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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

Ichiro To Return Wednesday

AP Link

SEATTLE -- Ichiro Suzuki says he's returning to play on Wednesday.

...

He said he felt so good it was "annoying" him.

what?

So with Gutierrez struggling and Chavez smoking, do you think Chavez slides in at two in the lineup, or what?

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Comments

Display:

Seriously

My guess would be Chavez to ninth and Lopez to second if they were going to panic with the order.

by JI on Apr 13, 2009 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

I dont think they'll give up on Franklin that easily

He was the “centerpiece” of the trade that jettisoned J.J.

by oneseasoncom on Apr 13, 2009 10:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

No one said anything about giving up on Gutz.

He’s a freak out there in center. It just might be a good idea to move him down in the order if we have better options to hit second.

by Teej on Apr 13, 2009 11:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well he does like to bunt a lot

but I’d rather just let him and Yuni fight between 8 and 9.

by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 13, 2009 12:40 PM PDT reply actions  

Since they're kind of a wash in terms of hitting ability

I’d prefer Yuni 8th because it’s at least theoretically possible for him to get an extra-base hit. I also like the idea of Chavez and Ichiro being on base at the same time.

by Aaron Campeau on Apr 13, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think he's annoyed

because he feels good enough to playalready , but he can’t come off the DL until Wednesday.

by Rollo Tomasi on Apr 13, 2009 12:44 PM PDT reply actions  

"Of course, I got to see the results, and it made me very happy. I guess I'm a little upset we lost two games."

Ichiro, I love you as much as a heterosexual man can non-creepily love another man playing a professional sport for their hometown team can, I think.

by lemonverbena on Apr 13, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Under normal circumstances I would put

Betancourt at 8 and Chavez at 9, give Gootch some time to settle in at #2. But…yeah I dunno, with N D raking it’s hard to bump him down that far. But then, looking at their career numbers and projections, it’s tough not to do that. Endy is just unsustainably hot right now. I guess if they want to go with the “hot hand” argument, for what that’s worth.

by appleshampoo on Apr 13, 2009 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

His BABIP is .400. His LD% is 16%.

He’s not hot in the sense that he’s hitting the ball well, he’s just getting lucky.

by Aaron Campeau on Apr 13, 2009 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Even the balls he hasn't hit on a line he's hit hard though

I’d argue that he’s been lucky, but not overly lucky. It’s certainly not sustainable, but he looks pretty decent up there at the plate.

by seattlebruin on Apr 13, 2009 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't think Endy is as bad as he's looked the past few seasons, honestly.

He has looked good and I think that he’s a lot closer to being a .315 wOBA hitter than a .295 wOBA hitter. But the fact still remains that his BABIP is .103 higher than his career average.

by Aaron Campeau on Apr 13, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

Is it a meme if he actually has been unlucky?

Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.

by BrettJMiller on Apr 13, 2009 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I don't get this.

Talking about how horribly unlucky Beltre has been isn’t a meme. It’s fans analyzing and trying to find answers to the way this game works. If pining for Beltre to get his due is a dead meme, then kill me now, for my soul is also dead.

by Teej on Apr 13, 2009 11:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

That reminds me

i have to get some of those Ichi-rolls when I come up to a game this year…Naw, I love the guy, GO M’s!

Proud member of Duck nation!

by skywaker9 on Apr 13, 2009 1:17 PM PDT reply actions  

One of the world's most entertaining jobs: Ichiro's translator.

I’d leave Gutierrez in the 2 hole as he has shown a greater willingness to be patient, and Ichiro deserves as many chances as possible to gauge the pitcher’s delivery. I’d leave this way as long as if Endy does no better than only slightly out-wOBAing Gutz.

by abender20 on Apr 13, 2009 1:18 PM PDT reply actions  

I actually know Ken Barron

And have talked with him at length over beers about his glorious job. Needless to say he knows he has it damn good.

"I call the big one Bitey."-Homer J. Simpson

by Willie Mays Haze on Apr 13, 2009 10:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Can we settle the Guitierez nick name problem once and for all?

Gooch, Gutz (Pronounced “guts”), Guitz, F-Gut, Porn Star, Gazelle, Guitar Hero….

by johnbai on Apr 13, 2009 1:22 PM PDT reply actions  

DFT?

Throw the snacks in the bag and I'm ghost like Swayze!
Preserved In All His Greatness - R.I.P. The Reignman 1989 to 1997

by JLProck on Apr 13, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Where does that come from again?

