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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Assorted Quick Monday Morning Bullet Points

  • Ed Price and now Ken Rosenthal are reporting that John Lackey has taken a physical for the Red Sox. Taking a physical doesn't mean that Lackey and Boston have agreed on a contract, but it does strongly imply that they're close, which would mean a handful of things:

    -Boston's moving on from Jason Bay
    -Lackey would be off the table for us and the Angels
    -Clay Buchholz could be available in a trade


    Lackey going to Boston wouldn't be the worst thing in the world - even though the Red Sox are one of two teams that could absorb his contract no problem, he's not a great fit here at his expected cost. What this would do, however, is change the shape of the offseason, for both us and our closest rivals. We'd end up with one less high-level option, and the Angels would probably step up their pursuit of Roy Halladay. To be honest, now that Harden's off the board, I have no idea what the front office is planning. He seemed like such a great fit that I gave little attention to devising a Plan B. But with him disappearing and Lackey maybe being next, Zduriencik is going to have to get creative. That's fun, but I'd be lying if I said it isn't also a little scary. Almost as scary as paying John Lackey what he wants.

    Update: $85m/5yr for Lackey

  • There's a rumor flying around that Mike Lowell could need surgery on his trick thumb, which would jeopardize that trade with the Rangers that still hasn't gone through. It seems like kind of a long shot, but given that Lowell going away frees obvious room for Adrian Beltre to become a Red Sox, I'm clinging to far more hope than I ought to. When my first serious girlfriend broke up with me, I spent the next several days reading far too much into any indication that she might change her mind. This is that, because I steadfastly refuse to learn my lesson. Adrian Beltre isn't gone until he's dating someone else, god dammit.

  • After talking with a few people last week and gaining a great deal of clarity on the matter, I feel very, very comfortable that the M's and Felix Hernandez are going to be able to work something out.

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I'm not gonna lie

I am loving the schadenfreude I am feeling from reading the reactions on Halos Haven

by ManifestDestiny on Dec 14, 2009 10:52 AM PST reply actions  

After the initial freak out about Harden signing on elsewhere

I’m sort of settled down and at peace with the idea. He rocks, but he doesn’t rock for very long and there are plenty of options out there.

Our rotation as it stands really only needs one above average pitcher to be a real asset with upside for dominance. Morrow may grow into an Edwin Jackson sorta guy. Snell might pull his head out of his ass. RRS is already, in my mind, consistently average but pitching in an extremely favorable environment.

We just need to add a pitcher X to slot in between Morrow and Felix to make everything a little prettier. Honestly, Derek Lowe would be very tempting if he werent so old, or Chein Ming Wang if he weren’t so broken. I’m pretty excited to see what Z has cooking in that shiny head of his.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Dec 14, 2009 11:17 AM PST reply actions  

So what's the M's wish list look like for the rest of the offseason?

My version.

1) Sign Felix to an extension
2) Acquire another (potential) top-flight starter (Sheets?)
3) Acquire a 1B/DH (/LF) option or two
4) Find an above replacement level catching option should Rob Johnson not be healthy to start the season

I think #3 is where the most variability enters the plan. There is the Branyan and/or Nick Johnson option. The resign Beltre and shift Jose to 1B option. The trade Jose for a 1B and resign Beltre option. And probably at least a few dozen more options and permutations.

But I’m really hoping that #1 happens. If nothing else happens this offseason, I’d be okay with the team for 2010.

by CMC_Stags on Dec 14, 2009 11:26 AM PST reply actions  

So do the Angels push hard for Roy now?

I honestly don’t get it. Halladay alone isn’t going to make them favorites for the World Series. Even with him, isn’t it safe to assume their outlook for 2010 looks worse than 09? I can accept Morales having a breakout year, but Aybar and Izturis have never put up seasons like that before, even with limited playing time they never looked close to being THAT good. So, just for the sake of this situation, assuming those two regress, is that offense plus Jered and Halladay good enough to contend with the Yankees and Red Sox? I don’t understand why they’d take the risk now, the trade deadline was their absolute best shot.

Carlos Silvelite

by OceanBird on Dec 14, 2009 11:27 AM PST reply actions  

I hope Matsui pulls a Cirillo on them

Or, any other old players we signed that backfired on us. Of course he’ll probably have an MVP.

Carlos Silvelite

by OceanBird on Dec 14, 2009 11:42 AM PST up reply actions  

I kind of wanted Matsui to come here and be our DH.

