16-19, Game Notes
Today's hockey games were good.
- We could spend all night trying to figure out what's wrong with Brandon Morrow and we'd probably get a thousand different theories. Honestly, though, I think it's really quite simple. At the moment, he's a one-pitch pitcher who doesn't have command of his fastball. What more needs to be said? Contributing to both issues is the fact that he's missed a lot of time already and never got a Spring Training, and contributing to the first issue is the fact that he was never handled in such a way that encouraged secondary pitch development. So we're left with what we have, and until he starts locating his fastball the way he did a year ago and mixing in a few other pitches, he's going to run into trouble. There's no reason for hitters to sit on anything but straight gas, and bad things happen when you can't put that gas where you want.
The most important thing he needs to do in order to get back in the saddle is figure out how to spot his fastball. When that happens, he'll be in decent shape. However, he'll also need to start mixing in some quality offspeed stuff. Not a whole lot, but just enough solid pitches to keep the hitter honest. We've seen Morrow try to break it off from time to time this year, but it hasn't worked and it's clear that nobody trusts his ability to throw a good bender when it matters right now, which makes it a tough thing to do as a closer. I can only wonder what ringing up Hamilton last night with the curve would've done for Morrow's confidence. But anyway, the offspeed thing is a work in progress, and until we see him offer a couple good breakers and changeups a game, he's likely to be uncomfortable to watch.
Chris Davis, by the way, has the lowest contact rate of any regular in baseball. If ever there were a good time for Morrow to take something off of his heater, that was it. Instead he played right into Davis' hands, going to the same spot with the same pitch four consecutive times.
Johnson and Morrow wanted to make Davis chase the high heat. However, he didn't chase either of the first two attempts, meaning that the battery either had to try a new approach or brave bringing the heat a little lower to make the pitches more enticing. They made the wrong choice. Lower high heat = heat at the belt = gosh darnit. - There was a lot of worry early on that Felix might've been injured, because PITCHf/x was picking up most of his fastballs between 89-92. Being that he's a guy who spends the majority of his time in the mid-90s, that was uncharacteristic and wildly alarming. For those of you who might still be concerned, I have good news: it wasn't so much a Felix problem as it was a PITCHf/x problem. Felix, Harrison, Aardsma, Morrow - they were all being clocked a few ticks below where they usually sit, and when you're faced with a situation in which either the PITCHf/x system is screwing up or four different pitchers are working below their normal velocities, you have to assume the former.
I don't know why this happens, but it does. It's even happened to Felix before, last May in New York. His fastball in that game was 92.3mph, two marks below his season average. Today he came in around 92 as well. As insane as people were going during the early innings, then, it was just a PITCHf/x mistake, and rest assured, there's nothing to worry about. Felix is as fine as he's ever been. - Not only is Felix healthy - he also pitched well, too, and against a team with a history of beating him up. He allowed just six baserunnings in seven shutout innings, he missed 16 bats, and he gave Hank Blalock fits, striking him out swinging three times, twice with a runner in scoring position. Blalock only saw six fastballs out of 14 pitches. There was also a key at bat against Elvis Andrus in the seventh, where Andrus came up with two down and men on the corners and promptly saw four straight breaking balls before getting jammed by a fastball. This was an excellent start, and it seems that Felix may finally be learning his craft, which can only be considered good news. For us.
At last, our boy may be growing up before our eyes.
"A couple years ago I was a thrower, not a pitcher. Now I am a pitcher. I located all of my pitches today. I don't want to throw 97 in the middle. I just want to go at the corners and throw my two seamers." - You can be as mad at Morrow as you want to be for effectively giving our season the ol' Tanya Harding. Keep in mind, though, that this heavily right-handed lineup managed all of two runs and five hits off of the mediocre left-handed Matt Harrison. Just because Morrow blew the lead doesn't mean he deserves to shoulder all the blame, because Felix was the only guy keeping this from being another all-around pathetic effort.
Jakubauskas, Olson, and Vargas to face Boston this weekend. None of those three pitchers were expected to see any kind of rotation time in 2009. It's the middle of May.
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Following the Mariners is becoming harmful to my health.
I’m looking for something less self destructive. Cocaine comes to mind. Thoughts?
I bet you're talking about Josh Hamilton
"Get up you crazy black man, I'm gonna make you drink my piss!" - Will Ferrell.
Watch hockey.
The playoffs are producing good games as if it were a bodily function. Holy crap Boston-Carolina was intense…the right team won. Cam Ward is incredible.
As for the Mariners…I use this site to keep updated and the M’s are not bad enough yet to read some really good jokes in on here…thus theyre sorta boring.
Hockey playoffs are always good
This year is no exception. Crosby-Ovechkin, Cam Ward being a beast, Hiller for Anaheim, three game sevens (two of which were awesomely competitive). Jump on the hockey train
by Brian Floyd on May 14, 2009 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions
I think that makes it easier because every game becomes interesting.
