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7-3, Game Notes

Sometimes it can be difficult to tell where a game turned. Sometimes the turning points are so obvious that they raise their hands and go "ooh ooh! ooh!" and burp the alphabet. Tonight was more the latter than the former. This game wound up feeling like something straight out of 2008, but had it not been for two particular at bats, there's no telling how it would've wound up.

Wladab_medium
Napoliab_medium

The first at bat you may recognize as Wladimir Balentien vs. Joe Saunders in the bottom of the fourth. At the time, the Mariners were ahead by the slimmest of margins, but had the bases loaded and were threatening to take a sizeable lead. Saunders came in having intentionally walked Jose Lopez and having beaned Russell Branyan, but instead of taking a pitch or making sure that Saunders started him off with a fastball, Wlad chased the first offering, which wound up being a low-away changeup just out of the zone. This put him behind and made him a little nervous, so Wlad chased the next pitch as well, which wound up being pretty much the exact same thing. Behind 0-2, Wlad all of a sudden found himself in a world of hurt. He partially redeemed himself by taking the next three pitches and forcing Saunders into a pickle, but then yet again Wlad bailed him out by swinging at a bad pitch to end the threat.

I don't mean "bad pitch" as in something Saunders shouldn't have thrown - Saunders very clearly knew what he was doing and he played Wlad like a fiddle. I mean "bad pitch" as in a pitch at which Wlad shouldn't have swung. Depending on how you interpret the strike zone, the best-case scenario is that Wlad swung at ball four, while the worst-case scenario is that he didn't see a single strike in six pitches. A lot of people automatically assume that a long at bat is a good at bat, but this was a terrible showing by Wlad, and it threw away a chance for the M's to blow this game open.

The second at bat is Roy Corcan vs. Mike Napoli in the sixth. Here the Angels had the bases loaded and two outs in a game they were trailing 1-0. Corcoran got way ahead with an inside fastball and a miraculous swinging strike, but instead of going with a low-away breaking ball or at least trying to bury a sinker, he threw a belt-high heater over the inner half of the plate that Napoli drilled into center field to plate the decisive two runs. This wasn't a case of good pitching being defeated by better hitting - this was a case of bad pitching being defeated by normal hitting, as pretty much any self-respecting hitter in the big leagues feasts on that pitch. Corcoran is a groundball pitcher. He's a groundball pitcher because he's pretty good about keeping his sinker out of the wheelhouse. He put this one right where Napoli wanted to hit it, and he put it there in an 0-2 count. That's not a good way to hold on to your roster spot.

Two at bats, two significant turning points. Everyone ought to be sick of this word by now, but when you come in with an average of .362 with RISP and an average against of .191 in the same situation, that's what regression looks like. It was just a matter of time before the M's got caught. We've seen the offense get a few too many timely hits and we've seen the bullpen get a few too many timely outs, so we knew this was bound to happen. It's just damn ugly when it does. The hazards of following a team predisposed to close games, I guess. While there are going to be a lot more Tuesdays down the road, there are also going to be a lot more todays.

This is going to be a tense summer of baseball.

  • The bullpen meltdown and the offense's ineffectiveness are probably going to be the lead stories that come out of this game, but perhaps lost in the mix is that Chris Jakubauskas spun a hell of a starting debut. On a limited pitch count, he was able to last 5.1 innings, and while his opponent wasn't exactly the most ferocious in the league, he pitched well considering what he is. Of his 81 pitches, 60 (!) were strikes, with two of the swinging variety in the first couple innings. He was also able to avoid solid contact.

    The breakdown:

    62 fastballs (90.6mph)
    5 changeups (79.7)
    14 curves (77.0)

    Jakubauskas was very fastball-oriented, but that's probably about what you'd expect from a guy on a strict limit who's still pretty new to pitching. And honestly, until he started to wear down, his fastball was looking all right. I certainly didn't expect him to be sitting in the low 90s, which he was for much of his start. Maybe the most impressive part of his game, however, was that 10 of his 14 curves went for strikes. That thing has an unholy amount of drop, and if he can gain some steady control over it, then it'll give him a weapon to induce grounders and pop-ups from lefties and righties alike. It's like Morrow's curve if you slowed it down to a velocity range more appropriate for humans.

    Chris Jakubauskas wasn't spectacular tonight, and he doesn't have the stuff to ever break into the front of our rotation or anything, but for a Major League starting debut, I thought he was fine, and I'd like to see a little more of him. Maybe our starting depth isn't so pathetic after all. A guy with three pitches who throws as many strikes as Jakubauskas did tonight can't be all bad.

Felix Day tomorrow. It'd be nice to end this losing streak before it gets overwhelming. It feels like ages since we've won a damn game.

0 recs  |  Comment 76 comments |

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I didn't want to go too long.

This could be a two-hour play if I wanted to beat it to death.

by Teej on Apr 17, 2009 12:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Perhaps someday.

I have a feeling people would stop reading — or at least stop finding it funny — after a few hundred words.

And in my mind, the Morrow vagina joke had some Erik Bedard in it, too. Mostly because whenever I write “vagina,” I think or Erik Bedard.

by Teej on Apr 17, 2009 1:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is better than most of the stuff on Broadway

Will you write parts for legless people in the Baskin Robbins trashcans?

by Frosty Raptor on Apr 17, 2009 1:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So...
I put on some spray-tan so I look like Bobby Abreu and we all have gay, gay sex…

you’re jake Woods?

