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Around SBN: 2012 Africa Cup Of Nations Final

12-8, 13-8, Doubleheader Summary

When you spend a lot of your evenings on a computer watching a baseball game and writing about it, rainouts can be a welcome treat. They give you free time you didn't think you'd have; time to, say, go jogging, or make a good dinner, or watch House and check out the NHL playoffs during commercial breaks. It's one thing to have a day off, but when you get a day off you didn't expect, it feels that much more freeing.

The problem is that, unlike regular days off, rainouts have to be made up, which means that the immediate free time comes with a future sacrifice. In my case, what I wound up having to sacrifice was my ability to watch the day game today. Turns out it wasn't really worth it, because this team is about a thousand times worse to follow on Gameday than it is on TV when it loses.

TV lets you make what you want of what's going on. It doesn't let you alter reality, but it lets you color it. It allows for a certain subjectivity, especially on bad days. You can take solace in well-hit outs. You can excuse bad swings as being on borderline pitches. You can forgive the defense for getting fooled by a bad hop, and you can read into the facial expressions and body language of your team's players and conclude that they were trying hard and simply got beat by a team that played better. As weird as it sounds, TV lets you interpret a lot of situations however you want to, and given a positive attitude, that can help alleviate the pain of a tough loss.

There's no such subjective side of Gameday. Gameday just tells you exactly what happened. Swinging strike. Pop up. Ball out of the zone. Gameday gives you the facts, and when you're a fan of a team that can't score, the facts have a way of making your brain sizzle as you watch them take place. You can't rationalize mistakes. You can't explain away bad judgment. You just see that your players screwed up, and you stew in your misery. Science is cold.

The scientific facts of game one are as follows: Chris Jakubauskas pitched an excellent game, the White Sox made little effort to take control, and the Mariner hitters completely and utterly screwed the pooch. Not only were they made to look foolish by a guy who, coming in, had struggled to throw strikes and miss bats, but when they got a few opportunities, they reverted to a state of helpless incompetence that allowed Chicago to sneak away with the win.

Three at bats really stand out in my mind, two of them coming in the seventh after Rob Johnson's double cut the score to 2-1. With two men in scoring position and one out, Franklin Gutierrez swung through a 3-1 pitch at the letters before popping out on something right down the middle. In the next at bat, Yuniesky Betancourt killed the rally by hitting another pop out on another pitch right down the middle. And then in the ninth, with two on and one down, Mike Sweeney whiffed on a full count slider down out of the zone. You can only imagine how unpleasant it was to witness such poor discipline and execution on a little virtual screen where I am the final arbiter of what should've been done with a pitch. To see our hitters swinging through ball fours and doing nothing with meatballs gnaws at my stomach when we're in a critical situation and in dire need of every run we can get. The lineup made no use of its talent, Colon's mistakes, or the heroic defensive efforts of Brent Lillibridge of Josh Fields, and it flat-out gave game one away.

An incredibly difficult loss for Jakubauskas, who pitched his double chin off in picking up an abbreviated complete game. While the White Sox were shorthanded without Jim Thome in the middle, even so, you know you're doing something right when you only need 88 pitches to get through eight innings in that ballpark. Jakubauskas went back to living in the strike zone, working primarily off of his heater, and his 10/10/2 GB/FB/LD ball in play profile speaks to a lot of success avoiding solid contact. He was even able to pick up five swinging strikes and three foul tips, as his four-seamer was giving Chicago fits. I keep wanting him to throw more curves and use his change as more than a show-me pitch, but his fastball - as pedestrian as it seems - just gets in these runs where he's locating it perfectly and it's really hard to hit. I don't know how to explain it, but results are results, and I'm happy to ride it out for as long as it lasts. Another solid start is going to make it mighty difficult for the coaching staff to bump Jakubauskas back to the bullpen when RRS gets healthy.

Anyway, when your team loses 2-1 to Bartolo Colon, it can be tough to get excited about a game against John Danks an hour later. Danks is one of those young talents to come out of the Rangers' pitcher pipeline that the Rangers have yet to enjoy, and being a lefty, he was set to be a tough matchup for Russ Branyan, one of the only Mariners currently capable of hitting the ball past the mound. Felix Day or not, the thrill of the second game was tempered by the disappointment of the first. So I went in nervous, fearing that the M's had already gone a long way towards securing their fate of being one of the only teams in Major League history to lose three games in 24 hours.

