How have the M's done when behind/ahead after each inning?
So, with too much time on my hands on a Sunday night (I get three-day weekends every so often followed or preceded by just a Sunday off) and still buzzing from the high of this afternoon's game, I put together a little info on the Mariners have fared when ahead, behind or tied after each inning. Essentially useless, especially with a small sample size, but still fun to look at.
Overall: 15-10
When the M's are:
Leading
After 1: 6-1
After 2: 9-2
After 3: 8-2
After 4: 9-4
After 5: 12-4
After 6: 11-1
After 7: 11-2
After 8: 12-1
Tied
After 1: 6-7
After 2: 2-3
After 3: 2-4
After 4: 2-1
After 5: 1-1
After 6: 2-2
After 7: 2-0
After 8: 2-1
After 9: 2-0
After 10: 1-0
After 11: 1-0
After 12: 1-0
After 13: 1-0
After 14: 1-0
Trailing
After 1: 3-2
After 2: 4-5
After 3: 5-4
After 4: 4-5
After 5: 2-5
After 6: 2-7
After 7: 2-8
After 8: 1-8
Besides the obvious (wonder when the trailing-after-8 win was), here are a few highlights:
— Game 7 (Bedard beats Outman 1-0 in Oakland) was the first time a game was still tied after second inning. In the first six, there had been scoring in one of the first two innings.
— The Mariners had the lead after four innings in each of their first three losses. Conversely, they won the first two times they trailed after 4.
— One old adage that rings true: Score first. Seattle is 6-1 when leading after one, 9-2 after two Then again, it's 3-2 when trailing after one.
— In fact, the M's have been doing OK playing from behind early in games, but the winning percentage drops off dramatically if they're trailing after 5 and even more so after 6. Random but fun.
— I'm going to try to update this every few weeks as I have time.
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5 comments
Comments
Great info!
Its all about what one should expect, given the %age win chances of leading or trailing after those #s of innings, wit hthe exception that the Mariners have outperformed after trailing early on. Its nice to know that giving up 3 runs in the 1st isnt an automatic loss. ;)
by AlexR on May 4, 2009 10:28 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I love that we have had the lead 16 out of 25 games after 5 innings.
Not sure that there is a ton of significance to that other than playing with the lead sure does help.
by Sec 108 on May 4, 2009 10:43 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Well the team has won 15 out of 25 games
so that seems to correlate pretty well.
by marinerdan on May 4, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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