I consider the Capitals my team because I lived in D.C. for a couple of years, but I definitely do not have an emotional connection to them like I do the Mariners. These playoffs have been incredible to watch, though.
Would there be a market for hockey in Seattle?
There is frequent talk here in Vancouver about whether it could support a team or not. Canucks fans would love it, I think, because it would be an awesome rivalry. Very easy to travel to road games.
by 88fingerslukee on May 15, 2009 5:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Well shit...move the Panthers to Seattle then!
by 88fingerslukee on May 15, 2009 5:37 PM PDT up reply actions
Coyotes are closer to being a competitive team,
and they’re arguing for bankruptcy with Bettman right now.
But no, Toronto needs a second team.
It's hard to convince people to let you eat them if you're an asshole. - Thingray
That overtime was everything that's right about hockey
Carolina’s home crowds, by the way, have really impressed me.
by Jeff Sullivan on May 15, 2009 9:11 AM PDT up reply actions
That Felix quote makes me all kinds of happy.
Really, at this point, if we’re going to suck again, the least the baseball gods can do is give us a Felix that is learning and consistently getting better.
The Rise of a Superstar:Justin Upton-.429 wOBA, 21 years old.
And make sure we sign him to a long contract
"Get up you crazy black man, I'm gonna make you drink my piss!" - Will Ferrell.
If misery loves company,
I’ve got good news, the Royals are rapidly crashing back to earth (18-17), Florida started the season 11-1, then whoops (17-18), and our good buddies the Padres already went from first to worst (13-22).
This weekend should be fun. I have yet to determine how, however.
Someone asked which ones would fall...
…at the beginning of the year regarding the early division leaders. Pretty obvious that the answer is everyone.
Texas is starting to remind me of their late 90s team. Minus the drugs. Well, sorta.
Meanwhile, Toronto still sits on top of the brutalist division in baseball.
But you are right, for the most part, regression has happened, and the teams are going back to where they should’ve been. I don’t understand why we haven’t heard anything from Z though. You would think a sweep in Texas after 2 2-game sweeps and an almost sweep would have him making some kind of roster changes.
Didnt Bavasi go into the lockeroom and yell at players?
Z doesn’t strike me as that kind of guy. Hopefully he doesn’t panic and do something stupid.
Well, I hope Z doesn't do something like that.
Maybe something more formal, like DFA of Rob Johnson and a promotion of Jeff Clement.
Or perhaps trading Yuni for some brand-new bats...
Bats to be swung by different hitters who will swing them later in counts.
I don't like Rob Johnson, but he has options
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on May 14, 2009 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Clement can't play catcher, though
So he’s no help there right now. DH is his only spot right now and I’m not sure he could fit in the club there. Clement must have boned Bavasi and Z’s daughters. That handsome devil
by Brian Floyd on May 14, 2009 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions
It's even tougher to say no since we lack lefties in our lineup...
Now let's make like a baby and head out.
Still...
There’s no place for him. Like it or not Griffey is the LH DH. Branyan is a LH 1B. And Clement can’t catch with his knee. Basically he’s stuck in purgatory til someone gets hurt or his knee magically heals and even then the organization doesn’t like his future as the catcher
by Brian Floyd on May 14, 2009 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions
I understand this.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
Only because I won't be able to stare into those beautiful man eyes
by Brian Floyd on May 15, 2009 12:02 AM PDT up reply actions
I would say the same thing...
But I would feel like I’m somehow being unfaithful to Russell Branyan.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
You know what they say...
It’s not cheating if they’re in different org levels
by Brian Floyd on May 15, 2009 12:05 AM PDT up reply actions
How important is catcher defense?
I mean, besides the fact that it is supposed to be, why is it? They have way less fielding opportunities than other positions. If you look at this article, which provides a cursory rating for catcher defense, based on Tango’s WOWY method, the projected spread between the best and the worst defenders is only about 15 runs.
Even if Clement is worse that the worst catcher in the majors, Salty, he would cost the M’s less than 10 runs over a full season. The positional adjustment would make up for that, and if he hits his CHONE projection of a .338 wOBA, he would be roughly a 2.5 WAR player per 600 plate appearances. That’s like 7 Rob Johnsons!!!
St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008
by vivaelpujols on May 15, 2009 2:30 AM PDT up reply actions
Well it's a moot point for now because his knee hurts
so for the time being it is not an exaggeration used in place of saying that his defense is poor to say that Clement cannot catch.
Pretty easilky
I don’t need usc peoples i n my linesup
by seattlebruin on May 15, 2009 12:13 AM PDT up reply actions
I sense taht I've miossepelled words here
by seattlebruin on May 15, 2009 12:18 AM PDT up reply actions
It happens.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
That isn't regression
Regression would have put us at about 3 games over .500 after the 15-10 start, not 3 under
by Graham MacAree on May 15, 2009 7:53 AM PDT up reply actions
Don't forget Pittsburgh lead the division for a little while.