But no such luck obviously. Now I hope he burns in hell forever.

by Kirk on Dec 14, 2009 11:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Pretty good deal for the Angels, kind of sucks for us.

Well, it DOES push Abreu to the OF full time which is pretty awesome.

by lailaihei on Dec 14, 2009 11:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Well yeah that is pretty awesome.

I am going to love watching Abreu “running” for fly balls next year.

by Kirk on Dec 14, 2009 11:54 AM PST up reply actions  

Meh

Outside of Yankee Stadium he’s probably just an average DH. Factor in the runs they lose with Abreu in the field every day and it’s not such a great signing.

by OlSalty on Dec 14, 2009 11:56 AM PST up reply actions  

MEANWHILE

Roy Halladay is in Philly for a physical/extension talks, and there is a non-zero possibility of a three-team trade for Cliff Lee involving the Mariners

by ManifestDestiny on Dec 14, 2009 11:54 AM PST reply actions  

I think you have to pay attention to the language they use in these rumor articles before you spread them around
The identity of the team that would acquire Lee is not known, but the possibilities would include the Angels, who could be on the verge of losing free-agent right-hander John Lackey to the Red Sox, and the Mariners.
One source with knowledge of the Mariners’ plans said Jack Zduriencik is looking for two starting pitchers — not just one — and that the team has contemplated dealing for Lee in recent days.

The only content in this article is that “The Mariners need pitching and Cliff Lee is a pitcher”. It’s only in the writers opinion that it makes sense and sportwriters are often stupid.

by OlSalty on Dec 14, 2009 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

What would be the worse case outcome here

Z trading for Lee?

Texas trading some of thier excess for Lee to build a Lee/Harden 1/2

or

the Angels trading for Lee to replace Lackey?

JD’s like, "you want some fucking pitching? Here’s all the pitching you can stand. Now choke on it, bitches!"- RCCook

by laxtonto on Dec 14, 2009 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Thank you.

I feel like he isn’t really that good. I’m not sure why I think this, maybe it’s his contract.

by Kirk on Dec 14, 2009 12:04 PM PST up reply actions  

He's good but it doesn't make sense for us specifically for several reasons

If we were selling the farm to try to win it all this year maybe but we’re trying to build for the future and stay competitive at the same time. We wouldn’t be getting enough years of him and we’d be giving up premier prospects with many years of team control for one year of him. And we’re extending Felix so it’s not like we would be throwing Lee the huge contract he’s going to want next year if we tried to extend him as a condition of the trade.

by OlSalty on Dec 14, 2009 12:13 PM PST up reply actions  

He's a great fit for the park though.

And what all would you have to give up? Philly wants prospects supposedly to flip to Toronto. It could be Morrow/Aumont from us and two of Philly’s top prospects going to Toronto, Lee to us, and Halladay to Philly, if I understand why exactly the Jays and Phils want a third team involved. Instead of spending budget money to sign a free agent pitcher, use that to extend Lee, extend Felix, get your 1B and DH with what’s left, call it an offseason.

It’s not exactly what I would do per se, but it’s a doable plan that could be a long-term help.

by BrettJMiller on Dec 14, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Lee has a big payday coming next year, though

Maybe I’m overestimating his value on the market but I’d imagine it’s rather inflated and he’s going to reflect that in his extension.

by OlSalty on Dec 14, 2009 12:23 PM PST up reply actions  

I'd be curious to know whether Lee would want to be on the west coast.

"Ever tried? Ever failed? No matter. Try again. Fail again. Fail better." - Samuel Beckett http://mvn.com/marinersminors/

by JY on Dec 14, 2009 12:43 PM PST up reply actions  

We can afford Lee.

The team has plenty of money. Our payroll was well north of 100M before Bavasi was canned, and Silva is coming off the books soon which will absorb the Felix extension and then some. I don’t like the idea of tying up so much payroll in pitchers but those two would be alright I think.

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Dec 14, 2009 12:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Not saying we couldn't, I'm saying that money is better spent elsewhere

Lee is going to command an above market value contract in all likelihood when he hits free agency. And we don’t get Holliday if this happens, obviously.

by OlSalty on Dec 14, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

All true

De Gutibus non disputandum est

by Bearskin Rugburn on Dec 14, 2009 12:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Just..... exactly.
Adrian Beltre isn’t gone until he’s dating someone else, god dammit.

by royalcurve on Dec 14, 2009 12:17 PM PST reply actions  

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