Projections: Erik Bedard
by Edgar for Pres on Apr 7, 2009 2:47 PM PDT
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PrintWe projected Ichiro last week, Felix the other day and Beltre earlier today.
You know the deal. How do you think Bedard will do this year? Repeat the year he had with Baltimore before we brought him over because he is healthy this year. Experience a season like last year with injury and mediocriocy. Or have his arm blow up and become completely ineffective. You chose.
(Table stolen from Fangraphs...hopefully ok?)
As always, honesty and intelligence is appreciated.
| Season | Team | Starting | Start-IP | Relieving | Relief-IP | Value Runs | Value Wins | Dollars | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | - - - | 169.6 | 734.1 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 170.7 | 17.2 | $64.2 | $12.4 |
| 2002 | Orioles | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | $0.1 | |||
| 2004 | Orioles | 23.2 | 133.1 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 23.8 | 2.3 | $7.1 | |
| 2005 | Orioles | 33.3 | 141.2 | 33.3 | 3.4 | $11.6 | $0.3 | ||
| 2006 | Orioles | 49.9 | 196.1 | 49.9 | 5.0 | $18.4 | $1.4 | ||
| 2007 | Orioles | 52.4 | 182.0 | 52.4 | 5.4 | $22.2 | $3.4 | ||
| 2008 | Mariners | 10.8 | 81.0 | 10.8 | 1.1 | $4.7 | $7.0 |
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Who's Eric Bedard?
I go to law school. Therefore, I have no life.
Unless a lot of luck breaks Bedard's way, I can't see him repeating his more freakish years directly after surgery.
I see him in the 3-3.5 win range as a useful and capable starter, but neither dominant nor workhorseish.
I have no idea how to project Bedard
if he’s healthy he’s a 5 win pitcher, no problem. If he’s not healthy, he’s ~replacement level due to workload. I put 3.5-4, but I don’t think he falls there either way, it’s just an average guess
I'm in the same boat, though I chose not to forecast major injury.
4.5-5.0 is what I voted for.
I will smash your face into a jelly.
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 7, 2009 3:48 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah, I'm projecting an average case.
I assume he’s not going to be filthy but won’t suck, and won’t pitch 180 innings. He’s a toughie.
Who the hell said 7?
"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert
by .Taylor on Apr 7, 2009 7:41 PM PDT reply actions
Why can't a fully healthy Erik Bedard be 7 WAR
and anyway you can find out if you want to.
Yeah but that would require looking through every poster's recent activity.
"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert
by .Taylor on Apr 7, 2009 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions
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