Then Ichiro smacked a line drive single and kicked off one of the easiest and most reassuring Mariner wins that I can remember. In the span of three batters, the M's notched as many runs as they'd scored in their previous 20 innings, with Ichiro moving to second on another Endy Chavez bunt, stealing third on his own, and coming home on a Mike Sweeney drive to the gap. The stolen base I took as an example of Ichiro deciding to do things on his own, a subtle insinuation that he knew he was going  to have to start scoring runs by himself. So I imagine everybody was surprised when Sweeney came through. The broadcast said that Sweeney looked like he was fooled by the pitch, that he wound up ahead of something offspeed, but considering the pitch was a 96mph fastball, I think that's just how Sweeney swings. It's awkward and clumsy and he ends up putting so much weight on his front foot that he looks like one of those cherubs standing on one leg blowing a horn, but if it's worked his whole career, then I'm in no position to complain. It's just evidence that sometimes a retarded swing can carry you further than a sweet one. I wonder if anyone's investigated this as a possible cause of Sweeney's chronic injuries.

Taking a 1-0 lead into the bottom half, Felix did his usual establishment thing, throwing eleven consecutive fastballs and keeping the White Sox at bay with two grounders and a lineout. That took us to the second, where Yuniesky Betancourt followed two weak groundball singles that several fans' grandmas really could have hit harder with a home run to left that forecasters would have charitably described as unlikely. It was a full count changeup that he reached out and yanked over the wall, and while it didn't get out by that much and could have easily been a product of the ballpark, it was a home run nevertheless, and it came as a complete shock to Dave Niehaus, who referred to it as a "three-run homer by Yuniesky Betancourt." Maybe I can't really explain his tone very well in text. Soon after the camera cut to a shot of Felix in the dugout wearing an expression of skepticism and mild distrust.

Felixyuniface_medium

It's like Felix decided then and there that, if the ballpark was going to play small, he wasn't going to give the White Sox a chance to use it to their advantage. Ahead 4-0, Felix switched from normal Felix mode to fuck-you-I'm-Felix-Hernandez mode, activating some sort of internal power boost that took him from good to untouchable. For the next three innings, he was lights out. Of his 45 pitches between the second and the fourth, 33 were strikes and 11 were swung on and missed, as he alternated between a biting two-seamer at the knees and a sharp vertical slider with tremendous results. The White Sox couldn't touch him. It wasn't just their lousy hitters, either - Dye, Konerko, and Quentin were all given fits. Maybe Felix's best at bat came against Konerko with two on in the fourth, when he set him up with three breaking balls low and away before blowing through him with a 1-2 heater at the knees on the outer black. This was Felix at his best. The kind of Felix you bring home to your parents.

After that, as the Mariners started adding on a few runs and the White Sox continued to flail, Felix visibly changed his plan of attack to be of the pitch-to-contact variety, as he went for quick, easy outs in an effort to go as deep as possible and maybe grab the second complete game of the day. And by and large, he succeeded, needing just 44 pitches over his final four innings while allowing just a single bloop hit. He didn't get the CG, but having thrown 100 pitches over eight innings in the cold during a blowout, there was no reason to send him back out there for the ninth, and I can't imagine that Felix was too disappointed by Wakamatsu's decision to take him out. Other than having today get a guaranteed mention in Jayson Stark columns for the next two decades, there was very little to be gained. Corcoran sealed the deal with much borderline inadequacy and the game came to a comfortable end.

Without doubt, the stars of game two and the players responsible for salvaging what began as a shitty day were Felix, Yuni, and Russell Branyan. Felix tossed his second superb outing in a row, throwing 73% strikes, missing 14 bats, and registering 11 grounders on 18 balls in play. What blew me away was how well he was locating his fastball down in the zone. Felix was in rare form, following the standard game plan but actually executing it with mastery. Tonight he had the fastball he's always thought he's had, and while I'm not going to jump to any conclusions about sustainability, it's nice to catch an extended glimpse of what he could look like with a little improvement. That two-seamer was unhittable. I bet you didn't think you'd ever see me singing the praises of Felix's fastball, but tonight, it deserved all the praise in the world. It was damn near flawless.

As for Yuni and Branyan, they each conquered their own demons today, as Yuni had a big game at the plate to earn himself some slack while Branyan went 5-5 in a game started by a tough lefty. It's tempting to sit here and curse Yuni for doing this just as it seemed like he was near a plug-pulling, but the only reason for Wakamatsu to pull the plug is if Yuni's not performing, and tonight, Yuni performed. That's good. It's not like he lucked his way into a few base hits. He went deep and knocked a pair of line drives. He earned a reprieve. Branyan, meanwhile, caught a break with his infield single early but then pulled a sharp grounder down the line for a double off Danks in the fourth. Danks broke Branyan's bat on the pitch, but considering it was a 1-2 fastball on the inner black, Branyan did a good job of turning on it and using the flying bat barrel to temporarily distract the defense from the ball. This is a positive sign as we cross our fingers and hope that Branyan isn't just a hopeless platoon player. The lineup looks so different with his name in the middle.

