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Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals

Seattle: 15-12
Royals: 16-11

SUMMARY

MARINERS ROYALS
EDGE
HITTING (wOBA)
-24.0 (27th) -1.2 (16th) KCA
FIELDING (UZR)
11.5 (1st) 2.6 (10th) SEA
ROTATION (pRAA)
23.8 (1st) 21.7 (2nd) SEA
BULLPEN (pRAA)
-2.3 (20th) 5.2 (6th) KCA
OVERALL(RAA)
9.0 28.3 KCA







MARINERS! ROYALS! A battle of first place teams!

I will give a hat tip to anyone who thought before the season started that the above sentence would be written in anything other than jest on May 6th, 2009.

For the first time since I started doing these summaries, the Mariners face a better team than themselves. And not just better, but a whopping two wins better so far this year, which if it held up would project out to be about a 12 win difference. I don't actually think the gap is that large since I doubt Willie Bloomquist is going to continue wOBAing .443 and Zack Greinke, while awesome, isn't likely to continue posting a 1.35 tRA.

Yesterday's game obliterated a lot of value in the Ms hitting and bullpen and over the two game series, they lost a whopping 5.7 runs against average.Denny Stark saw his tRA jump from the low 1s to over 12 with his appearance yesterday marking the second worst relief outing lasting at least an inning so far this season for the Ms. In case you are curious, Sean White's May 1st game ranked worst by tRA. Stark's no great shakes or anything, but as Jeff pointed out, he didn't look much like he did in the first two outings. We should abstain from dooming him to ignominy based on this one outing.

GAMES

Game 1:  vs. Sidney Ponson
Game 2: Jarrod Washburn* vs. Brian Bannister

We get to miss Greinke and Meche, which is good news for us.

Sidney Ponson is bottoming out in terms of missing bats, now down to just 4.5%, and yet has seen his strikeout rate climb to its highest peak since 2003. Hard to figure that those strikeouts will continue. His batted ball profile has been remarkably stable every year in the rotation. He's going to get his ground balls.

Brian Bannister may have been liking where his FIP was trending, but his tRA was trending in the opposite direction and it caught up to him. He was allowing steadily more line drives as he went along, peaking last season. But so far in 2009, Bannister has been a much improved hurler in terms of batted ball results. Unfortunately (for him), he is also missing bats at just a 3.4% rate.

Star-divide

THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

Saison Brett
Boulevard Brewing Company. Kansas City, MO

A homage to George Brett and not to Brettanomyces yeast. Just in case you were thinking this was some sort of awesome sour Belgian spice beer. Hmm...

Boulevard is a quality brewery which in the Kansas-Missouri region can be somewhat scarce. They just started arriving in WA so keep an eye peeled.

0 recs  |  Comment 52 comments |

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Comments

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I think I mentioned this last year, but I liked Boulevard's Dry Stout.

I usually stay away from stouts and it was a nice compromise for me.

by Sec 108 on May 6, 2009 12:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well it is the heavy malt in stouts that I do not like.

This particular one had the flavor without the milkshake density.

by Sec 108 on May 6, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I drove the highway that goes through Grass Creek once

There was no there there.

I did see tumbleweeds when I stopped for gas at one of the towns around there.

by Grizz11 on May 6, 2009 4:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So what's Saison Brett like? Standard saison, made by unpretentious midwesterners?

I’ll look for it.

“We should abstain from dooming him to ignominy based on this one outing.”

Yes; sort of interesting that he’s hitting 93 or so these days, and up until yesterday, he hadn’t allowed a line drive.

Ponson’s luck against the M’s needs to run out. He struck out 3 in 13 innings against Seattle last year, and still gave up only 4 runs.

by marc w on May 6, 2009 2:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

KCA?

Pardon my ignorance, but what’s the A stand for?

I'm more like I am now than I've ever been.

by ralphie81 on May 6, 2009 3:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

True but in this case

it stands for “Kansas City – American” so as to conform with MLB’s preference for three letter acronyms for its teams.

Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.

by pdb on May 6, 2009 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's what I figured

but I thought that designation was only used when there was a team in the same city in the other league. Guess not!

I'm more like I am now than I've ever been.

by ralphie81 on May 6, 2009 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ooh

When he got there, guys told him there were quys there who care, and guys who wanted to win. Trey communicates with him, and lets him know what he’ll be doing, where he can contribute. All he asks for is a fair shot, you know.

by msb on May 6, 2009 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

GOOD GRAVY MISTER WAKAMATSU

It’s spelled “C-E-D-E-N-O” not “B-E-T-A-N-C-O-U-R-T” GOSH!

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on May 6, 2009 4:14 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

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