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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Enlightening Fact of the Day

Since May 1st, the Texas Rangers offense has been worth -6.4 runs compared to average, before park adjustments.

Since June 1st, the Texas Rangers offense has been worth -20.9 runs compared to average, before park adjustments. The only Ranger hitter in the black during June is David Murphy. And they have not even had to play in a NL park yet.

The Texas Rangers now have a seasonal, park-adjusted, wOBA of 0.339 against a league average of 0.341. The Texas Rangers have shown a below average offense in 2009.

It is pretty unlikely that anyone is going to luck their way into 90 wins in the AL West. I get the hopes for the Mariners to fall out of the race in order to properly maximize returns on players like Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn. I also get the hopes for the Mariners to jump at a chance at a seizable playoff berth this season. For better or worse, it looks like the decision one way or another is not going to be dictated by the standings for at least a few more weeks yet. Which is not to say that Zduriencik is handcuffed by that, but, it is worth pointing out that the Rangers are not the juggernaut they fooled some people into thinking they were in April.

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I thought about spinning it that way

“Look how bad the Rangers are and we’re still going to lose to them!”

but decided copying your tone is no cure for people that already credit my posts to you.

by Matthew on Jun 15, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

I hate David Murphy...

but aside from that….

I was watching Dog the Bounty Hunter last night and at the end of the show they showed a 10-15 second promo of a CD that I think played during the episode…

The CD was Ben Broussard! That guy is gonna be huge!

by PLU Tim on Jun 15, 2009 2:19 PM PDT reply actions  

So it seems the light at the end of the tunnel is getting a tad bit brighter?

Or, dimmer.. I don’t know what my own feelings are here. I know I want the Mariners to be winners again. At the beginning of the season it looked like we had a legitimate shot at it. Then it looked like we were boned. Then it looked like we had a shot, then boned again. Now it looks like we are still flirting with the possibility of winning this race this year.

How does the division project to end up at this point? Do we make new calculations for true talent levels at this point or is it too early? Surely we can’t still be at the same projected talent level as we were before the season started right? Anyone care to enlighten me?

by d0nkey on Jun 15, 2009 3:46 PM PDT reply actions  

I think my thoughts came out in a bum-rush of rage after losing this last series.

What I was looking for, was what the projected talent levels of our division are at this point. Are we still sitting at about a 79 win team? (if I remember correctly) Or are we projected to lose a few more than that origional projection? Same with the rest of the division. Or is it too early to assess talent levels based on the few games we have played so far?

by d0nkey on Jun 15, 2009 5:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Rangers and the Angels could both make moves soon, that change the paradigm completely.

Both teams need too, and one of them will surely do something. Texas really should, and are more likely to do so. The Angels may be forced to offer a response.

by Noblewildcat on Jun 15, 2009 4:34 PM PDT reply actions  

Just clicking on his username is easier.

It shows comment activity and anytime you see “Commented on ….” as opposed to “Commented [subject] on …..” you know that’s a comment without a subject

by Matthew on Jun 15, 2009 6:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

I mostly enjoyed the identical response by JI

though pdb probably mirrored that on purpose.

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Jun 15, 2009 6:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, they really cannot.

There’s a limit to how much you can impact your team with mid season moves unless you make a ton of them. The Angels do not have the farm system to supply them with enough ammo to make a big enough dent in their true talent level for the 2009 season. Texas could, but they need pitching foremost and who’s going to give it to them, us? Possible, but not likely.

by Matthew on Jun 15, 2009 5:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Tangentially related,

Ervin Santana is missing his next start with forearm issues.

SURPRISE!

by Matthew on Jun 15, 2009 5:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like surprises!

I actually bought a Betancourt t-shirt.

by Hopefulmsfan on Jun 15, 2009 8:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow... this fact you just shared with us has led me to enjoy the moment to some small degree

I believe this was a bona fide Fun Fact. Hot damn.

"Even the stupidest of men, by some instinct of nature, is convinced on his own that with more observations his risk of failure is diminished."
-Jacques Bernoulli Ars conjectandi 1713

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jun 15, 2009 11:20 PM PDT reply actions  

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