Throw the snacks in the bag and I'm ghost like Swayze!
Preserved In All His Greatness - R.I.P. The Reignman 1989 to 1997

by JLProck on Apr 13, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

I firmly believe Safeco's centerfield should be called "The Valley of Death"

although if I keep talking about this I will probably be mocked and shouted down.

by Decatur on Apr 13, 2009 4:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

I really like this one, even for the whole outfield.

College friend called them the Flying Circus the other day, as in the WWI German air group. That one clicked and led to us calling the bullpen the Ministry of Silly Walks.

by Kermit. on Apr 13, 2009 9:24 PM PDT up reply actions   9 recs

ONE THOUSAND RECS FOR "MINISTRY OF SILLY WALKS"

Holy Christ on a shoestring Kermit, you’ve just come up with the most awesomely perfect nickname for the bullpen EVER.

I will be brutally disappointed if this nickname has been used on relief staff before, but still…we gotta make this stick.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 13, 2009 11:41 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Don't forget to mention that the skit was all the awesome.

Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.

by BrettJMiller on Apr 13, 2009 11:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

This goes without saying.

But again…man, that nickname is JUST SO PERFECT in capturing what Mr. “BRB Gotta Go Walk The World” and The Aaaaaard and Lowe, et al., have been up to so far.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 13, 2009 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

I had to hunt this down. Hilarious.

For being the Mr. Show fan that I am, I am embarrassed to admit how little Python I’ve seen.

by Teej on Apr 14, 2009 12:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

You seriously had never seen the Ministry Of Silly Walks sketch before now?

AND you’re a huge Mr. Show fan? Weird. That’s like saying you’re a huge fan of Paul McCartney & Wings but you’ve never really heard anything by his earlier band….what was it called again?

That sketch in particular is like one of the most famous pieces of television comedy in history.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 14, 2009 12:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

My standard disclaimers:

- I’m 26 and grew up on a tiny island with very little culture outside of marijuana and hippie paintings. I missed out on a lot of stuff.

- The little bit of Python I saw as a kid went over my head, so I never had the impetus to continue exploring it.

But yes, Mr. Show is so obviously influenced by Python that I owe it to myself to go watch some stuff.

by Teej on Apr 14, 2009 12:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Great Monty Python site, this guy has links to all the great bits, and cuts from the movies.

Site. Ministry of Silly Walks, I’m trying to make a GIF of this thing from the 3:20 mark. Not quite as good as the weirdo walking around with an egg on his head, but pretty good.

Recommendations: Lumberjack song, sit on my face, dead parrot skit, spanish inquisition. I prefer some of the live stage versions quite a bit more.

by Kermit. on Apr 14, 2009 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

That's right - I remember you saying you were able to relate to Jesus Camp...

I’ve got that movie on my Netflix Roku cue, I’ll have to watch it.

I’m certain you’d get a kick out of Life of Brian…

This signature space for rent.

by PositivePaul on Apr 15, 2009 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Awesome!

Also, the Thumbs Up is a new touch.

by abender20 on Apr 14, 2009 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

As do I

Just noticed it yesterday. I miss the ol’ green splotch that used to be there

I want to poop at your house - Thingray

by tootthekazoo on Apr 14, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think the thumbs up would work better if most of highly rec'd comments were of the informative nature.

The thumbs up is dopey and does make any sense next to a single one of Robert’s insanorama threads

by abender20 on Apr 14, 2009 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thinking about doing it on my home machine

But I’m stuck with IE here at work so it’s not an option.

I want to poop at your house - Thingray

by tootthekazoo on Apr 14, 2009 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Death to flying things

was a nickname first given to Bob Ferguson. Niehaus has used it (sparingly) for others, including an early Ichiro catch

by msb on Apr 13, 2009 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've always been a fan of Gootch

But do we really need to standardize it? It’s not like anyone’s going to be confused if you use any of the above (although I hadn’t heard Guitar Hero and I don’t think it really fits).

by appleshampoo on Apr 13, 2009 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like Gootch too.

although it reminds me mostly of a three legged dog in a trailer park.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 13, 2009 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's a good one.

I’ve also heard Lance Hardwood.

Throw the snacks in the bag and I'm ghost like Swayze!
Preserved In All His Greatness - R.I.P. The Reignman 1989 to 1997

by JLProck on Apr 13, 2009 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Guitar Hero seems like a stretch.

