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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Well This Is Embarrassing

Forgive me if I haven't spent any time talking about Chris Woodward. With rare and as-yet undiscovered exception, I don't really get excited about ~33 year old career backup middle infielders coming off a season and a third in AAA. I didn't bat an eye when the Mariners brought him in, and even when they called him up, I didn't much care, as he was just going to be a short-term substitute for the bereaving Jose Lopez. Woodward would be here, and then he wouldn't, and the Chris Woodward era in Seattle would come to a quiet and Jaime Bubelian end.

Bored and curious, though, I decided to play with a couple numbers. Most notably these:

Woodward ZiPS projected wOBA: .278
Woodward defense: -4.3 UZR/150

Yuni ZiPS projected wOBA: .294
Yuni defense: good heavens

The difference between a .278 wOBA and a .294 wOBA over a full season is about eight runs. So, a regular offense featuring Yuni would be about eight runs better than an otherwise equivalent offense featuring Woodward. Defensively, though, Woodward these days is probably around -5 --> -10, while the slipping Yuni already has a UZR of -8.6 on the season and probably has a true talent level around -15 or -20. Yuni has the third-worst UZR of any infielder in the Major Leagues this year, and that's no accident.

Imagine my...well, I won't call it surprise, but mild interest when I figured out that there's an argument to be made that Yuniesky Betancourt isn't significantly better than Chris Woodward.

Since coming back from his benching, Yuni has made some plays in the field that I'm not used to seeing him make. For his sake, he's probably going to want to try to sustain that level of effort.

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I don't think anyone needs to apologize for not talking about Chris Woodward.

I don’t recall a clamoring for Woodward coverage, and besides, if we had a half-decent SS this would be no issue.

by SethGrandpa on Jun 22, 2009 4:06 PM PDT reply actions  

Hmmm...
Since coming back from his benching, Yuni has made some plays in the field that I’m not used to seeing him make. For his sake, he’s probably going to want to try to sustain that level of effort.

But not so much effort that he takes out another outfielder. I’d rather prefer that he not do that, thank you very much…

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on Jun 22, 2009 4:25 PM PDT reply actions  

The Seattle shortstop situation has regressed to the point where any slick fielding lower minors shortstop who can’t hit pitching in the bushes, would probably addd several wins to the club for the rest of the year.

by Noblewildcat on Jun 23, 2009 12:51 AM PDT reply actions  

Wouldn't it be easier just to use a subject line?

2009 Safeco Field Record: 4-0 ; Overall Safeco Field Record: 8-4

by Fin on Jun 23, 2009 1:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

Does it make a difference?

I’m not asking facetiously, I just wonder if there is a reason to insist on subject line use beyond the boldface.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jun 23, 2009 7:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yes.

Comments can be hidden by clicking on the subject line, thus hiding not-optimal images at work if necessary, and without a subject line the mods have a lot of trouble hiding/deleting comments if need be.

Nice Guys Finish Third - My semantics are a waste of time.

by pdb on Jun 23, 2009 8:08 AM PDT up reply actions  

And because if you don't,

after I have already told you to, like in this case…

you get banned.

by Matthew on Jun 23, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

Where art thou Wilson Valdez?

The Rise of a Superstar:Justin Upton-.425 wOBA, 21 years old.

by Goose on Jun 23, 2009 1:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

Released today by the Mets

At least better than Josh Wilson and Chris Woodward. Strong defense, no bat.

by Fuckmikereilly on Jun 23, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

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