simply be a factor for him. Sabathia might also be an outside factor.
I guess time will tell.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm looking forward to wokring during this whole series.
I have a feeling it’s going to be painful.
It's hard to convince people to let you eat them if you're an asshole. - Thingray
by Faux on Jun 30, 2009 1:00 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We get Jon Lester, which Ichiro is going to hit homeruns like crazy again!
50!
by joof on Jun 30, 2009 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh.... god...
Ichiro RF
Branyan 1B
Lopez 2B
Griffey LF
Sweeney DH
Guti CF
Woodward 3B
Johjima C
Cedeno SS
by Matthew on Jun 30, 2009 1:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Is Langerhans not active yet?
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
At the risk of quoting Tom Hanks in the movie "Big"
I don’t get it.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 30, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How did the M's make room for him? Who got sent down?
by Decatur on Jun 30, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nobody yet
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beltre to DL?
You got slurved!
Free Tommy Hanson! [FREED]! Free Jeff Clement! Free Michael Saunders!
by Slurvey on Jun 30, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh the Griffey to LF, Sweeney to DH move I was advocating the other day
until it was pointed out to me how counterproductive it really is.
Nice job Wak…
I really thought we’d see Langerhans in LF today
by Rudy4three on Jun 30, 2009 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well Griffey was awesome at old Yankee Stadium in '95
I never really liked the old tagline.
CougCenter
by Dancing Football on Jun 30, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well fuck
My Mariners blog - SodoMojo Twitter Feed
by gregrabble on Jun 30, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Like he'll last long enough to get into the danger zone.
It's hard to convince people to let you eat them if you're an asshole. - Thingray
by Faux on Jun 30, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
New Yankees stadium is still all kinds of hideous
by Poochie on Jun 30, 2009 1:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It's just bland, corporate, and blah
When I used to clean houses for a living, one of my clients was the CEO of a pretty major company, and his house was all sorts of beige and white – even the art on the walls was all beige/brownish/tan. I realized at that point that the more money you have the more bland your tastes tend to be, for some reason, and New Yankee Stadium seems to be the embodiment of that. There’s nothing about it that is welcoming and human-scaled, and it doesn’t seem to be at all interesting.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It looks boxy, concretely, and aluminumy
That and there’s to many ads, and the monitors are too big and block any view of the city. Why not just play in a dome or at Riverfront?
by Poochie on Jun 30, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's not much to view north of 161st St so there's that
but yeah, there’s really nothing that marks this as a unique place.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
....Besides it's awfulness?
The replica of Old New Yankee Stadium is pretty much the worst idea there ever was for a new stadium.
by Poochie on Jun 30, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
from Drayer:
“Am I In The Right Place? Seriously! This place looks like the other place. Like they took a pressure washer to it, got some new upholstery, and, well that’s about it! Crazy. Guess that is what a billion plus will by you.
No, it just looks that way from the new and improved press box. The concourses are much nicer and the facade is gleaming. The other one is sitting across the street with scaffolding all over it. Caught a glimpse of the inside and it looked like the same old moldy stadium that they could easily play a ball game in tonight. Have yet to see Mystique or Aura."
by msb on Jun 30, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mystique and Aura were priced out of the new place
and now they hang out in Williamsburg with all the cool kids.
Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.
by pdb on Jun 30, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Yankees took a giant dump on the retro ballpark trend and most people hate the new stadium
who didn’t see that one coming?
by seattlebruin on Jun 30, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How can they hate it, if they can't afford to get inside?
by msb on Jun 30, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That plus her nerdy NPR voice make Drayer endearing
by Poochie on Jun 30, 2009 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus her accessibility and genuine niceness.
Not to mention her intelligence.
by Matthew on Jun 30, 2009 3:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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