Plus Joel Zumaya has the market cornered on that.

by Mariner John on Apr 13, 2009 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

In the interest of balance

It makes the most sense to bat him eighth, especially against RHP. Then when you come around to to the 7 spot you could theoretically see something like

7. RH Johjima
8. LH Chavez
9. RH Betancourt
1. LH Ichiro
2. RH Lopez
3. LH Griffey
4. RH Beltre
etc.

by Andersean on Apr 13, 2009 1:26 PM PDT reply actions  

excuse me


1. LH Ichiro
2. RH Guitar Hero
3. LH Griffey

by Andersean on Apr 13, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Guitar Hero?

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by .Taylor on Apr 13, 2009 5:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Right.

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by .Taylor on Apr 13, 2009 9:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, up

I want to poop at your house - Thingray

by tootthekazoo on Apr 14, 2009 8:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

Most gnomic Ichiro quote:

In retrospect, was going on the DL the right decision: “I don’t feel that way at all. I wish I would have played. Now the team owes me. Now I can get a favor in the future from the team.”

Anyone want to venture a guess as to what that one means, exactly? So going on the DL was a favor to the M’s? But Ichiro’s not a gamer!

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 13, 2009 1:37 PM PDT reply actions  

In other random news, Raul made a sliding catch today at Nationals Park.

Since I wasn’t watching, I can’t tell you whether it was actually a good catch or whether it was another statuesque shamble towards a ball that any other LF would have had easily. But you can guess how I’d bet on the matter.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 13, 2009 1:38 PM PDT reply actions  

DFT makes the routine look cool.

Raul fucked up the routine more often then was needed.

Throw the snacks in the bag and I'm ghost like Swayze!
Preserved In All His Greatness - R.I.P. The Reignman 1989 to 1997

by JLProck on Apr 13, 2009 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

DFT makes the routine look far too easy, not cool.

That’s why defensive players are underrated. He makes the hard look routine, and the impossible look hard. :o

Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.

by BrettJMiller on Apr 13, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Statues cannot shamble...

But I applaud this thought anyway. If anyone can become a real-life, living and breathing mixed-metaphor of awfulness, its Raul.

by Decatur on Apr 13, 2009 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

In other random news, HOLY FUCKING SHIT I had no idea how great a start Evan Longoria has gotten off to.

His slash line: .481/.481./1.185.

Yes, that’s right, Longoria is currently slugging 1.185, with 4 doubles and 5 homers. Good for a middling-to-mediocre OPS+ of 320. His ISO is a mere .704.

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 13, 2009 1:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Same here.

I just read on FG that he hit 5 HR during the opening week. I don’t know how I missed that. Longoria is a beast.

by Zwakamatsu on Apr 13, 2009 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

I read that as "Longoria is a breast."

But regardless of whatever form he takes, 1.185 slugging…holy crap!

by Frosty Raptor on Apr 13, 2009 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

dead meme alert

Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.

by pdb on Apr 13, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

No worries

in three weeks everyone will forget it’s a dead meme and you’ll be good to go. The dead meme list just came out.

Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.

by pdb on Apr 13, 2009 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Holy pandas, that's ridiculous. Even for SSS.

"The dark secret of LL is that it only exists so I can one day moderate Graham" ---Robert

by .Taylor on Apr 13, 2009 5:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Count me among those who missed this.

This morning I was thinking to myself, “I wonder how Longoria is doing.” And then I find out about the 5 HR on fangraphs.

angels fan in seattle

by Eyebrows on Apr 13, 2009 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmm... not considering salary,

Would you rather have Pujols or Longoria for the next five years?

by sammy on Apr 13, 2009 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pujols

Longoria at his best is maybe a 7 win player. He simply isn’t in the same class of a hitter as Pujols. His fielding is incredible though. Pujols has been a 7+ WAR player for 5 years and has been 9 WAR in two of those. You shouldn’t trust me to be unbiased though.

St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008

by vivaelpujols on Apr 13, 2009 6:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

That could be right...

…it’s not exactly clear to me what Longo’s ceiling is as a hitter. Or at least what a realistic ceiling is for him. His OBP’s gotta be much closer to .400 than .350 if he’s really going to give Pujols a run for his money.

