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On Alex Rodriguez

If you're like me, or anybody else who enjoys both baseball and the Internet, you're already sick of reading about how Alex Rodriguez has been so good in the playoffs, and how he's been making all those countless critics and naysayers eat their words with his performance. A million people make a million tired jokes after every hit, and with each passing game there are dozens of variations on the same old tune about how he was supposed to be a choker. This has gone from being a delightful storyline to a banal and predictable one seemingly overnight.

It's with that captivating introduction that I'd like to add just one final thing:

A-Rod, career, regular season: .305/.390/.576

A-Rod, career, regular season in playoff years: .302/.398/.563 (excludes 1995)

A-Rod, career, playoffs: .299/.388/.563

Alex came into the year as a guy whose postseason numbers were good, but not nearly as good as his numbers during the summer. This was one of the biggest complaints - that, though he didn't literally become worthless as the calendar flipped to October, he became something far less than what was to be expected. That, while Derek Jeter hit like he always hit regardless of the context, Alex became more vulnerable under pressure.

Now look where we are. Alex has come to the plate 32 times these last two weeks, and over those 32 plate appearances he's completely erased the difference between his numbers in the regular season and his numbers in the playoffs. There used to be an OPS gap of more than 100 points. Now it's down to ten, and that's without adjusting for the fact that the playoffs feature better pitching. When you factor that in, what the numbers will show you now is that A-Rod has actually improved under pressure. Inconceivable!

Of course, that's not the proper conclusion. It isn't any more fair to say that A-Rod improves under pressure now than it was to say that he folded under pressure before. What this is are the vagaries of sample size playing out on a grand theater. A-Rod's up to 202 career playoff plate appearances. 202 PAs isn't a whole lot. When you only have 202 PAs, a game like Alex's today can change your OPS 38 points. Put simply, Alex hasn't had enough of an opportunity to show us how good he is in the playoffs one way or the other, and he still hasn't. We don't know much more about him today than we did two weeks ago. As always, the best assumption until proven otherwise is that there's nothing magical about playing in the playoffs.

Sample size, naturally, won't be the theme of the response. People will spin this as Alex being a changed man, as Alex doing something to find his inner peace and stay calm in the spotlight. It's the only way for his previous critics to stay consistent with the stuff they used to write, because no one wants to admit to having been that wrong that much.

But while that should bother me, it doesn't, or at least it doesn't now, because if nothing else, the story's different. At long last, the story is different. Every article discussing how Kate Hudson is helping keep Alex comfortable is an article that doesn't unfairly rip him to shreds, and though that may not really seem like much progress, it's a step along the path towards finally giving due credit to one of the greatest players the game has ever seen.

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I agree

At least he is finally getting the credit he deserves for not only being an awesome player in the regular season, but also being an awesome player in the postseason. So what if a bunch of people don’t recognize that he was never actually a bad player in the postseason either but rather a small sample size made it look that way….At least they aren’t going to have an unjustified reason to rail against him now, even as they were very very wrong about his ability in situational circumstances before.

And I hate the Yankees, and don’t much care for A-Rod either, but he is one of the better baseball players ever and this postseason choking crap was total bullshit.

by OlSalty on Oct 20, 2009 11:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It's hard to believe the pressure of the playoffs doesn't get to people.

But it’s also hard to prove one way or the other if it has, so I guess it is safer to assume that it simply doesn’t – at least not to any large extent.

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Oct 21, 2009 12:27 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

AROD

nice to see commentary on Rodriguez relating purely to the game and not the typical Seattle inferiority complex whiny bullshit usually associated with him- in other words all the morons who threw monopoly money at him, you know all those principaled souls who would have turned down the 252 million to remain a loyal Mariner. Geez, they can’t all be Steve Largent or Dan Wilson Seattle!

by gitanoloco on Oct 21, 2009 1:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

But, but...he's Pay-Roid...surely that gives us unlimited license to ignore his baseball talent forever...

Right? Oh, maybe not. I was the world’s biggest A-Rod fan back in the late 90s…heck, he was my favorite Mariner when Bone, Edgar, and Griffey were all in their prime on the same team! And yes, I did rip down my poster of him the day he left…but damn, the man can play baseball…

by Rachmaninoff on Oct 21, 2009 2:48 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bah. I don't care how good his numbers are, I still say screw that guy. I don't like him.

And the whole Kate Hudson thing is only going to reduce how much I enjoy Almost Famous the next time I watch that.

by katal on Oct 21, 2009 6:06 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

What, besides the Boeing letter, makes A-Rod such an asshole exactly?

I’m not trying to be a dick, I’m just asking. The more I think about it, and from what I’ve heard about the M’s negotiations with A-Rod after 2000, the more I think there’s just really not much there to hate him so much…I just really want to know…what are people’s reasons?

Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.

by BrettJMiller on Oct 21, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he's a smarmy fuck and the Boeing letter alone is enough to make me hate him as a person.

But unless athletes go to severe extremes of horrible-ness as human beings I want their performances to be correctly evaluated.

by acblue on Oct 21, 2009 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I cheered Alex last night and it felt both scratchy and soothing

like when you unpack the winter clothes after a hot summer and put on your oldest wool sweater

by NOLAmarinergirl on Oct 21, 2009 8:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Journalists come up with this crap because it gets readers.

No one would care about the story of ARod’s playoff performance being luck and based on small sample size. So instead he was a choker and is now a changed man. The drama sells.

by ARock on Oct 21, 2009 8:35 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It sucks but its true.

Ever try to write a postseason review in solid statistical terms?

“Well, these things happened and this team won. No, they don’t mean anything because it was too small a sample to mean anything. No, this particular pitcher-batter match up didn’t mean anything. It’s all shades of very close together probabilities.”

by Matthew on Oct 21, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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