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Fun With Numbers

Ken Griffey Jr. cropped out of this photo to comply with SBN rules on risque content.

More photos » by Tony Gutierrez - AP

Ken Griffey Jr. cropped out of this photo to comply with SBN rules on risque content.

So we know that Ichiro's been on fire lately, what with getting 49 hits in May and 47 so far in June. But how good has he actually been? Let's take a look.

Games: 66
wOBA: 0.393
bRAA: 17.5
UZR: 6.1
Replacement+positional: 7.1
WAR: 3.1
(#s per fangraphs, not including today's play)

He is so ridiculously good it's unreal. Prorating those numbers to a 154 game season gives 7.2 wins above replacement. If we ignore the injury and give him the 8 games he missed back, the total goes over 7.6. His season so far, especially considering that he started on the DL, is utterly absurd. Ichiro's getting hits like it's 2004 - except for the fact that his slugging percentage has been flirting with .500 for so long that they're about to get settled down and start a family. And this is all after putting up his worst season in three years in 2008.

Last year he hit .310/.361/.386, which led to some premature calls to trade or bench him. After all, you don't want your offensive powerhouse slugging like a bad middle infielder, and it's not like he drew a tonne of walks either. This year, Ichiro listened intently to calls for improved patience from the fans and proceeded to shove them up our collective ass. He's somehow managed a .405 OBP while drawing 5(!) unintentional walks, and it's not like he's being put on base by the opposing team all the time either. He's already at 110 hits, and could probably have made a run at Sisler again were it not for that unfortunate stomach ulcer which forced him to miss eight games in April.

Defensively, he's as good as ever in right field. Comical misplay last night aside, he's running around out there like he's five year's younger, and has even indulged in a few slides to catch balls he started several zip codes from. His 6.1 UZR is despite Ichiro running a negative arm rating for the first time since 2002, which I'm more than content to blame Rob Johnson for. Apart from minor things (like his arm and baserunning issues), Ichiro is having a perfect season. If Griffey being around is giving us happy Ichiro, and happy Ichiro is giving us this, I'm more than happy to keep Jr. around as the tickling coach next year.

Star-divide

5 recs  |  Comment 62 comments |

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I love how some people on the radio still question whether he'll get into the Hall.

If they don’t understand why Ichiro’s a once-in-a-lifetime player, I don’t want to hear what they have to say. Is there a spot in the HOF for Tickle Coach? Griffey could get in there twice.

I actually bought a Betancourt t-shirt.

by Hopefulmsfan on Jun 28, 2009 10:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You should spend some time at BBTF.

There you’ll see a number of very intelligent sabermetrics guys arguing furiously that Ichiro doesn’t belong anywhere near the HoF.

I don't know how to stop.

by esoteric on Jun 29, 2009 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The last month or two with him and Felix has been unbelievable.

We have the hottest hitter and pitcher in the game right now. It’s been unbelievable to watch.

And Griffey’s the front runner for Tickler Of The Year.

Go Nova

by dbroncos31 on Jun 28, 2009 10:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Griffey says he is going to the Bahamas.

Per Drayer, he keeps loudly announcing what Ichiro is supposed to bring back from the ASG for him.

by msb on Jun 29, 2009 6:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he was on the Red Sox, he would be.

But seriously, he keeps this up, it’s only a matter of time.

I actually bought a Betancourt t-shirt.

by Hopefulmsfan on Jun 28, 2009 10:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Note: Actually fun!

Sub-note: Actually numbers!

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Jun 28, 2009 10:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I've loved how

his in season ROS ZIPS has shifted from, he’s still gonna drop off a cliff to, OK he’s still Ichiro! Now predicts a .322 AVG, earlier it was a .30X AVG. Yes, I’m quoting AVG, because in Ichiro’s case it means something, as in a .330 Ichiro is better than a .300 Ichiro.

by chrisisasavage on Jun 28, 2009 10:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm....

                    Avg/OBP/SLG
Player T1: .330/.360/.450 Lots of singles…
Player T2: .300/.410/.600 Lots of BBs/IBBs and XBHs…

I don’t think “always” means what you think it does but I get what you’re trying to say.

 ;-)

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on Jun 29, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, Paul. You have twisted the words and ignored the meaning.

Unless you seriously claim there’s an example where hitting for 30 points of higher batting average resulted in a 80 point drop in patience and a 180 point drop in slugging.

by Matthew on Jun 29, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tickling coach.

That’s pretty funny.

Ichiro is on an epic rampage but never mind his hitting. He’s just so damn good at every little detail of baseball. We are really lucky to be able to watch this every day. There probably won’t be another like him.

"Why should I stretch? Does a cheetah stretch before it chases its prey?"
-Griffey

by Big Jared on Jun 28, 2009 10:55 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Still one of the highlights of this season.

Was Griffey hitting a HR and Ichiro hitting a GS in the same game against the Angels. Perfection.

I actually bought a Betancourt t-shirt.

by Hopefulmsfan on Jun 28, 2009 10:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Also of note:
“[Ichiro is] above average as a runner, and he has an above-average arm in right field,” Hargrove said. “Still, I would see him as a fourth outfielder on a major league team.”

by Graham on Jun 28, 2009 11:28 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

He's an amazing dude...

When the spotlight’s not solely on him, he can do pretty much whatever he wants. It’s like he was transported from the early 1900s or something. Like a Shoeless Joe or Nap Lajoie, Ty Cobb, or something…

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on Jun 29, 2009 12:30 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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