A wonderful nightcap to an up-and-down day brings us to tomorrow morning, when Erik Bedard will have a chance to give us another series win as he faces off against the unmistakably mediocre Gavin Floyd. Hard to believe we could end up in this sort of position after seeing how the team looked this afternoon, but here we are. Maybe there's something to this whole "stopper" thing.

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But holy fuck was it frustrating to see the last pitch to Sweeney pop up on GameDay

oh well. We’ve got a nice advantage with Bedard going tomorrow, I’m excited. Plus out of all the pitchers, he should be hurt the least by the ballpark, being left-handed and a power pitcher after all.

by seattlebruin on Apr 28, 2009 11:51 PM PDT reply actions  

Kudos to Zduriencik (and Wak) for giving Branyan the chance to play every day.

Dude can hit a baseball, and on a team like this, that makes him a standout. It’s hilarious that a one-year stopgap free agent making dirt might just be our best hitter.

by Teej on Apr 29, 2009 12:01 AM PDT reply actions  

How sure are you that it was a vertical slider?

I wasn’t paying too close attention, but the velocity and movement seemed to be changeupy to me.

Excited for the chance to see Bedard pitch us to another series win, but as bad as the White Sox looked today at the plate, they do have a heavy RH lineup so here’s hoping Bedard has his command tomorrow.

by Matthew on Apr 29, 2009 12:09 AM PDT reply actions  

Given the White Sox's RH dominated lineup and Oakland's lefties,

I would have liked to see Wak flip Bedard and Silva in the rotation

by Saxum on Apr 29, 2009 7:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

pitchFX seems to think he threw only one slider the entire game, but his "slider" and "curveball" were essentially identical.

The only discernible difference is that his one identified slider had positive vertical break, and his 19 curves had an average of -1.5" of vertical break. I’m assuming that the lone pitch identified as “slider” was just thrown poorly. Also, his changes move almost -5" horizontally while his powerfilth averaged less than an inch in the other direction.

Those were vertical sliders.

by abender20 on Apr 29, 2009 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

Has he completely removed curveballs from his repetoire?

I remember his curves from earlier in his career when his slider was off-limits. As I recall, they had a fairly similar action to his current powerfilth, but with a velocity closer to the low 80’s. I’d love to see him throw something like 10% of his pitches in that velocity range.

by abender20 on Apr 29, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions  

He still throws his curve

he dropped two on Konerko last night. He just has different pitches working in each game so sometimes it’ll stay in the background while other times it’s his primary out pitch.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 29, 2009 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

So his PitchFX classifications lumped his curves and sliders together but just happened to also call one slider a curve?

I guess I’ll have to go check out the individual AB against Konerko to see if I can differentiate the pitches. Thanks.

by abender20 on Apr 29, 2009 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

My numbers on the year for Felix so far:

FA: 329 (66%)
SL: 66 (13%)
CU: 53 (11%)
CH: 49 (10%)

Sometimes PITCHf/x gets confused, but it’s not too hard to separate Felix’s sliders and curves in the spreadsheet.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 29, 2009 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Does 66% trouble you?

You’ve probably answered this somewhere, but I’m having trouble finding it. In his first three years, Felix was 60%, 57%, 57% FB, then he’s been at 66% FB since the beginning of last year.

Also, his FB-GB is still down at about 1.63 – do you expect that to regress to his career average of 2.3? It’s been getting better since the first few games, but still.

by Decatur on Apr 29, 2009 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don't want to arrive at conclusions after five starts

66% is higher than I’d like, but he’s had such good command of his fastball in most of his starts that it’s hard to complain. I mean, he thew 70 fastballs last night, but those were 70 really good fastballs. Who am I to complain? As long as he’s having such good success, I’m happy to let him do what he wants. It’s when he gets into trouble that I put the key in the engine of criticism.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 29, 2009 10:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

Actually, one more thing:

Dear godalmighty was it fucking cold. I was agonizingly underdressed.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 29, 2009 12:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Was there for both games and agree,

long underwear, m’s jersey and fleece = no match for 38 degree chicago weather
great games though, save for the lack of the delivery from the bats in the first one.

by Diatribe on Apr 29, 2009 12:55 AM PDT up reply actions  

Chicago baseball in April and May is the worst

I’ve sat there a few times at Wrigley or the Cell in April/May cursing myself for not wearing long underwear. To a baseball game.

by phil333 on Apr 29, 2009 4:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

BOW DOWN TO THE KING!

You can't hide from the omnipresent eye.

by Goose on Apr 29, 2009 12:52 AM PDT reply actions  

Also, Rotoworld with the quip of the day:
Yuniesky Betancourt went 4-for-5 with a three-run homer and five RBI against the White Sox in the second game of Tuesday’s doubleheader.
He also stole his second base. Betancourt entered with a .254/.250/.343 line in 67 at-bats this season. The homer was his first. He’s still looking for his first walk; well, no, that’s probably the wrong way to put it.