If you’re asking the question over the next five years, I guess you also have to consider whether or not Pujols’ elbow is going to be a problem.

by ubelmann on Apr 13, 2009 7:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think if you assume that both will stay healthy,

you gotta go with Pujols. That’s a big assumption though. I think the decision comes down to how large a production gap you project between the two and weighing that against Pujols’ greater injury risk.

by sammy on Apr 13, 2009 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

And age.

I think I’d still take Pujols, but the six-year age difference is enticing.

Then again, I expect Pujols to be a monster for the next five years anyway.

by Teej on Apr 13, 2009 8:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Radical suggestion:

1. Endy (until he cools?)
2. Lopez
3. Ichiro!
4. Beltre
5. Griffey/Branyan (RHP/LHP)
6. Sweeney/Griffey (RHP/LHP)
7. Gutz
8. Kenji
9. Yuni

by Woodinville_12thMan on Apr 13, 2009 2:31 PM PDT reply actions  

The thing is

hot streaks don’t mean anything about how the player is going to play in the next 1 or x number of games.. So for me personally, I want Ichiro at the top of the lineup when he comes back, right away.

by Zwakamatsu on Apr 13, 2009 2:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is fascinating

I’ve just scratched the surface on probability theory, but as I understand it, what could be defined as “hot” and “cold” are actually random fluctuations and have no bearing on future performance. Endy Chavez will be Endy Chavez in his next at bats, he won’t be “hot” or “cold” Endy Chavez.

by Frosty Raptor on Apr 13, 2009 2:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I approve of this

because couldn’t Ichiro be a good 3rd spot hitter, since he could be good at driving in runs rather than focus on getting on base?

by Fin on Apr 13, 2009 2:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ya

I think that this lineup does not have one stand alone number 3 guy and since Ichiro is the best pure hitter on the team I would like to see it at least as a test. The worst thing that can happen is Endy falters and when/if that happens Wak can just tinker the line-up again.

by Woodinville_12thMan on Apr 13, 2009 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't see Endy continueing as lead off.

The problem with “until he cools” is like selling a stock before it starts to go down. You never REALLY know if you’re selling too early or too late. So you base your buy/sell on how good the company is, not whither it’s a hot/cold streak (or at least that’s what I get from Benjamin Graham).

As such, Ichiro is the far superior player/lead off, and it should help us more to play him lead off every chance we get.

by Kunkoh on Apr 13, 2009 2:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I am not a fan

The most important part of a lineup is the 1-spot.

I want Ichiro! in the most important part of my favorite team’s lineup.

by cwel87 on Apr 13, 2009 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Via LS on Baker's blog

Wakamatsu said, by the way, that Ichiro will hit leadoff, despite the hot start by Endy Chavez.. He’s mulling over whether to bat Chavez second or ninth.
Link

If Endy bats second, I wonder if Gutz gets bumped to 9th, creating a track-meet-on-the-basepaths sort of situation at the 9-1-2 spots (which would be preserved even if Endy bats ninth). So what we end up with is:

1. Ichiro
2. Endy
3. Beltre
4. Griffey/Branyan
5. Sweeney/Griffey
6. Lopez
7. Yuni
8. Kenji
9. Gutz
?

by sammy on Apr 13, 2009 4:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

I can definitely see the points that you guys are making.

It just seems to me that Wak is not afraid to change around line-ups and it would be interesting to see Ichi in the 3 hole and to see how our order functions with him there as opposed to leading off.

by Woodinville_12thMan on Apr 13, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Interesting? Sure.

But it would be a poor decision. Being unafraid of hitting Endy Chavez leadoff is not a good thing. He simply does not get on base. He’s no better today than he was two weeks ago. He has a .407 BABIP despite not hitting any line drives.

I like Wakamatsu’s flexibility in setting lineups, but maximizing the number of at-bats Endy Chavez gets would be bad for the team.

by Teej on Apr 13, 2009 4:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

It looks like Gutz is this year's main #2 hitter.

Wak might leave Endy the 2 spot for a series or two to try to ease Gutierrez into the sport mentally, but I think Wak has a pretty good sense that “going with the hot hand” is like betting on a low-probability red spot in roulette wheel because the last three turns came up red too.

by Decatur on Apr 13, 2009 4:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree.

Plus we’re only talking fraction of a run here, so whatever makes people feel loose and confident is probably paramount, as unmeasurable as that is.

by Decatur on Apr 14, 2009 3:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

I guess I fail....

