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Wladimir Balentien's Improved Eye

It seems that so often we are talking about our hitters, especially our right-handed hitters, and their aggressive to the level of detriment approach at the plate. And none of them ever seem to get a clue, recent Yuni improvement on hold until we get a bigger sample. Johjima, Beltre, Yuni, Lopez; all of our right-handed infielders share a similar hack-tastic approach that constantly drives us batty.

It's part of the reason that Franklin Gutierrez has seemed like such a breath of fresh air at the plate. His willingness to take pitches, even borderline pitches in 0-2 counts is so foreign as to be continuously baffling. Well, there's somebody else worth talking about too, a homegrown product even, that is taking strides in the plate discipline part of his game. Wladimir Balentien's improvement in that (and other) areas is one of the brighter points for this 2009 team.

YEAR BB/K
2004 (A) 0.16
2005 (A+) 0.21
2006 (AA) 0.50
2007 (AAA) 0.51
2008 (AAA) 0.65
2008 (MLB) 0.20
2009 (MLB) 0.36

Balentien always had a strikeout problem in the minors, but it is also something that by and large showed consistent and methodical improvement. In 2005, at High-A, he struck out in 29.7% of plate appearances. Next year, even with a move up to Double-A, that fell to 26.8%. In 2007, with yet another promotion, it was all the way down to a somewhat respectable 19.3% in Tacoma. Wlad's success in this area had many people getting legitimately excited about his prospect status and may have played a part in former GM Bill Bavasi's willingness to trade away Adam Jones.

And it was not like he improved his strikeout rate at the cost of his walk rate. That too improved in spurts. Overall, his plate disciplined as measured by walks drawn per strikeout has progressed each season, a table of which is listed to the right.

In 2008, Wlad improved his strikeout rate again in his half-season at Tacoma, down to 17.8%. Then he got promoted to Seattle and regressed all the way back to 30.4%. Clearly he still had a lot of work to do.

And it looks like instead of being satisfied, Wlad instead did go to work. His strikeout rate so far this season is at an all time low of 16.5%. Last year he swung at 31.1% of pitches thrown to him outside the strike zone. This year, it's 24.7%. Put graphically, here is a heat map comparison of pitches Balentien has swung at:

He still has a tendency to chase a bit inside and outside, but he appears to have rather beefed up his skill at identifying pitches low and high. Whether or not it is related, it is also a good sign that Balentien's contact rate on swings at pitches inside the strike zone has improved from 78.3% to 84.9% in 2009. Wlad is swinging less often at balls and making contact much more often when he swings at strikes. What remains to be seen is if Wlad is able to maintain this improving level of awareness at the plate (and in the field) and regain his once awesome power. If so, well, we might just have a set outfield for the next four years or so.

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Goddamn, this site outdoes itself every day.

Should we expect any dramatic change due to regression, or is this sample size large enough for us to have a feel of what Wlad might actually be doing this year? Between this and his improved routes in the OF, I’m getting pretty excited about the guy (again).

by rlintott on May 21, 2009 12:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

335 pitches is a pretty good sample size

We can say with confidence that Wlad has improved. Maybe the magnitude of improvement isn’t real, but the improvement itself certainly looks like it is.

by Jeff on May 21, 2009 5:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wouldn't it make sense to trade Wlad

to a team that needs righties more than we do, seeing as we have Saunders and Ackley on the way?

by Rollo Tomasi on May 21, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Now? No.

A year from now? Maybe.

by Matthew on May 21, 2009 1:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.

Wlad is young enough he could be part of the roster for many years (if this improvement is real), so why trade him now just because he’s a righty, when you don’t know what the roster will look like next year (or even later this year).

Seems shortsighted to me, unless you think we can win it all this year.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on May 21, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't mean right now

but in the not too distant future, seeing as he’s a right handed pull hitter and he plays a position at which our organization is quite deep, he’d probably be more valuable to another team.

by Rollo Tomasi on May 21, 2009 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not that I'm necessarily advocating this

but I am pretty sure that for this year alone it would make more sense to trade Ichiro before Balentien, simply because of value returned and salary lost. Next year, as Matthew said, the value of Balentien could be higher and we’d have people on the way.

Though I’m not banking on Ackley until we draft him.

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on May 21, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it quite unlikely

that we could get a justifiable return for Ichiro.

by Rollo Tomasi on May 21, 2009 4:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Potential with Wlad is arguably more exciting than the Putz trade.

Not because it makes the team as dramatically better, but because it would finally be a young player from out system that succeeded better than expected (on our team).

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on May 21, 2009 1:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Higher if you park adjust it too?

Aaron King is still my homeboy... iffy mechanics and all

If Dustin Pedroia played in Seattle, not many people would be talking about him.

by baetown415 on May 21, 2009 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't worry

I bet this “davidcameron” guy is just some Mariners-hater.

Aaron King is still my homeboy... iffy mechanics and all

If Dustin Pedroia played in Seattle, not many people would be talking about him.

by baetown415 on May 21, 2009 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And it was what, .350 a week ago?

I think I pointed it out to you then.
Since I can’t do that, I’ll satisfy myself with the 0.4 WAR in 25 games.

This team – this offense – has all sorts of problems. Balentien’s not among them so far. Yes, I’d love to see him do a bit better, and he was up until this week. I really, really wished the Jays would’ve tired with Adam Lind or described him as a AAAA player after 2008. The M’s really had better not give up on Wlad.

(We’re the Spy vs. Spy of Wladimir Balentien)

by marc w on May 21, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see what that has to do with his improved plate discipline.

This isn’t a comprehensive look at Wladimir Balentien. This was a directed piece.

by Matthew on May 21, 2009 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought I made it clear that the sentence you quoted was dependent on the preceding statement.
What remains to be seen is if Wlad is able to maintain this improving level of awareness at the plate (and in the field) and regain his once awesome power. If so, well, we might just have a set outfield for the next four years or so.

Based on my wording, I don’t see how anyone could think that I was advocating for Wlad to be our long term LF answer if he continues to carry a .319 wOBA*.

by Matthew on May 21, 2009 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The way I read it...

“improving level of awareness” are very important words.

Wlad Balentien’s wOBA in 2008: .257
Wlad Balentien’s wOBA in 2009 (thus far): .309
Wlad Balentien’s wOBA in 2010: >.309

Yeah, improving is what Matthew said…

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on May 21, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be happy.

They didn’t steal your ideas for once!

by marinerdan on May 21, 2009 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wald is progressing like Yuni and Loafie should have

After his late arrival in spring, lack of options and new outfielders I did not expect him to even be on the roster for long. I did not know he had it in him to play any defense and the way he kept his stroke going despite his spotty playing time early was impressive.

Raider for life

by noontide on May 21, 2009 1:54 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

He obviously is more dedicated to his craft than Yuni or Lopez.

"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."

by Thingray on May 21, 2009 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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