You can't hide from the omnipresent eye.

by Goose on Apr 29, 2009 12:53 AM PDT reply actions  

HAHA

That’s hilarious! Maybe they’ve been reading LL/USSM :)

by phil333 on Apr 29, 2009 4:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm trying to think of the last time I've seen an OBP lower than the AVG.

Coming up empty so far…

---
Juuuust a bit outside!!
http://www.rightfieldbleachers.com

by Jack Moore on Apr 29, 2009 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Is it possible

that Felix’s fastball issues have been because he’s throwing too many four-seamers and not enough two-seamers? Maybe I’m just selectively remembering from his dominant starts, but it seems to me like he commands the two-seamer better and it generates way more groundballs.

by Milendriel on Apr 29, 2009 4:50 AM PDT reply actions  

I didn't get to watch or listen to much of the first game

but I think I can offer this in defense of the Mariners’ bats.

Colon is not much of a pitcher any more and has struggled this season, so it is embarrassing to get shut down by him (moreso to have Thornton in on the action though for different reasons). On the other hand, Jakubauskas, for all his odd-named charm, is not much of a pitcher either. The White Sox lineup features some very good hitters and the fact that they just weren’t able to get going against him suggests that it there was something in the air in Chicago yesterday afternoon that slowed down bats and deadened the ball mid flight.

As lame as it is to lose 2-1 to a guy like Bart Colon, it could very easily have ended up the other way around and it’d be the Sox’ fans that would be moaning about getting a good outing out of a guy who looks like the scary clown from a provincial circus and still losing because their bats couldn’t touch an independent leaguer.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 29, 2009 6:38 AM PDT reply actions  

That's a pretty good point.

Conversely, the following game was 9-1, meaning the offense probably wasn’t affected that much by external factors.

by .Taylor on Apr 29, 2009 8:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

Conditions were different for the second game.

And they were facing a lefty followed by poor relief. But you may be right… Nevertheless the larger point stands, that our offense does not carry the same expectations as the White Sox offense, yet both were stifled by a mediocre pitcher. They were marginally less stifled, but only by a little.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 29, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

Jakubauskas

Actually explained that he took advantage of the weather conditions when he pitched yesterday.

Wak also said after the game that his hitters were pressing a bit. Even though the conditions were tough, some of their at-bats could’ve been better.

by ThundaPC on Apr 29, 2009 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well put

“but his fastball – as pedestrian as it seems – just gets in these runs where he’s locating it perfectly and it’s really hard to hit. I don’t know how to explain it”

Jakubauskas is a bizarre pitcher for a lot of reasons, and not all of them are neck related. He seems to sort of reinvent himself every few months. He was a deeply shitty pitcher for a long time, then a meh FB/change guy, then a guy who’d pitch off the FB with a show-me curve, and ever since he’s been a starter, he’s a guy who uses command of a straight 4-seamer. This must drive hitters nuts; a guy throwing 90% FBs in the strikezone, and with little discernible movement.
Anyway, I don’t get it, and if he were to make his next start left handed, it wouldn’t be that big of a shock at this point. If he used a knuckleball, yeah, sure, why not.

by marc w on Apr 29, 2009 9:05 AM PDT reply actions  

I suppose the benefit of being a converted position player

is that you can do whatever the hell you want to try and succeed without being worried that you’re losing your longtime identity as a pitcher.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 29, 2009 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nice choice on the Adair picture

“God bless you Felix Hernandez, God bless you.”

by Manzanillos Cup on Apr 29, 2009 9:41 AM PDT reply actions  

Since nobody's mentioned this yet...

Wladimir Balentien! Guy doesn’t look completely lost up there like he used to, which is kinda cool. It’d be cool if Wak could keep working him in there when appropriate. Seems like as long as he keeps hitting it would be worth giving him a couple of starts in LF a week and a start at DH every now and then as well.

by Zack on Apr 29, 2009 9:52 AM PDT reply actions  

No kidding

at least to drive up his perceived value if he has no future with the M’s. As a fifth outfielder he’s completely wasted.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 29, 2009 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Endy Chavez isn't crazy good at the plate anymore...

Wlad needs the innings out there. He may not be Endy with the glove, but he’s not even close to Raul either.

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on Apr 29, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

He's a good hitter. I still think he can be a decent MLB player.

His defense has also been more than solid, which is nice to see.

by marc w on Apr 29, 2009 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

I agree.

I completely gave up on Wlad this spring, but I went back to look at his numbers and he had a damned fine season in 2007 in AAA, and he’s been excellent this year. He deserves to start at least three games a week, and Wak can make that happend with the way everyone else is swinging. Dave Cameron has this right in his new post up today.

by Decatur on Apr 29, 2009 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

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