6/27: Open Game Thread, Part 2
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 8:57 PM PDT
in Seattle Mariners Game Threads
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PrintIt's going to take at least three more runs for me to be comfortable handing this game off to the bullpen.
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when he becomes aroused it sticks out so I don't see your point
by Aaron Campeau on Jun 27, 2009 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions
The third leg on a tripod doesn't stick straight out
by Aaron Campeau on Jun 27, 2009 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions
Right but his gigantic balls cause his enormous dong to rest farther from his body
by Aaron Campeau on Jun 27, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions
This conversation is fascinating
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions
There's already one in my head
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:11 PM PDT up reply actions
I am sad I didn't see a .gif as the first comment when I came over here...
by SebastianPruiti on Jun 27, 2009 9:02 PM PDT reply actions
Much as I hate to say it, he's going to need to win more games
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:03 PM PDT up reply actions
Right now I don't think anyone is close to Greinke in that race
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Greinke has kind of fallen off the last four or five starts
and Felix has just gotten better. He’s legitimately in the race if he wins 20
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions
I'd agree, but if the M's make the playoffs, it could make things interesting
especially if Felix ends up with similar wins and ERA to Greinke.
God, why am I discussing wins and ERA like they matter… =(
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions
God Rob, use your body and block the fucking ball
I don’t care that there’s no one on base
"It's going to take at least three more runs for me to be comfortable handing this game off to the bullpen."
It’s your own fault for crunching the numbers.
OK, so we assume that no ones true talent level is a .400 hitter
thus a batter needs to get lucky in order to hit .400 for a season. Basic statistics shows us that over a large enough sample, you should regress towards the true probability – the smaller the sample, the greater the chance to be lucky over a small sample and hit .400 for a season
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:11 PM PDT up reply actions
I understand this.
But Ichiro only probably gets ~100-150 more AB than other hitters. Over the course of hundreds of at-bats, is it really so significant that it means he’s less likely to hit .400 than say, Mauer? Especially if his BABIP is higher than most hitters?
by Fuckmikereilly on Jun 27, 2009 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions
That's roughly another quarter season of at bats
that’s a HUGE number of extra at bats – he would need to get between 40 and 60 more hits than other hitters in that scenario.
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:16 PM PDT up reply actions
So if Joe Mauer has a great season and gets 205 hits and hits .400
Ichiro needs to set another new ML hits record just to keep pace
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:17 PM PDT up reply actions
Ichiro has a lifetime BA of .333 to Mauer's .324
I don’t know the math but I’m pretty sure that the extra AB’s cancel out that advantage.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:18 PM PDT up reply actions
He's down to like .394 now.
Nobody beats the Ichiro.
by I Lick Squirrels on Jun 27, 2009 9:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Not necessarily
I think Jeff or Matthew pointed out a ~.390 BABIP in 2004
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Sure enough.
For some reason I thought his BABIP was north of .400.
He's the only player in the majors I think is even close to capable.
Thug Life
by Slow Country on Jun 27, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions
Barry Bonds was the most likely player to do it
and if he can’t do it nobody can.
No one has even hit .390 in modern baseball given a full season’s worth of PAs, and .380 has only been done once.
I think being a catcher actually helps Mauer in this case
because it keeps his ABs to a minimum. Plus he’s very patient
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions
Mauer's case is help by him missing a month
But it would still hold true that no one has hit that high given a full season’s worth (145 or so starts) of at bats
Anyone know how many hits he'd be on pace for if he hadn't missed those 8 games?
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a beltre bomb before he leaves would be nice
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:10 PM PDT reply actions
A Griffey bomb before Beltre leaves would be nice.
Thug Life
by Slow Country on Jun 27, 2009 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions
That ship has sailed.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
...but another would be great.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
Good to see him get a hit in his last game...
by SebastianPruiti on Jun 27, 2009 9:11 PM PDT reply actions
Griffey time.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
Felix is already at 93
so much for going from Felix straight to Aardsma. The 8th is not gonna be fun.
If he could have a really quick inning here there'd be a chance
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It's not like he's a rookie on a pitch count.
They probably don’t want him throwing more than 115 or 120, but that’s a lot of pitches away.