Just throwing the idea out there. But I guess Endy in the lead-off spot long term might not be the greatest thing for the team.

by Woodinville_12thMan on Apr 13, 2009 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, you didn't fail.

It’s almost always worth it to explore how to make the team better (with reason, unlike F’nA’s – and you contributed a worthwhile thought). It’s just that the M’s blogosphere has been over both the line-up and the hot hand issue pretty exhaustively, and almost everyone here agrees about the conclusions. But don’t be scared to ask questions and make suggestions here that get shot down. It happens to everyone. Even the “Sexy People” (see bottom of the page) are usually nice to people who present a stupid thought if the thought is expressed respectfully and coherently.

by Decatur on Apr 14, 2009 3:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

Oh wait, you're not new.

I saw April 7 and then April 13 and somehow didn’t process the 2008 and 2009, so I assumed this was your first week, so you probably already have a sense of this. But no worries.

by Decatur on Apr 14, 2009 4:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

Trading selfish Ichiro! is not an option? ;-)

He’s going to bat leadoff and I don’t see a situation where he doesn’t bat lead off in a game that he is playing in.

You got slurved bitch.

by Slurvey on Apr 13, 2009 3:30 PM PDT reply actions  

Did we say "selfish Ichiro" was a dead meme?

I could’ve sworn it was, because I felt sad and guilty as hell a couple days ago for saying “Selfish Matthew hurts the team” during his and JIs Gutierrez GIF wars because I thought I’d violated the meme rules.

by Decatur on Apr 13, 2009 5:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well if anyone is up at 12:30 am, and has mlb network.

There is a Cathedrals of the Game about Safeco Field.

by Fin on Apr 14, 2009 12:14 AM PDT reply actions  

Funny how the no chatspeak rule does not apply to things like

IIRC, WRT, FTW etc. Not that I mind, and I do also find LOL very annoying but all the same.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 14, 2009 5:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

We rarely say any of those

and exceptions are generally made for simple abbreviations

by seattlebruin on Apr 14, 2009 8:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

GIDP is the worst.

It usually means Kenji or Yuni are involved.

by Wilder. on Apr 14, 2009 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

2008 GIDP by Mariners, 139. Right in the middle of the AL, this surprised me.

Rangers/Indians tied for last with 160, Yankees/Blue Jays the fewest with 111.

Mariners 2007, 140! Consistency! Here’s the biggest culprits, and Beltre surprised me. Probably because I like him, he plays 3rd base, and he produces with the glove, vs. Ritchie who was just a 1b, and was just Ritchie.

             ’08 ’07
Kenji 12 22
Yuni 23 10
Ritchie 8 12 (career high 20 in ’01 with the Brewers).
Raul 13 14
Lopez 14 16
Beltre 18 11

by Kermit. on Apr 14, 2009 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Is there info on GIDP per opportunity?

Not sure it would be an analysis tool, but my guess is we would rank high on that list in 2008.

by Sec 108 on Apr 14, 2009 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, not sure how to sort that one out.

I feel lucky to have found GIDP by team and players. Seems like Ritchie always pulled it off when we were down, never when we had the lead. My perceptions of that guy were so biased there was no chance of him ever recovering.

by Kermit. on Apr 14, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

We probably have too many OF with Ichiro back now

but Delwyn Young was DFA by LAD. He’s hit pretty well through out the minors and never really had a chance in the crowded LAD OF.

by Edgar for Pres on Apr 14, 2009 10:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Ned Coletti and the Juan Pierre signing strike again

The reason Delwyn never got any consistent playing time was because of Juan Pierre, and yet before Manny came over the Dodgers needed another RH OFer so for some reason it became Delwyn. Terrible short sighted Ned Colletti roster management strikes again.

Still not as bad as Casey Blake for Carlos Santana though.

You know what? Fuck you Sports Gods, fuck you.

by bluemax on Apr 14, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Lastings Milledge was just optioned to AAA Syracuse by the Nationals

Want a lazy, defensively-incompetent CF with a lot of raw talent and an entitlement complex?

Patriotism, Pepper, Professionalism

by esoteric on Apr 14, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Watching Milledge yesterday was difficult.

Focus is his obvious problem. He wants to force amazing defensive plays with his laziness in the outfield and he wants to hit a home run every time at the plate.

He would be a frustrating player to watch everyday.

by Wilder. on Apr 14, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

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