2-2, Chart
Biggest Contribution: Jarrod Washburn, +66.9%
Biggest Suckfest: Jose Lopez, -20.3%
Most Important AB: Johnson single, +9.4%
Most Important Pitch: Casilla groundout, +12.5%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): +77.0%
Total Contribution by Lineup: -27.0%
Total Contribution by Opposition: 0.0%
(What is this chart?)
70 comments
|
1 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Question Jeff
I feel like sometimes with the WE chart you make corrections to the FG data, on errors or defensive plays and the like…did you give Gutierrez (or Cedeno or Yuni) credit for any of the plays they made behind Washburn?
I'd rather know a little about a lot than a lot about a little
Someone should maybe take that upon himself as a project.
I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.
Was this something you've done in the past
Or am I misremembering?
I'd rather know a little about a lot than a lot about a little
I used to do it a long time ago but decided it was entirely too subjective to continue
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 9, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions
Once Hit F/X comes around...
Couldn’t you use a system giving partial credit for plays based on the probability of that play being made (like advanced defensive metrics, if I’m not mistaken) and make a sexy fielding-inclusive WPA?
by Simon Phoenix on Apr 9, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions
Small sample and all that
but Yuni’s showing some agility in the field that just was not there last year. I know you’ve already made not of it (was it the Silva start?) but its worth reiterating.
If Yuni plays above average defense this year it’ll be worth an extra win for the team at least. The outfield was projected to be awesome and is so far as advertised. Beltre is still great, Lopez will be /-5 runs, Branyan/Sweeney/Shelton also. If Yuni can recapture some of that 0<x<10 magic we’re looking at a .500 true talent team (I’m assuming Clement is back with the big club come May).
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:07 PM PDT reply actions
If Yuni plays above average defense this year I will eat my hat.
by Aaron Campeau on Apr 9, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions
Nacho nacho man...
I will smash your face into a jelly.
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 9, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions
I want to be a nacho man.
"Fights begin, finger prints are took, days is lost, bail is made, court dates are ignored, cycle is repeated."
It's not at all improbable
see Jeter, Derek.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions
When was the last time he played above average defense?
Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.
by pdb on Apr 9, 2009 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions
He played average defense last year after posting a -18 season
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions
Putting up average defensive numbers over the course of one season isn't the same as playing average defense.
by Aaron Campeau on Apr 9, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions
same goes for putting up miiserable defensive numbers
and Yuni’s only got one season of that, to go with three seasons of average.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Sure, but Jeter still looked bad and Yuni looked bad in 2007 despite being only -2.8.
by Aaron Campeau on Apr 9, 2009 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions
Yuni started airmailing throws to first in 07 but I don't remember him looking bad
he was also just a touch below average by PMR and RZR. Maybe your memory betrays you?
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions
I remember him looking worse than I expected
however I expected greatness, so “worse” could’ve easily meant average.
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 9, 2009 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah that was basically the year we realized that we didn't have
a magic Cuban baseball bunny hopping around every which way scooping up grounders but a pretty much normal player with a tendency to throw well wide of first. But he wasn’t bad. Specifically, I remember him ranging way out into left field to grab shallow flies Ibanez couldn’t get to.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions
I remember a noticable dropoff
but as Jeff said below he was so awesome before that it’s possible that a huge dropoff means below average.
by Aaron Campeau on Apr 9, 2009 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions
The BIS based metrics don't think he was ever exceptional
and I think we may have been charmed by a handful of flashy plays. All the same, I think a slimmer, more focused, scared for his job Betancourt can possibly end up in the 0 – (+)10 range.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions
For what it's worth, PMR doesn't think Yuni was so awful last year
they have him at -10, which may seem bad at first but the range is 35 to -30.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions
SBN ate my plusses
wtf. And you had made a note, as opposed to a not, of Yuni’s defense.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions
Damn, missed this game.
Wish I could have seen those stellar defensive plays that everyone is raving about.
It's gonna be funny as hell when
Jarrod and his 10-6, 3.13 ERA self gets traded for a top-50 prospect later this season.
Can't complain that we've got 6 games against the Angels this month
5 of those with Ichiro back, and three of them should be Felix/Bedard starts. Angels should have Saunders, Weaver and Loux pitching most of them. Here’s hoping we can go 5-1 in those series.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:16 PM PDT reply actions
None of our games against the Angels next week feature Felix or Bedard
The best we can hope for is that they’ll both go against Anaheim in the latter series of this month.
I realized after I posted that I miscalculated
It’d be nice to skip Wasburn or RRS after the day off Monday to shift things a bit but whatever.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 9, 2009 2:42 PM PDT up reply actions
I'm hoipng Jakubaukas starts on Saturday, EriKKKKKKKKK on Sunday then Felix Tuesday.
Or something along the lines just not Silva on the home opener please!
You got slurved bitch.
They'll pitch Silva for the home opener because they are almost guaranteed a sellout.
The games will not sellout and you want your biggest draws when attendance isn’t guaranteed.
This would be fantastic =)
especially if Felix goes on Friday
I was looking at the schedule
to see if I would get to see Felix or Bedard when the M’s are in town at the end of the month, and I think it comes out to being Bedard on Friday, Silva Saturday, Washburn Sunday. Or something worse.
You know what? Fuck you Sports Gods, fuck you.
In terms of hours committed
I think I go personal life > blog > sleep > day job
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 9, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions
Is there any single game that better illustrates the point from this offseason
of “a run saved is as good as a run scored”?
I sure don’t think so.
by seattlesundevil on Apr 9, 2009 2:36 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
A run saved is as good as a run scored
Should have been the new slogan for this team. Fuck a new day a new way.
I fucking hate you Mariners
re: Wak's 9th inning defensive adjustment
I thought this was a fantastic move, even if the benefit was marginal. It made me wonder if or how often other AL managers have made the move to forfeit their DH in late innings for the sake of an unforced defense adjustment.
CHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
CHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 9, 2009 4:20 PM PDT reply actions 8 recs
Still one of my favorite new memes this year
Every time I talk to someone about the Ms this year, the idea of the Mariner train goes through my head. And now I have a picture. Weeeeeee goes the insanity…
by Robert Lintott on Apr 9, 2009 10:29 PM PDT up reply actions

by 
