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 17, 2009 6:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Flawless

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by Taylor H on Apr 17, 2009 8:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You put on spray tan?

I prefer my robe and wizard hat.

RIP Nick Adenhart. You will be missed by baseball fans across all organizations.

by seattlecougar on Apr 17, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Just doesn't have the same ring to it.

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by Taylor H on Apr 17, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If I miss one thing about Bavasi...

It’s that the guy knew how to build a great bullpen via the scrap heap.

by SethGrandpa on Apr 17, 2009 12:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmm...
Sometimes the turning points are so obvious that they raise their hands and go “ooh ooh! ooh!” and burp the alphabet.

Wait a second…

Also, is it to early tell whether or not Adair is a positive influence on the pitching staff compared with Stottlemyre?

by Frosty Raptor on Apr 17, 2009 1:31 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm also going to go with positive


Although it’s maybe too early to decide one way or the other.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 17, 2009 7:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I had no idea that the double that Raul allowed last year

where he mis-timed his jump hilariously, ended up about three feet above the wall and whiffed completely, was hit by Franklin Gutierrez.

by acblue on Apr 17, 2009 2:34 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Is it me or did Yuni look like a statue out there?

That inning where the angels kept scoring a few balls went up the middle that didn’t look to be hit all that hard and Yuni didn’t get close.

by marinerdan on Apr 17, 2009 2:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I had the same thought

See my exposition on the subject in the previous front-page post comments.

by appleshampoo on Apr 17, 2009 7:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes. I thought Sec 108 and ac were perhaps being a little harsh on the guy before the game yesterday

and then I saw the game. At least for last night, he was worse than he was in 2008 (that’s not good). That GB up the middle that had basically stopped rolling by the time it passed the cut of the grass was inexplicable. I hate when internet commenters assume that they could do better than professional athletes, but… I really think I’d have got to that.

by marc w on Apr 17, 2009 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He really did look like shit.

I was defending Yuni over the play the day earlier, but yesterday . . . wow. Grounder after grounder rolling past him. And that ball he dived for (and missed) was an easy play a couple of years ago. I keep thinking he’s playing way too far toward third base, but maybe it’s his lack of range playing with my eyes. Either way, he’s definitely not doing anything to win my confidence.

by Teej on Apr 17, 2009 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He has been playing incredibly far to the left on many plays.

He seems to be sitting halfway between 2B and 3B.

by Matthew on Apr 17, 2009 9:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder if it's a coaching decision?

Beltre’s the last guy you need to cover for.

by Teej on Apr 17, 2009 9:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wish this sucked less

but it gets it’s point across

by JI on Apr 17, 2009 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's hard to see where the ball once the view switches,

but it looks like a step or two from routine based off the ball path by the mound.

That’s awful positioning.

by abender20 on Apr 17, 2009 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wlad vs. Saunders

Saunders pretty much had him where he wanted him the whole time. After the first two swinging strikes you could telegraph the rest of the pitch sequence.

When it went to a 3-2 count, Sims said “Now he has to throw a strike”….I’m like “no he doesn’t”. Just throw a changeup near the strike zone. Sure enough, Wlad predictably went fishing. Hell, even Blowers knew where that pitching sequence was going.

Oh well. On to the next game.

by ThundaPC on Apr 17, 2009 2:52 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I borrowed a DSi to try out the NFN yesterday

(They were giving out free rentals during the game), and this was the first pitch sequence I had the pitch tracker up for. It was also the last… I didn’t need it to know what Saunders was going to throw, or how badly Wlad misjudged the out pitch.

RIP Nick Adenhart. You will be missed by baseball fans across all organizations.

by seattlecougar on Apr 17, 2009 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How about that mark Lowe?

second day in a row, he’s throwing mid-high 90’s, getting a ton of whiffs on his slider (4!) and staying mostly in the zone. Corco’s bad outing notwithstanding, I’m pretty happy about what the bullpen did yesterday.

And considering what the expectations for this team were, nobody should complain about not getting two sweeps in a row against the two divisional rivals expected to be duking it out for the title. Now let’s see what Felix and Bedard can do against an actual major league offense.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 17, 2009 7:29 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Being a eunich is not so bad

You don’t have to put up with a lot of shit

by Tony S on Apr 17, 2009 8:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And now I depart

And wonder, if I got hit by lightning and perished, would the eunich comment above be my infamous last words. So I leave you with this: learn to purify water and yourselves

by Tony S on Apr 17, 2009 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Ichiro slam is already fading out of my mind.

I need wins. This hot start has got me hungry for victories.

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by Taylor H on Apr 17, 2009 8:08 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Where is the Sean White love?

He came in and mopped up very effectively

by Tony S on Apr 17, 2009 8:14 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Are you there Chris Jakubauskas? It's me, marc w

Please throw your change-up more, Chris Jakubauskas.
I think it’s amazing that you’re now locating the curve ball, and that’s great. It also didn’t look like your change was terribly effective last night, as opposed to the Minnesota game. But really, just because Carlos Silva throws 85% FBs doesn’t mean you need to do the same. Trust the change-up!
By the way, you pitched pretty damn well out there and I think it’s shitty that Corcoran blew the game open there.

by marc w on Apr 17, 2009 9:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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