And are now 14-20.
---
Juuuust a bit outside!!
http://www.rightfieldbleachers.com
FTFY
the Padres already went from first to worst tied for worst (13-22).
Woooo D-Backs!
The Rise of a Superstar:Justin Upton-.429 wOBA, 21 years old.
I hate October as well.
It is the playoffs, and we are never in them.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
So with Felix's quotes to Drayer,
are you saying it was a combo of PITCH/fx being wonky and Felix slowing it up? It sounded to me like more of the latter. If Felix was dialing it down on purpose, and PITCH/fx was off by a few MPH as well, wouldn’t we have expected Felix’s MPH readings to be even lower than they were?
Felix's average fastball was 92.1
Add ~2 ticks to account for the PITCHf/x stuff and he’s up to 94.1, which is around where he throws his two-seamer (his four-seamer is in the 96-98 range).
by Jeff Sullivan on May 15, 2009 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions
Could you quit with the Hockey crap?
We get it – you like the way their sport is put together, and they have some great young talent.
This is a Mariners blog though and I don’t see many other SBN editors posting praise for other sports. It’s not funny or anything either.
...and now I'm here
Sorry, came off harsher than I intended. But come on.
Go Mariners.
...and now I'm here
Whatever, forget it.
If everyone here loves the public fellating of hockey on an M’s blog – fine. Such homerism for these blog writers is embarassing though.
You all realize they can do something wrong and still be good writers, and great contributions to the Mariners community ?
...and now I'm here
If you are asking if I mind one opening line stating that the day's hockey games were good...
Followed by numerous paragraphs of top-notch baseball analysis…
I’m going to go with no.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
All of this has happened before, and all of this will happen again.
Jose Lopez roxxorz my boxxorz.
51!
Are you pretending this is like the Tampa Bay situation last year or...?
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on May 15, 2009 2:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Wow. It looks like I'm the ass.
I wasn’t around for that joke. My apologies.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
It wasn't that funny, so you are forgiven.
...and now I'm here
♥
http://www.lookoutlanding.com/2008/4/27/461839/you-were-warned#5509348
...and now I'm here
I was taking you seriously.
Epic fail on my part.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
I know
I wanted to see where you would go.
by Kirsten Schlewitz on May 15, 2009 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions
I have commitment issues.
...and now I'm here
Every now and then
McGrath gets off a fine crack:
“It’s funny listening to Mariners fans recite the tools they believe necessary in a closer. The more I hear a yearning for a tough guy with a short memory, a mean streak and a frightening temper, the more I recall Bobby Ayala, the least popular relief pitcher in the history of the franchise”"
Yes
Not to LLLJ, but life has been ridiculously busy lately, and I regret being able to catch very few games over the past two weeks, and having almost no time to check LL. That said, I somehow caught all of yesterday’s game, and as infuriating as the 9th inning was (and who didn’t see that coming?), Felix’s quote about being a pitcher rather than a thrower almost makes everything all better. That might be the best thing I’ve heard all season.
I can't believe I was the only one who was upset that the entire point of that movie was
lol seattle gets rain amirite rofl
The vampires should have needed coffee instead of blood.
The conflict of the movie could have been that the caffeine made it so they couldn’t fall asleep when the sun came up, but then they realized it was always rainy in Seattle so it never became an issue and they all lived mope-ily ever after while listening to grunge and wearing flannel.
But they never needed sleep anyways
by Kirsten Schlewitz on May 15, 2009 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions
I actually never saw the movie or read the book.
Everything I needed to know about Twilight I learned on Lookout Landing.
Hey bud, you may be new here, but chatspeak is like totally not allowed on LL.
You should read the comment guidelines before posting.
by .Taylor on May 15, 2009 4:11 PM PDT up reply actions
You need to make one where he comes running out of the bullpen toting a gas can.
Free Jeffie!
Preserved In All His Greatness - R.I.P. The Reignman 1989 to 1997
I don't even know how.
I fail at performance enhancement.
You are not alone.
"You're so beautiful. You could be a part-time model, but you'd probably still have to keep your normal job."
Wait, WTF????
From the same Drayer post:
Brandon seems to be living and dying with the fastball and today, Johnson said they didn’t have much of a choice.
“It was a situation where he couldn’t use his off speed pitches because we were trying to get ahead and put pressure on them. He missed a couple up to Blalock and then made a pretty good pitch to Murphy who got the head to it. He is close, but he needs to try to stay down in the zone, that’s where the outs are for a guy that throws that hard. That ball at the end of the game if it is just a little bit down is a ground ball.”
(Emphasis mine)
So, in other words, Rob Johnson is saying that Morrow needed to establish his fastball against a fastball-devouring team.
Go the hell away, Rob Johnson!!!!
This signature space for rent.

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