On 2nd thought, pitcher's spot coming up next inning. He'll be done after this
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Only coming up if there are men on base though
by seattlesundevil on Jun 27, 2009 9:21 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah because we have such better hitters on the bench
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:22 PM PDT up reply actions
You know that won't matter in terms of whether or not they PH for him
Especially with his PC over 100
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How many line drives?
I only remember 2 or 3
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Really?
am I inventing line drives in my head?
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:22 PM PDT up reply actions
Maybe it's two if you count the one Ichiro dropped
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:23 PM PDT up reply actions
Probably was
Gameday just doesn’t call it anything.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:28 PM PDT up reply actions
Because of a ball lost in the lights and a sinking liner that was knocked out of his glove by the ground?
by BrianL on Jun 27, 2009 9:23 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
He's a veteran, according to Scully.
So confused.
by Fuckmikereilly on Jun 27, 2009 9:23 PM PDT up reply actions
Welcome to the game Mitch Jones - meet Felix.
Now go away.
by seattlesundevil on Jun 27, 2009 9:24 PM PDT reply actions
if thats his night
another great performance by felix
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:25 PM PDT reply actions
Felix better make the All-Star team.
With a decent offense he’d have at least 10 wins going into tonight. Stupid overvalued W-L record.
it should be a lock i would think
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:27 PM PDT up reply actions
For a second...
I thought Yuni was pitching.
Thug Life
by Slow Country on Jun 27, 2009 9:29 PM PDT up reply actions
"God Jose Lopez sucks"
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Have I mentioned how sexy he is?
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:30 PM PDT reply actions
BULLSHIT
ten inches higher or ten inches left and that’s a homer
Felix headin out for the 8th?
Nobody up in the pen
by seattlesundevil on Jun 27, 2009 9:31 PM PDT reply actions
I hate having a black hole in the lineup after Gutz
by Manzanillos Cup on Jun 27, 2009 9:31 PM PDT reply actions
Or that works
Felix getting a hit would be hilariously awesome
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Especially when they're issued to the pitcher
or a guy that hits like noe
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:34 PM PDT up reply actions
OH MY GOD I JUST DIED LAUGHING
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:33 PM PDT reply actions
Oh well
I feel cautiously optimistic that Felix can cruise
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:35 PM PDT reply actions
So I just check on the game
Felix has 106 pitches and they don’t pinch hit? What the hell, Wak?
angels fan in seattle
I don't know
he also may have been the best option to hit there
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:37 PM PDT up reply actions
No confidence in the bullpen.
Thug Life
by Slow Country on Jun 27, 2009 9:37 PM PDT up reply actions
Something to do with Felix's 20 pound balls
by lemonverbena on Jun 27, 2009 9:37 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
maybe that's why he couldn't walk.
"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://mvn.com/marinersminors/
by JY on Jun 27, 2009 9:39 PM PDT up reply actions
They better stop believing.
You got slurved!
Free Tommy Hanson! [FREED]! Free Jeff Clement! Free Michael Saunders!
Maybe it's just the camera shot.
But it looks like the bullpens are in the middle of a Christmas tree lot.
Yes, it would.
Hating on commentators is already trite, but it’s an even bigger foul when you hate on someone as awesome as Sims.
He says that's how Gutierrez told him it was pronounced. Sims asked Frankie about it.
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on Jun 27, 2009 10:06 PM PDT up reply actions
Daaaamn
Wonder what the vertical movement on that one was
Holy fucking lovely Felix
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:41 PM PDT reply actions
I don't want to think about what my life would be like if not for Felix Hernandez
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A barren, sterile existence that ends in your death
by lemonverbena on Jun 27, 2009 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Going past 120 scares me
He’s too sacred.
by AtomicGarden on Jun 27, 2009 9:42 PM PDT up reply actions
Not good but I'll honestly be content just winning this one.
My Mariners blog - SodoMojo Twitter Feed
RUSSELL YOU SEXY MAN BEAST YOU!
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 9:45 PM PDT reply actions
Holy balls
When he hits em they’re way out
by JetersNeverProsper on Jun 27, 2009 9:46 PM PDT reply actions
He already has a upper cut swing
so I don’t think it will matter.
