Lookout Landing: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Once A Metro covering Red Bull New York!

Fangraphs adds Speed Score

Another one of Bill James' newfangled number thingies.  Here's David Appelman's simple, non-numbers description:

 

We’re using the 4 component version, which is an average of Stolen Base Percentage, Frequency of Stolen Base Attempts, Percentage of Triples, and Runs Scored Percentage.

 

 

For the hardcore number geeks, here's David's description of the formula in the same thread:

 

Stole Base Percentage = (((SB + 3)/(SB + CS + 7)) - .4) x 20

Frequency of Attempts = Square root of ((SB + CS)/(1B + BB)) / .07

Percentage of Triples = 3B/(AB-HR-SO) and then put on a scale based on this chart:

< .001 = 0
.001 - .00231 = 1
.00231 - .00392 = 2
.00392 - .00583 = 3
.00583 - .00804 = 4
.00804 - .01055 = 5
.01055 - .0136 = 6
.0136 - .01587 = 7
.01587 - .01898 = 8
.01898 - .02239 = 9
> .02239 = 10

Runs Scored Percentage = (((R - HR)/(H + BB - HR)) - .1) / .04

Then anything one of the components that is below 0 you make 0, anything about 10 you make 10. Then take the mean of the 4 components.

 

As for how good or bad a Speed Scale is:

The scale is 0-10, The higher the better. Average is around 5.

 

Now, I don't know if this is a very useful stat in terms of predictive value, but it's pretty cool nonetheless.

 

 

Top 5 Speed players so far this year:

 

Carl Crawford--8.9

Michael Bourn--7.7

Coco Crisp--7.6

Matt Kenp--7.4

Chone Figgins--7.1

 

Pretty much your usual suspects there.

 

 

As for the top 5 leadfoots in the league:

 

Ramon Hernandez--0.6

Dan Uggla--0.6

Mike Jacobs--0.6

J.J. Hardy--0.6

Pat Burrell--0.6

 

At first I was a bit surprised to see Hardy at the bottom, as I've always assumed he was at least competent on the basepaths, but the numbers proved me wrong; he is 5-for-5 on stolen bases.  In his career.  In four years.  There goes my theory that guys who play SS well (and he is very solid at SS; career 11.9 UZR/150) have good baserunning speed.

 

 

So what about the Mariners?

 

As a team, the M's are a 4.1 at Speed.  This ranks them 26th in the league, and 12th (out of 14) in the AL.  This probably isn't too surprising, as aside from Ichiro, Beltre and maybe Endy, we don't exactly have a group of hellions on the basepaths.

The bottom Speed guys among M's players is rather predictable:  Jamie Burke at 0.1, and Sweeney and Griffey at 1.3 both.

As for our top Speed guys, the top 4 goes, uh, mostly predictable:

 

Ronny Cedeno:  4.1 (PETR!)

Adrian Beltre:  4.3 (his inexplicable decision to steal third earlier tonight will probably affect this rating)

Ichiro!:  4.7

And our number one Speed player, is......

 

Rob Johnson?

Rob motherfucking Johnson?

Rob MotherFuckingCockSucking Johnson has a 5.0 Speed Score?

 

No wonder Wak continues to keep him on the major league roster while Clement rots in Tacoma.  Rob Johnson is a speed demon, who strikes fear into the hearts of opponents with his baserunning prowess, whose clubhouse grit would make Griffey say, "yeah, he's the leader here."

 

Rob Johnson:  your basepath demon.

 

 

Ladies and Gentleman, your 2009 Seattle Mariners!

0 recs  |  Comment 3 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Rob "hahahah in your face I'm faster than you thought I was bitches" Johnson.

Looking over that formula I can see the triple helped him a lot since he has no SB.

You got slurved bitch.

by Slurvey on May 10, 2009 10:16 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Dmitri Young checks in with a lifetime 3.5.

Not to stand in the way of statistical innovation, but Dmitri Young couldn’t beat toast in a sprint.

by Paytheline on May 10, 2009 3:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Rob Johnson's only "skill" is speed...

For a catcher, that is. He actually played LF reasonably competently in Tacoma.

Like, better than catcher probably…

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on May 12, 2009 4:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

By reading a game thread of your own volition you agree to accept all liability for any and all damage done to your delicate sensibilities.
Start posting about the Mariners »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Cbs_fantasy_baseball_promo

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Clement_small
The Banner Unveiled

Recent FanPosts

Small
Official NCAA Tournament Day 1 Open Thread
Griffeydome_small
So, "Bullpen Conglomeration Guy" needs a name...
Carrollrookiesbn_copy_small
3/20 -- Return of Flag Football
Small
OTFPOTM, 2010-03-17 - Words With Friends, NCAA Tournament and Beer!
Small
Looking for Help to Upload Photos
Small
MLB TV Premium/ 1 yr for $19.95
Image_small
Unearthing a nice memory. Can you help me out here?
Small
Kill it now! Riggleman and McLaren back again
Small
What makes A-Rod such a good hitter?
Small
Book on the '95 Division Series

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Milwaukee Brewers third baseman Mat Gamel can't field a bunt by Chicago Cubs' Kosuke Fukudome, of Japan, during the first inning of a baseball game in Chicago, Thursday, Sept. 17, 2009.(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

Brewers Third Baseman Mat Gamel Diagnosed With 'Slightly' Torn Lat

Texas Rangers'  Nelson Cruz, left, and Chris Davis, center, are congratulated by Toby Hall, right, after they scored on a double by Elvis Andrus against the Colorado Rockies in the third inning of  a Cactus League spring baseball game in Tucson, Ariz., on Thursday, March 11, 2010. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: Texas Rangers, Dripping With Promise

In this photo taken on Sunday, Feb. 21, 2010, Colorado Rockies pitcher Huston Street throws from the mound during baseball spring training in Tucson, Ariz. Street has not worked out with the team in four days because of a sore shoulder. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski)

Rockies Closer Huston Street To Start Season On DL

More from SBNation.com >


Sexy People

Small Matthew

Wbc_029_small Jeff Sullivan

Marioavy_small JonBBT