"If your good at something never do it for free." - The Joker
by houseofprime on Jun 27, 2009 9:52 PM PDT up reply actions
This is now the second best game this year...
Ichiro’s granny game still tops the list for me…
by SebastianPruiti on Jun 27, 2009 9:47 PM PDT reply actions
I saw Jeff's comment about Branyan as trade bait.
I was a little surprised to be honest. I know the stats don’t have good things to say about him putting up another year like this, but I would have thought you guys would be more militant about keeping him around given the season he’s having.
~Till the Halo burns out...
And also Branyan's a free agent this winter
if we want him back we can get him back.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:49 PM PDT up reply actions
And didn't he say something about wanting to resign after this year?
My Mariners blog - SodoMojo Twitter Feed
It's more about the team having some other 1B options available
Along with having deficiencies in other places.
He's awesome but if we're not in contention and can get something shiny for him then we should.
by Aaron Campeau on Jun 27, 2009 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions
It would only be fair to offer to extend him as much as he extends us
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:56 PM PDT up reply actions
We're a little defeatist around here, if you haven't noticed
and probably more importantly, with Bedard, Beltre and Endy out, our playoff chances look a lot worse than they would if everyone was healthy
by seattlebruin on Jun 27, 2009 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Oh, I understand that part of it
I just figured that after the Richie Sexson debacle you’d be more protective of a 1B who can actually hit.
~Till the Halo burns out...
Richie could hit when we first signed him
And Russell is 33, so we would also want to make sure we didn’t make the same mistake again by giving him too much in his declining years.
True.
On the other hand you guys are the first people to give him a real chance at a starting slot, and he’s playing the right position to have some longevity. You could probably squeeze another 2-3 good years out of him before he starts to slide.
I’m not saying you guys are WRONG about him by any means. He could Brad Fulmer on you guys at any time- I’m just surprised that given the amount of team carrying he’s doing at the moment, you’re not more attached to him.
~Till the Halo burns out...
We're very attached to him but it would be silly not to trade him if we fall out of the race and someone offers a shiny prospect
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 10:02 PM PDT up reply actions
Not really
but if there’s anything valuable and we’re in a selling position, you have to take it and just assume that Branyan will be available again in November if you really want him back.
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 10:07 PM PDT up reply actions
Okay then. I think I understand now.
Thanks for taking the time to talk with me about it.
~Till the Halo burns out...
It depends on how favorable the contract terms are whether I'd be in favor of it, really
I’m not saying I would be opposed to it, but I also would really like to restock our farm system as much as possible before we lose a lot of talent to free agency this offseason, and since we have a lot of depth at 1B if Branyan can get us a nice return I think it’d be worth it to ship him off.
I was thinking the same thing.
He’s fit in with our bullpen.
Thug Life
by Slow Country on Jun 27, 2009 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Angry Jose Guillen just got hit in the face with a ball as it came off the wall...
by SebastianPruiti on Jun 27, 2009 9:52 PM PDT reply actions
I'm beginning to think our relievers have an ability to produce really long fly balls
that don’t leave the yard.
James Loney is a soldier, a fighter, a ghetto survivor
or at least that’s what it sounds like when you walk up to “All the Above”
I don't know if that was a pun
I think it’s just a word
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 27, 2009 9:56 PM PDT up reply actions
Does anyone else not like Russell Martin?
by Manzanillos Cup on Jun 27, 2009 9:56 PM PDT reply actions
Please get one more out David
Let’s not make this game terrifying
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For the record, I am not a big fan of Vin Scully.
He is a great storyteller, but I want to fall asleep by the 2nd inning.
His voice is smooth like butter, I'm not used to it after Niehaus' rasp
You watching that on regular MLB highlights or a premium paid version? It’s not showing when I log into the M’s game highlights.
WIN WIN WIN
WIN AGAINST THE DODGERS! That wasn’t a save by the way Dave
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Bye Beltre we will miss you
Ronny, TAKE
by Kirsten Schlewitz on Jun 27, 2009 10:00 PM PDT reply actions
It was Johnny Mize's nickname before Galarraga
and Ralph Johnson before Mize.
by Aaron Campeau on Jun 28, 2009 2:41 AM PDT up reply actions
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